Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES
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Article Archive For Austin Passamonte
DownloadTarget Shooting
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Theoretically, trading all day and night seems most lucrative. Realistically, trading for consistent results is the most lucrative when applied in real time, with real money, by real people....
Small And Medium, Too
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...One of the many misconceptions about trading is this: the vast majority of aspiring traders fail, while a relatively small percentage succeed in wild fashion. In other words, the message board warriors and twitter addicts lead themselves to believe that you will either lose money forever or you will make millions and millions each year. One or the other. Nothing in between....
Euro-Zoned
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for 6E, 6B, and 6C currency futures....
Dollar Days
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the US Dollar Index....
Flag Day?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the Standard & Poor's 500 index....
Crushed Soy
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for ZS soybean and ZC corn futures....
Slippery Slopes Of Crude
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for crude oil futures....
Filling Voids
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for S&P 500 index (futures)....
Currency Wars
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm outlook for the Australian dollar and Swiss franc futures....
Plowed Up
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm outlook for soybean and corn futures markets....
Interesting Rates
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for 30-year bond and 10-year note futures....
Whole Grain Season
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for electronic grain futures....
Third Time's The Charm?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for the US Dollar Index....
Night Moves
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for NYMEX crude oil futures....
Kiss Goodbye?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm price direction for the Standard & Poor's 500 index futures....
Into Thin Air
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm view of price direction for the Russell 2000 index futures....
Supporting Soybeans
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm price outlook for soybean futures markets....
Nuclear Reaction
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price forecast for crude oil futures and related markets....
Broken Arrow
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Take a look at the midterm price direction for the Russell 2000 index and futures contract markets....
Potholes Season
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the S&P 500 index price direction....
Straightening The Curves
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Consistently making a small profit on one contract is the first step to becoming a successful trader. Here's a strategy that shows you how to do that using crude oil contracts as an example....
Bear Break?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the technical outlook for ES and YM futures markets....
Broken Neck
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term view of the S&P 500 futures market....
Gold Standard
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for Comex gold and silver futures....
The Euro And The Dollar, Midterm
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm outlook for the euro and the US dollar index futures....
Doubled-Down
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a short-term outlook for the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 emini futures....
Excessive Demand?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term price outlook for WTI crude oil futures....
Southbound & Down?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a midterm view of Standard & Poor's 500 (ES) and Russell 2000 (TF) index futures....
Euro Zoned
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term price outlook for euro currency futures index....
Holey Macro
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term price outlook for S&P 500 index futures....
Appetite For Destruction
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the market analysis for the euro-USD spot currency market....
Drilling Range For Crude Oil Futures
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a market outlook for the crude oil futures index....
Bear's Best Friend
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a market outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average....
S&P Seatbelts
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a market analysis for the Standard & Poor's 500....
Summertime Soy
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price view of the soybean futures market....
In A Rut
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the Russell 2000 stock index market....
Half A Dollar For The DX
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the US Dollar Index....
Euro(lled) Down
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm outlook for the EURUSD price direction....
Midterm Price Analysis of The S&P 500
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price outlook for S&P 500....
Leveled Off In Crude
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the midterm price analysis of crude oil (CL) futures....
Measuring The Markets With Pivots by Austin Passamonte
Grain Elevator
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the mid-term outlook for soybean futures pricing....
Values Trend
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term outlook for currency pricing values....
Flagged Day(s)
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a short-term outlook for ES and TF emini futures....
At The Close
Sense On The Dollar
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term price direction for the US Dollar Index....
Small Capped?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Near-term price action for the Russell 2000 index....
Time For 10K Hats?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Near-term outlook for DJIA....
Dow's Decision
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near- to midterm outlook for the Dow Jones Industrial Average....
Can SPX Handle 1200?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term to midterm outlook for SPX....
Natural Reserve
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the short-term to near-term outlook for natural gas futures....
Heating Up
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the short-term to near-term outlook for heating oil futures....
Rounding Out Recovery?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a short-term to near-term view of the high-grade copper futures market....
How Sweet Is It?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term to medium-term outlook for sugar futures....
Corn Flaked
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a short-term to near-term view of corn futures....
Bean Sprouts
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the short-term to near-term outlook for soybean futures market....
Millennium Gold
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Near-term to mid-term outlook for gold futures index....
Kiss Crude Oil Goodbye?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Short-term and mid-term outlook for crude oil futures....
Dollar Dance
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Short- and medium-term outlook for the US Dollar Index....
