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Article Archive For Keyword: Cycle
Download.OEX Current Cycle Outlook
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The S&P 100 has enjoyed a bullish run since early June 2012. Can this rally continue much longer?
20-Week Cycle Still Bullish In Diamonds?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Now that the Dow 30 industrials have cleared 18,000, how much higher can it run?
A Cycle Peak And An Intraday Setup
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...After rising more than 105% since the October 2008 lows, USEC may now be offering an intraday short setup.
A Look At The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...President Donald Trump has served his first year in office. What does the year ahead hold for him?
A new cycle analysis trading technique by Russell L. Miller
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A new cycle analysis trading technique by Russell L. Miller This article describes a novel cycle-based day trading system that, under testing, turned in nearly a 300% annualized profit on equity. In most cases, trading with cycles involves entering a po
A simple cycle finder by Curtis McKallip Jr.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A simple cycle finder by Curtis McKallip Jr. Cycle signatures are patterns created by cycles. If you're familiar with Fourier analysis and maximum entropy methods of cycle analysis you know they produce a pattern called amplitude spectra which requires
ALL Heading For A May Cycle Low?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Will shares of Allstate Corp. manage another run higher after its recent consolidation, or is the downward pull of multiple price cycles going to be the determining factor in the stock's near-term direction?
ANTM: Cycle Highs On Three Time Frames
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Up by as much as much as 199% between November 2012 and March 2015, shares of Anthem, Inc. are now in prime position to stage a proportional correction.
AU: Bullish Cycle Action Into 2015
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Anglogold Ashanti are basing/reversing as a major weekly cycle low finishes bottoming.
Allstate : Early Warning of Cycle High?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Bearish divergences have begun to appear on Allstate Corp's daily chart; is the ten-month old rally nearing completion?
Amazon.com Cycle Low, Short-Covering, Or Both?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Amazon finally found support near their 200-day exponential moving average on Friday. Is this the start of a fresh rally or merely a technical bounce before larger declines?
Apple Inc. Cycle High Soon?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Apple Inc. rebounded nicely over the past eight weeks, but is the stock descending to the mid-$500 price zone?
Applying Dewey's Cycle Harmonics
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Faced with a large and ever-expanding list of possible cycles to choose from, how does anyone find the right cycles to trade with? Here's a look at some of the different approaches to cycle analysis and what drives these types of cycles so you can hunt f
BK Final Push To A Cycle High?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...When a stock's long-term money flow trend is deteriorating, wise traders and investors take notice.
Beat The Business Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Intermarket analysis has been around for a while, and bears occasional review.
CDE Cycle High Due?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Coeur d'Alene Mining Corp. may be on the verge of finally breaking above a very strong, 14-month-old resistance zone.
CDE Cycle High Due?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Precious metals stocks have been on a rampage for two months now. Is the rally due for a rest soon?
Correlation As A Cycle Indicator
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...As traders know, markets have trend modes and cyclic (mean-reversion) modes. Last month, we introduced a new indicator--the trend correlation indicator--for trend trading, based on a straightforward yet novel concept. This month, we follow up with a seco
Cycle Analysis And Intraday Trading by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle Analysis And Intraday Trading by John F. Ehlers Veteran S TOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor John Ehlers explains how to make use of cycles analysis in intraday trading, heretofore a rarity. Take a look. Intraday traders have long had most of the tec
Cycle Analysis à la Peter Eliades By Melanie Bowman
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle Analysis à la Peter Eliades By Melanie Bowman Perhaps best known in recent months for his Number 1 standing in Timer Digest rankings, Peter Eliades approaches the stock market from a combination of cyclic and technical analysis. Eliades divides hi
Cycle Analysis: A comparison of the Fourier and Maximum Entropy methods by John F. Ehler
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle Analysis: A comparison of the Fourier and Maximum Entropy methods by John F. Ehler The motivation for reducing price history to a mathematical expression is clear. If we can describe the prices mathematically, we have the means to extend the equat
DANG: Continuation Move Down Into Cycle Low?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of e-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. are down by more than 33% in the last three weeks, but could be descending into a major cycle low near an important support area.
