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Article Archive For Keyword: cycles
Download1989 cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...1989 cycles by John F. Ehlers Cycle activity in 1989 was substantially higher than in 1988, and some role reversals in cycle personalities appear to have occurred relative to the previous year. To measure and examine 1989 cycle activity, I used 12 perpe
1991 Cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...1991 Cycles by John F. Ehlers If you've always suspected that contracts have definite personalities, you would have your suspicions confirmed this way. Here's an overview of various cycles that appeared in some futures markets during 1991, the way only
AAPL: Weekly Cycles Say More Downside Possible
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Apple, Inc. are still in corrective mode, per its key weekly price cycles.
Are There Persistent Cycles? by E. Michael Poulos
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Are There Persistent Cycles? by E. Michael Poulos Most technical indicators use a fixed lookback length based on the idea that cycles are present in the price data. Should the same fixed lookback length be used for all markets? Are there persistent cycl
Copper: Recessions, Cycles, And Spins
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Can the economy keep counting on copper?
Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles
Cycles & Patterns: A Look at Microsoft
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Microsoft has always reported good earnings and met their earnings whisper number, yet, before every earnings announcement, there has always been speculation that 'this time they will miss.' Now that their legal case with the government has be
Cycles In The Dow Emini Futures
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In the world of trading, risk, and reward, cycles are natural and so are the cycles of greed. How do you overcome these cycles or least prosper from them?
Cycles In Time And Money by Stuart Belknap, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:5 (28-35): Cycles In Time And Money by Stuart Belknap, Ph.D. Wouldn't you like to be able to identify top and bottom extremes and get signals to open new positions or close current ones? This may help. When was the last time
Cycles and Trading Systems by Jeffrey Owen Katz, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles and Trading Systems by Jeffrey Owen Katz, Ph.D. This time, this Contributing Writer looks at using cycles as the basis of a trading system. In previous articles, my search for successful trading systems led me to discover a very effective devel
Cycles and chart patterns by Anthony F. Herbst
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles and chart patterns by Anthony F. Herbst Many who analyze price charts of stocks or commodities recognize that cycles influence the patterns they observe. But few carry this insight through the logical steps that could mean better trade timing. Th
Cycles and the S&P 500 Index
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In all the years I have been a student of technical analysis, and I go back as early as 1967, using cycles to forecast an index's turning point has always fascinated me.
Cycles by Arthur Merrill
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles by Arthur Merrill The market certainly moves in waves. Is there regularity in these cyclical waves that can give us useful clues to the future? Any curve can be approximated by adding together a number of sine waves, each with a different period
Cycles without tears by Hans Hannula, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles without tears by Hans Hannula, Ph.D. No doubt you have seen the ad in The Wall Street Journal for the book Math Without Tears . Well, this is how to find cycles without math and, therefore, without tears. Even though I have done a lot of technica
Cycles, Volatility, And Chart Formations by Daniel L. Chesler, CTA, CMT
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles, Volatility, And Chart Formations by Daniel L. Chesler, CTA, CMT Understanding the building blocks of classical chart patterns can improve your analysis and trading results. Here's how. A nyone who has studied or traded with classical chart patt
Do Cycles Exist in the Market? by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...This longtime S&C contributor explains the basis of the existence of cycles in market data. The markets are not always efficient; this is why trading decisions based on technical analysis work. Chart patterns that are discernible, technical events such
Engineered Look At Trends In Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...It's easier to gain from trending markets than choppy or cyclical market movements. But you can detect trends from a cyclical perspective.
Engineering Look At Cycles by Arthur Zernov
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Do cycles exist in markets? Here's a look at the markets from a different angle -- one that will help you realize that there is a harmony among cycles, events, and market behavior. The existence of cycles in stocks and commodities prices is considered
Fibonnacci Cycles by TUCKER J. EMMETT
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Fibonnacci Cycles by TUCKER J. EMMETT The growth in popularity of my own technical application of the Fibonnacci mathematical series to the futures markets the past ten years has been fairly remarkable, considering the amount of homework and trading dis
Finding Cycles In Time Series Data by A. Bruce Johnson, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Finding Cycles In Time Series Data by A. Bruce Johnson, Ph.D. To improve the process of removing trend from stock market prices to see underlying cyclic movement, I have combined triangular moving averages with the moving average convergence/divergence
For Bank Of America, Cycles Warn Of Near-Term High
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Shares of Bank of America continue to trend higher, but two key price cycles are warning of a near-term reversal.
