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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


Predictable Patterns Period

05/24/07 02:42:54 PM
by Austin Passamonte

Since mid-March 2007, big-cap stock index markets seem to have a constant bid beneath them. Any intraday selloff that lasts into the closing bell is immediately reversed the next session. Most other days begin with early weakness before price action begins the inevitable grind upward into the afternoon.

Security:   S&P 500 (ES)
Position:   N/A

This session from late April shows a double-bottom pattern following a gap down open. Like clockwork, price action soon persisted in grinding higher from there. See Figure 1.

FIGURE 1: EMINI S&P 500: 04/24 10-MINUTE
Graphic provided by: TradeStation.
 
Even the sideways sessions hold double-bottom patterns to work their way upward after tests of support hold. See Figure 2.

FIGURE 2: EMINI S&P 500: 04/26 10-MINUTE
Graphic provided by: TradeStation.
 
There was another weak open, another double-bottom bounce from early lows followed by the stair-step grinding action higher. See Figure 3.

FIGURE 3: EMINI S&P 500: 04/29 10-MINUTE
Graphic provided by: TradeStation.
 
On May 17, there was the same story: a daily pivot point holds multiple tests of support as price action bounces through tradable swings following each test. See Figure 4.

FIGURE 4: EMINI S&P 500: 05/17 10-MINUTE
Graphic provided by: TradeStation.
 
"Buy dips" will not work forever, of course. But it is working now and has been for quite some time already. Until the uptrend pattern abates, each buy signal at or after any test of support has the high-odds nod for success.




Austin Passamonte

Austin is a private trader who trades emini stock index futures intraday. He currently trades various futures markets from home in addition to managing a trader's educational forum

Title: Individual Trader
Company: CoiledMarkets.com
Address: PO Box 633
Naples, NY 14512
Website: coiledmarkets.com/blog
E-mail address: austinp44@yahoo.com

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