Detecting the Minimum Tradable Cycle by Robert Wayman
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...TRADING TECHNIQUES Detecting The Minimum Tradable Cycle by Robert Wayman Cycle theorists will tell you that there may be tradable cycles within market data. Before looking for those cycles, though, you must determine the noise level within the data. H
Does Hasbro Have A Cycle To Trade?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...This toy manufacturer's chart shows an interesting cycle.
Does The Cycle High Approach For the Russell 2000?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Russell 2000 stock index is up by more than 110% since March 2009. Is this jig up?
Earthlink Heading For A Cycle Low Near $7?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...With shares of Earthlink failing to take out their February 2012 high, is this stock now destined to drop down toward $7 again?
Economic Cycle Trading
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Economic Cycle Trading
Election Cycle Bearish For Stocks And Bonds In The Short Term
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...There is a well-documented cycle in markets related to Presidential elections. This pattern suggests stock and bond market weakness in the short term.
Elections As The Most Powerful Short-Term Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...What you don't know about politics could cost you plenty.
For Citigroup, A New CEO But The Same 80-Day Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Citigroup have made a new yearly high, celebrating a change in the banking giant's top brass, but its key price cycles warn of a sharp correction soon.
For ExxonMobil, A New High, Then A Cycle Low?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...ExxonMobil stock has enjoyed a steady uptrend for more than 17 weeks now, but a pullback is likely due soon.
For Hecla Mining, A Rising Price Cycle?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Hecla Mining made an important multicycle low on March 22, 2012, and are now attempting yet another move higher.
Forecasting the HIGH of a Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting the date for a cycle low is relatively easy as I have shown in my two previous articles, "Cycles and the S&P 500 Index" (12/13/02), and "Nasdaq and Cycles" (12/16/02), but forecasting a cycle high can be difficult. Her
Gann Can Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...As W.D. Gann emphasized, understanding market timing will only assist you if the other fundamentals are in place.
Gold And The Business Cycle by Martin J. Pring
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Gold And The Business Cycle by Martin J. Pring Well-known market analyst Martin Pring takes a look at the relationship between the price of gold and the business cycle. Why do major swings in the price of gold occur? Over the years, many views have be
Gold Cycle Revisited
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...On June 18, 2003 I presented a daily chart of the London PM Gold cycle with observations. Has gold stuck to that cycle?
Gold's Super Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Where is gold in relation to its historic highs and lows, and where is it headed in the years to come? Here is a look at the gold cycle with projected outlooks for gold based on Elliott wave and Fibonacci analysis
HAL 40-Day Cycle Low By Mid-November?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Halliburton, Inc., enjoyed a solid rise from late June until mid-September 2012, but the second stage of a proportional correction is already under way.
HBI: Descending Into A 40-Day Cycle Low?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Still up by more than 170% since January 2012, shares of Hanesbrands, Inc. appear to be dropping toward a major support zone.
Harmony Gold Mining's Major Quarterly Cycle Low
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle analysis can sometimes help time a successful stock trade; a potential quarterly cycle low in Harmony Gold Mining appears to offer traders a buying opportunity.
Is R2K Cycle Low in Place - Or Not?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cyclical analysis of the broad stock indexes can be a useful and rewarding endeavor for the astute technician. Here's a look at the current weekly price cycle pattern in the Russell 2000.
Is The Cycle High For .RUT?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The R2K just broke higher out of an inverted head & shoulders pattern, but is this rally attempt too little, too late?
Is the S&P 100 Cycle Confirming A Recovering U.S. Economy?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...I have written many articles on cycles, and shown how a simple cycle can be a reliable arrow in your quiver of technical analysis weapons. Here is another one.
JPM Pullback Toward Expected Cycle Low Due?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...After plunging by 45% between February and October 2010, shares of JPMorgan Chase have rebounded sharply. However, prices may soon be due for a pullback over the next month or so.
Kroger Co: 20-Week Cycle High Approaching
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Up by more than 91% since February 2014, shares of Kroger Co. are flashing numerous warning signs that a correction is approaching soon.
