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The summer 2009 stock market rally has been led all the way by technology stocks. NASDAQ 100 is on an upward tear, with no visible end in sight. |
FIGURE 1: NQ, DAILY |
Graphic provided by: TradeStation. |
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Below the current peak highs in NQ, we see an open gap from the July 22nd session close around the 1556 level (Figure 1). Slightly below, there is a congestion channel that began in the drop from September-October 2008 and contained price movement on the way back up in mid-2009. That channel will probably be retested sooner or later as confirmed solid support. |
FIGURE 2: NQ, WEEKLY |
Graphic provided by: TradeStation. |
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Looking at the wider view on the weekly NQ chart, where a jumbled layer of overhead congestion awaits an inevitable test of resistance (Figure 2). NQ 1650- 1670 is an open gap from last year and a Fibonacci projection of 233% from the 1-2-3 bottom formation is visible. |
At the very least, we can expect NQ price action to pause or stall in this zone before the next resolution higher. It is entirely possible that will mark a swing-high top into a back and fill retracement to the price magnets depicted. There are no certainties in trading: just scenarios. Heavy congestion lies just above the resting NQ price action. A pivotal zone and key inflection area could determine the balance of 2009 and possibly beyond. |
Title: | Individual Trader |
Company: | CoiledMarkets.com |
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Website: | coiledmarkets.com/blog |
E-mail address: | austinp44@yahoo.com |
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