Bull-Stalled
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Near- to medium-term outlook for the S&P 500....
Coils & Ledges Patterns
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Known by many names, price action coiled sideways in clear fashion are powerful setups from which to trade. Practically all markets form ledges and coils on all time frames, but the lesser volatile they are, the more liquid a symbol is and the greater a tendency to form ledges & coils. They almost always turn out to be solid support or resistance levels that refuse to break or break with emphasis before making solid directional moves....
Intraday Flags, Pennants, & Wedges
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Skilled traders recognize the basic price pattern on their charts. Repeated sequences of price bars in distinct pattern formation are merely human emotions of fear & greed measured with real money at work in the markets. Basic chart patterns have existed since paper charts were invented. Price patterns repeat in all markets through all charts, no matter the time frame. They function the same, regardless of all else. This is true of flags, pennants, and wedges....
Russell 2000 Emini Futures
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The S&P 500 futures are the king of emini index markets. But popularity as measured by volume does not always mean superiority of profit potential. Other emini markets exist for valid reasons -- some darn good ones at that....
Dynamic Pivots
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Dynamic pivots are a charting tool measuring price levels that adjust with the flow of price action....
Losing Steam
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term to mid-term technical outlook for the Standard & Poor's 500....
Mission 1100 For The S&P 500
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Near-term market outlook for S&P 500....
Technology Tapped
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's the near-term market outlook for NASDAQ 100....
Traders, Take (10-Year) Note
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a long-term chart view of the 10-year note futures....
Dollar Discount
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a long-term chart view of the euro currency futures contract....
Crude Cruise
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Measuring the long-term view of crude oil futures market....
Hard Hat Zone
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's a long-term chart view of price measurement per the NASDAQ 100 index futures....
Swiss Cheese Rally?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Measuring price-action potential direction in the S&P 500 futures market....
S&P Seeking Support
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Measuring support and resistance zones via Fibonacci and retracement tools....
Ranged Break
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...An expanding wedge coupled with a narrow-range channel spelled imminent action for the S&P....
Predictable Patterns Period
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Since mid-March 2007, big-cap stock index markets seem to have a constant bid beneath them. Any intraday selloff that lasts into the closing bell is immediately reversed the next session. Most other days begin with early weakness before price action begins the inevitable grind upward into the afternoon....
Reversal Warnings
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Pure price action can tell us a great deal about pending market direction. Intraday emini traders can see clear reversal signal patterns almost every session -- fair warning to exit existing trades and/or get ready for pending signals going the other way!...
Fed Up?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Is there a trend bias in weekly chart views?...
There's The Exit
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...What type of stops and profit targets do you use for emini trades?...
Working Money: There's The Exit by Austin Passamonte
Partial Profits = Fiscal Folly? by Austin Passamonte
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:2 (60-63): Partial Profits = Fiscal Folly? by Austin Passamonte Is exiting a portion of your trade before your profit target is hit a viable strategy? Had I known that my career path would wind its way into professional trader status, I might have studied advanced mathematics with much more enthusiasm. After all, math is an exact science that does not lie. The way we assemble and interpret numbers to compile trading data may be subjective, but two plus two always equals four ?or does it? Somewhere along the way, many traders have been led to believe that taking pa...
Working Money: Simply Profitable by Austin Passamonte
Simply Profitable
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here's how one trader learned to trade by keeping it simple....
Working Money: Even In A Bear Market, Opportunity Abounds by Austin Passamonte
Qualified Chart Patterns
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Changing market conditions may mean you should rethink your analysis....
Bellwether Tech?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...IBM stock has amassed some sizeable gains since late September 2001. What's in store for "Big Blue"?...
Bidding For eBAY
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...eBAY's stock is nearing the end of its long-term wedge formation....
Techs In A Row
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...What types of trends have developed in the Semiconductor and Biotech sectors?...
OEX Monitors The Market
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The S&P 100 Index [OEX] is a great tool for measuring broad market action. Here's a look at some recent technical developments within the OEX....
Healthy Rotation
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The health care sector has amassed some positive gains of late. Which stocks are leading the way?...
The Name Is Bond: Government Bonds
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Watching bond yields can lead to some helpful insight into the stock market....
Vexing VIX
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...In the last two years, the Market Volatility Index has been successful in predicting future moves in the broad indices....
Metal Detecting
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Are the precious metals poised for an upward move? Some of the related charts seem to indicate just that....
