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From the start of 2011 through the present, crude oil futures have been as roiled, wild, and volatile as any commodity market could be. Considering oil gets treated as a consumer product and a quasi-currency alike, it's been a year's worth of global unrest in the political and financial arenas. |
FIGURE 1: CRUDE OIL, WEEKLY |
Graphic provided by: NinjaTrader. |
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Figure 1 shows the most recent 1-2-3 lower swing from early 2011 highs projects price magnets at 77+, 72+ and 70 price zones for crude oil futures. |
The 85 level served as lower zone congestion from mid-2010 through September 2011. Now that it has clearly given way, any further tests of that zone are presumed to be resistance until proven otherwise. |
FIGURE 2: CRUDE OIL, MONTHLY |
Graphic provided by: NinjaTrader. |
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Figure 2, a monthly chart view of crude oil futures, shows price action magnetized near a long-term pivotal zone dating back through late 2008 to early 2009. If this level fails to contain selling, 72-73 from the early 2009 era will be revisited. |
The fate of crude oil rests in dual hands: supply/demand from end-use as a commodity and dollar-value gyrations as a quasi-world currency of sorts. With world economies rocked and US dollar values ascending, downward is the trend of friends in crude oil futures for now. |
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