LMT: Cycle Low Right On Time
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Lockheed Martin make a picture perfect cycle low, rallying on a chaotic day in the broad markets.
Life Cycle Model Of Crowd Behavior
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Editor's note: On occasion of the recent passing of Henry "Hank" Pruden, who was a longtime industry associate, a dedicated teacher of technical analysis, and a past contributor to this magazine, we are presenting an article from our archives that he had
Life Cycle Model Of Crowd Behavior by Henry O. Pruden, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Life Cycle Model Of Crowd Behavior by Henry O. Pruden, Ph.D. For a large part of the past 30 years, the discipline of finance has been under the aegis of the efficient market hypothesis. But in recent years, enough anomalies have piled up, cracking its
MAC: Bearish Divergence As Cycle High Nears
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Up by more than 36% in the past 14 weeks, shares of Macerich Co. are near an important cycle high.
Major Cycle Low In Place For IEZ?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Having endured a major correction since late February 2012, shares of the iShares oil equipment/services ETF may be at or near a major multicyle turning point.
Market Cycle Dynamics
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Cycle Dynamics software for MetaStock (MCD) is the creation of David Knox Barker and is based on years of cycle research.
Market Cycle Trifecta - What Are The Three Asset Classes Telling Us?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The business cycle can be a valuable indicator for those who know how and when to use it.
Measuring Cycle Periods by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Measuring Cycle Periods by John F. Ehlers Measuring cycle periods allows you to adjust your indicators so they adapt to current market conditions. Here's how. IF you want to make your indicators and strategies adaptive to current market conditions, you
NFLX: Cycle High Complete, Decline Ahead?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...With its bear market rally now complete, shares of Netflix, Inc. prepare to turn lower once more.
Nasdaq And Its Cycle: Is There A Joker In The Pack?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Last week I discussed the Dow and its cycle, the week before, the S&P 100 index and its cycle. This week I am looking at the Nasdaq index, its cycle and other technical tools.
Nasdaq And The 53-day Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In my article, "Nasdaq And Its Cycles" (posted December 16, 2002, Traders.com Advantage), I showed that a simple 53-day cycle would predict the Nasdaq's cycle lows. I concluded that you should not use this technique to forecast too far in
Newmont Mining: A Rising Weekly Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...With gold stocks moving higher again, Newmont Mining, one of the the world's mining giants, is signaling a daily-based swing trade, a setup enhanced by a rising weekly price cycle.
OCR: Major Cycle High In Place
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...After enjoying a 33% rally in late 2014/early 2015, shares of Omnicare, Inc. are moving lower as its dominant cycles turn bearish.
ORLY: Divergences Near Cycle High
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Up by 23% in the past four weeks, shares of O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. are at a key cycle high.
Phase shifts in the 40.68-month cycle by Gary Zin, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Phase shifts in the 40.68-month cycle by Gary Zin, Ph.D. Phase shifts plague every cycle technician. Phase shifts, or apparent phase shifts, are often present when a high or low of a cycle is expected but doesn't occur. Sometimes, if neither a cycle hig
Playing The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Incumbent presidents have shown an incredible propensity for shamelessly pumping up the economy in election years. Knowing when is the essential first step to profiting from it.
Possible Cycle Low For ATI Technologies
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...This Canadian high tech player (graphic chip maker) is showing an interesting chart entry as a long position.
Predicting The Shape Of A Cycle Bottom by Michael R. Burk
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Predicting The Shape Of A Cycle Bottom by Michael R. Burk I define a cycle as what happens between peaks in my New Low Indicator. Since the beginning of 1978 there have been 24 complete cycles averaging a little over 120 trading days, or 24 weeks. Cycl
Profiting In A Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...We elect a President every four years. How does that affect your portfolio?
Recurring Phase Of Cycle Analysis
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...On this occasion of the 40-year anniversary of this magazine, S&C Contributing Editor John Ehlers takes a look back at technical analysis history and reviews what we've come to understand about cycles in the financial markets. His years of technical rese
Reelections And The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...What happens to the markets when a US President is elected for a second term?