Chips Lead The Way
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Watching certain sectors within a broader index can prove useful. Could a recent rally in the Semiconductor sector be a sign of good things to come for the Nasdaq?...
Will Retail Be Naughty Or Nice?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Look for the retail sector to react to holiday sales figures. Watching these figures and the charts may lead to some high-odds entry points....
Looking For Leadership
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...When looking for an economic recovery, a good place to start is with big cap stocks. A quick look at some big cap charts may give a little insight into where the market (and economy) is headed....
Are Drug Stocks Suffering From Hypertension?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The long-term wedge formations that have developed in the pharmaceutical indices may very well be nearing an end. Look for a breakout to predict future moves....
Even In A Bear Market, Opportunity Abounds
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Think it's difficult to make money in a bear market? Turn that frown upside down -- use the dips like rallies with put options....
Extreme VIX = S&P Profits
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Index option traders watch for certain repeatable patterns that develop several times a year to offer extremely high-odds for success. Monitoring market volatility and trading the turn in human emotion can be lucrative indeed....
Keys To Predicting Economy Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Predictable patterns exist within the cycle of rising and lowering interest rates to help us gauge where in the economic process equity markets are. When shifting from an environment of rising to lower rates, interest-sensitive issues should be the first to recover. Deep cyclical and financial companies are key reads for market analysts to monitor....
Fibonacci, Stochastics and Gold
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Since the September 11th global events, gold investors who believe the precious metal is due a day in the sun, once again have been vocal....
Drilling Deeper For Oil Services
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The threat of interruption in global oil production could become a concern as world news events evolve in Asia and the Middle East....
Banking On A Recovery?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...An old market adage purports no rally can sustain without leadership of financial and cyclical sectors. During market turns from a bottom and continuation ahead, these leadership sectors must perform or especially outperform the general "market"....
Lucent, Enron, Etc: Could Losses Have Been Prevented?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Having an exit strategy is a crucial aspect of investing and trading....
Buying Greater Strength
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...When looking at technology, there are several sectors to watch. Here is a look at the Biotechnology and Semiconductor sectors....
Techs Are Strong, Relatively Speaking
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Is the technology sector staging a bear market rally?...
Timing The Old-Economy Trend
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The recent rally from late September lows has been watched more closely for failure than any I can remember for years. Seems like the momentum players of 2001 have learned to sell every rally in the same manner each dip was bought in 1999 - 2000. But every bull has his day and bears have been befuddled for some time now....
Overbought/Oversold, With Covered Calls by Austin Passamonte
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Overbought/Oversold, With Covered Calls by Austin Passamonte Knowing when to buy and when to exit or how to protect equity plays is basic for long-term prosperity. Here is one way to do it using covered calls. Every stock trader should be ready and willing to write covered calls. They are a powerful tool for locking in partial gains and/or reducing cost basis. By the same token, writing covered calls as a specific trading method also holds great merit. Let's explore some scenarios for such tactics and see if they might add to your personal equity curve. MECHANICS OF TRADING COVERED CALLS O...
The Big Indices Reach Resistance
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...As the year comes to a close, the major indices approach resistance levels and the technicals show signs of weakness....
Flags Are Flying In The S&P Indexes
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Now that Santa's finished delivering Christmas gifts and the fruit cakes are eaten (or sitting curbside awaiting their final resting place) market bulls are awaiting one last gift: the vaunted Santa Claus rally....
A Spark For Natural Gas?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Natural gas and related issues may be poised for an upswing. Here's a technical look at a few related issues....
Balancing Act In The QQQ
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...As the Nasdaq 100 Index gets ready to replace some of its poor performers with new prospects, where is it positioned, technically speaking?...
Wasting Energy At Resistance
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Looking at wedge formations near resistance levels can help confirm the next market trend....
Climbing Mount 10,000 For The Dow
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Can the Dow Jones Industrial Average sustain a rally past the 10,000 level?...
Is Copper Tarnished?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Copper has been in an upswing of late, which may be a good sign for the overall economy....
Cyclicals At Support?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Cyclical stocks can be a good place to start when looking for an economic recovery....
Oil Is Coiled
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The wedge formations that have developed on the charts for the oil indices are about ready to break....
Auction Fever for eBay
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Can eBay continue its stellar year-to-date performance?...
Ford Remains Tired
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Fibonacci retracement, stochastics and chart patterns are used to analyze future moves for Ford Motor Co....
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