Russell 2000 Index: Cycle High Due In April 2013
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Small cap stocks just keep on rising, and with the Russell 2000 index now at fresh multiyear highs, now is a good time to estimate when its next cycle high will appear.
Russell 2000 Weekly Cycle Target Hit
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market predictions are risky business, but when sound logic, based on repetitive patterns, is used to make a price target calculation, the results can be surprising.
S&P 500 Descending Toward Major Cycle Low
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The weekly cycle in the major US stock indexes are all heading lower for now, but expect a major reversal once the swing lows are established, probably within the next three to six weeks.
SIDEBAR: Cycle plot program listing
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle plot program listing 1 REM ""Cycle Plot Program"" 2 REM FOR APPLE ] [ COMPUTER. 3 REM BY JOHN F. EHLERS 4 REM COPYRIGHT (C) 1985 BY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, INC. 10 TEXT : HOME
SIDEBAR: LEAST-SQUARES CYCLE AND THE TIME SERIES MOVING AVERAGE
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...LEAST-SQUARES CYCLE AND THE TIME SERIES MOVING AVERAGE The least-squares cycle oscillator calculates a regression line that is a best fit of the data for the selected time period, and then the difference between the current closing price and the current
SIDEBAR: Portrait of a cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...SIDEBAR: Portrait of a cycle Combining volume indicators, my new high and new low indicators and the advance/decline line (ADL) helps me to define cycles in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or other broad indices such as the New York Stock Exchan
SPY: Approaching Minor Cycle Turn?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Despite a recent bit of turbulence, the S&P 500 index appears to be holding up well, and may soon be expected to make a 10- and 20-day cycle low.
SPY: Fresh Weekly Cycle Low, More Gains Likely
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The widely followed S&P 500 index may soon challenge or even exceed its December 2014 all-time high.
Seasonality and the Presidential Election Cycle by Mark Vakkur, M.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Seasonality And The Presidential Election Cycle by Mark Vakkur, M.D. Can you combine politics with seasonality? With the Presidential election coming up, here's a review of some trading strategies for the stock market built around this event. The quadr
Shanghai Composite Index Springs From Cycle Low
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) tracks yuan-denominated Class A shares and dollar-denominated Class B shares.
Silver Standard Resources Has Short-Term Setup Based On Long-Term Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Gold and silver stocks have rebounded strongly since making a major low in October 2008. Here's a look at a fundamentally intriguing stock that's currently offering a fairly low-risk trade setup.
Southern Copper Nearing Major Weekly Cycle Low
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Southern Copper, one of the big winners during the basic materials sector bull run (2001-07), now appears to be on track to complete an anticipated 20-week cycle low, with bullish implications for daily based swing traders.
Stock Market Business Cycle by Bill Dunbar
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stock Market Business Cycle by Bill Dunbar Bottom fishing should be peaceful. If you're a bottom fisherman you like to recline in an open boat in the cool of the morning or sit with your back against a mossy bank in the gathering dusk and watch the leav
TQNT: Important Trend And Cycle Juncture
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Up by more than 40% since the October lows, shares of Triquint Semiconductor may be set to go even higher.
Technical Studies And The Primary Cycle by Raymond A. Merriman
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Technical Studies And The Primary Cycle Cycle analysis offers the opportunity to identify windows of potential market bottoms and tops. Technical indicators can be used to time entries and exits in the stock at key points in the cycle. How well does thi
The 18.5-Year Economic Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Some believe that W.D. Gann was able to make accurate economic predictions based on the 18.5-year lunar cycle. Here is a look at this concept, with a study that plots lunar cycles against the stock market
The 40-Week Cycle In The Stock Market by Jay Kaeppel
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The 40-Week Cycle In The Stock Market by Jay Kaeppel Is the market truly random? Some phenomena related to the stock market would not be expected to exist if the market truly were random. There has been much debate in the investment community regarding
The 40.68-month stock price cycle by Gertrude Shirk
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The 40.68-month stock price cycle by Gertrude Shirk Of the thousands of possible rhythmic cycles in hundreds of subjects that the Foundation for the Study of Cycles has studied over the years, one we have reported on repeatedly since November 1951 is th
The Cycle Of Seven
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Does the market really move in a cycle every seven years? Let's find out.
The DJIA And The Stock Index Futures Cycle by Christopher Cadbury
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The DJIA And The Stock Index Futures Cycle by Christopher Cadbury Do phases of the three-month futures cycle usually coincide with periods of greatest weakness or periods of substantial strength in the stock market? This American Stock Exchange trader d
The Dow And Its Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Last week I presented a chart and analysis of the S&P 100 index (OEX). This week I'll look at the Dow.
The Election Cycle Meets Mean Reversion
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...It has been called the most powerful stock market cycle. So what is it telling us about where stocks are headed?
The Election Cycle: Bad News - Good News Story
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Election Cycle has been called the most powerful short-term stock market cycle and it's saying stocks are headed lower. But there is some light at the end of this tunnel if history is any guide.
The Four-Year Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How accurate and consistent is the four-year cycle? Judge for yourself.
The Inflation/Deflation Phases Of The Stock Market Cycle by Martin J. Pring
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Inflation/Deflation Phases Of The Stock Market Cycle by Martin J. Pring Veteran analyst Martin J. Pring explains how the commonly known four-year stock market cycle actually contains lesser- known inflation/deflation phases, the knowledge of which w
The Kondratieff Wave And The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...History has shown that the stock market and the four-year Presidential election cycle follow strong predictable patterns. What can we expect going forward?
The Missing Cycle
The Presidential Election Cycle by Arthur A. Merrill, C.M.T.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Presidential Election Cycle by Arthur A. Merrill, C.M.T. It's an election year again. What does history say about them ? This famous technician tells you that what you've heard about Presidential election years may very well be true. An election ye
The Seasonal Cycle by Hans Hannula, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Seasonal Cycle by Hans Hannula, Ph.D. I use natural cycles to help me trade stocks and commodities profitably. One of the most obvious and powerful of nature's cycles is the cycle of the seasons. Its effect is obvious not only in commodities, but in
Trading The Eclipse Cycle by Hans Hannula, Ph.D., C.T.A.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Trading The Eclipse Cycle by Hans Hannula, Ph.D., C.T.A. The ancients saw eclipses of the sun and moon as something mysterious and magical. The high priest of the day controlled the masses by telling them: ""Look out, there is an eclipse coming. Do as I
Trading The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...It's another election year but can we expect the market to perform well?
Two Patterns At Play With The January Effect And The Presidential Cycle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Two patterns at play could take the market higher despite current shifts under way if you know what they are.
Using Cycle Deviations
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles come in all forms and sizes, but what's a cycle deviation? It's something to keep your eye out for.
V.15:11 (505-509) Cycle Measurements by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The author of Mesa and Trading Cycles and developer of the MESA software series presents why you should dynamically adjust your indicators due to the change in market cycles. There's no doubt about it: Market cycles can be difficult to identify. But if
VZ: Cycle Swing CD In Process
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Verizon Communications are setting up for a high probability swing buy trade that has many technical dynamics working in its favor.
Variable Cycle Lengths And Intraday Candlestick Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Variable Cycle Lengths And Intraday Candlestick Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Trading methods often use different length filters for generating trades, both entries and exits. The most common filters are moving averages with differen
WM: Elections As The Most Powerful Short-Term Cycle by Matt Blackman
WYN: Monthly Sell Signal At Major Cycle High
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...After a stunning 3,600% rally since November 2008, shares of Wyndham Worldwide are primed for a major correction.
Workday, Inc.: Proportional Pullback To Cycle Bottom
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...After making a measured correction into a key cycle bottom, shares of Workday, Inc. may be ready for a sprint toward $100 per share.
Working Money: Gann Can Cycle by Aaron Lynch
XLF: More Downside Into Cycle Low
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of the S&P Select Financial SPDR fund are declining fast — right into a strong support area.
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