Forecasting Market Turns Using Static And Dynamic Cycles by Brad Swancoat and Ed Kasanjian
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Market Turns Using Static And Dynamic Cycles by Brad Swancoat and Ed Kasanjian Who hasn't heard of Fibonacci ratios by now, but to actually use them in predicting market turns? Here, two software developers give novice and veteran technician
Four-Year Cycles by James G. Arnold
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Four-Year Cycles by James G. Arnold I developed the ""form"" of a long-term up/down cycle of the stock market, as shown in Figure 1a. This form shows that all market trends continue to excess. The up market phase drives prices far above value and the do
Hidden Rewards Of Cycles by Mohab Nabil, MSTA
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Hidden Rewards Of Cycles by Mohab Nabil, MSTA Head and shoulders patterns appear frequently in price charts. By using simple cyclical analysis you can forecast not only the price target, but also when that price will be reached. Making a profit in the
In search of the cause of cycles by Hans Hannula, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In search of the cause of cycles by Hans Hannula, Ph.D. People have, for centuries, noticed cycles in many things, including the stock market. My own interest in cycles and their application to the market began in the early 1970s, when I read Dewey and
Interview: An Insight Into Cycles With Ed Easterling
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Navigating the financial markets can be a science and an art. Ed Easterling, founder and president of Crestmont Research, is able to combine the science and art of market analysis and come up with some interesting perspectives on the markets. He shares h
Interview: Bill Meridian And Those Long-Term Cycles by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (48-53): Interview: Bill Meridian And Those Long-Term Cycles by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan Cycles theorist Bill Meridian began on Wall Street in a most conventional way, as a fundamental analyst at the Value Line Investment Sur
Interview: Talking Cycles With Jeffrey Hirsch
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Jeffrey A. Hirsch is CEO of Hirsch Holdings; editor-in-chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac and Almanac Investor eNewsletter at www.stocktradersalmanac.com; research consultant at Probabilities Fund Management, LLC; and a Yahoo Finance contributor. He is
Interview: Tim Wood Of Cycles News & Views by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:5 (68-74): Interview: Tim Wood Of Cycles News & Views by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan Tim W. Wood is editor and publisher of Cycles News & Views, which provides technically based research and analysis on the stock market, gold, bon
Jeffrey Hirsch on Seasons, Cycles, and Super Booms
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Jeffrey A. Hirsch is editor-in-chief of Stock Trader's Almanac and the author of several books. A 25-year Wall Street veteran and president of the Hirsch Organization since 2001, he appears regularly in the financial media. We spoke with him about using
Keys To Predicting Economy Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Predictable patterns exist within the cycle of rising and lowering interest rates to help us gauge where in the economic process equity markets are. When shifting from an environment of rising to lower rates, interest-sensitive issues should be the first
Long-Term Cycles Offer Short-Term Warnings For Stocks
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles point to a correction and then strong gains in stock prices through the end of the year.
Looking At Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...We live in a world of cycles and many believe there is a correlation between cyclical movements and our emotional ups and downs. Here's a look at some of the different types of cycles as they relate to the financial markets.
Looking At Cycles Through Gann
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...W.D. Gann left so much material behind when he died that nobody is quite sure what strategy he used to amass his fortune. Here is one strategy he may have used.
Lunar Cycles And Stock Market Volatility
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Have you ever objectively analyzed the data of lunar cycles and its relationship with the financial markets? Here is one method that could bring some value to your trading.
Lunar Cycles and Trading by J. O Katz, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Lunar Cycles and Trading by J. O Katz, Ph.D. This month, this Contributing Writer looks at using lunar cycles as the basis of a trading system. In my previous two articles, I focused on cycles -- rhythmic oscillations that occur with a certain periodic
Market Cycles With Donald Dony
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Donald Dony is a professional technical analyst and holds the top global designation of Master of Financial Technical Analysis from the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA), the first in Canada to achieve this designation.
Measuring Market Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...If you haven't given much thought to why certain parameters are used in indicators, you may be interested to know that it has a lot to do with measured cycle periods. Here's how you can use these measured periods and apply them to your indicators
Momentum Indicators and Market Cycles by John Nicholas
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Momentum Indicators and Market Cycles by John Nicholas The techniques used for stock and commodity analysis range from the naively simple to the stunningly complex. Some are based on sound mathematical and philosophical principles while others border on
Momentum Indicators and Market Cycles by John Nicholas
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (78-79): Momentum Indicators and Market Cycles by John Nicholas Here's an article we originally published 23 years ago, two years after Technical Analysis of STOCKS & COMMODITIES broke ground, proving that, yes, cycles are e
Monthly Price Cycles Show Bullish Signs Of Life
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Many industry groups are manifesting rising monthly price cycles, implying that more gains may be seen after a period of further correction and/or consolidation in the US markets.
More On Cycles And The S&P 500
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Can technical analysis foretell the future? I don't believe it can, but I do believe that technical analysis does encompass everything that is out there, and by this I mean fundamental and emotional actions and projections - facts and feelings.
Moving Window Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Moving Window--Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D. I would-like to introduce a new method of stock market forecasting with a practical application. The Moving Window-Spectral (MWS) method [1] takes advantage of the cyclic
Nasdaq And Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Even though there are sophisticated programs available that determine cycles and their future projections, I still prefer the simple approach, namely counting the number of days between lows, and projecting them into the future.
Optimizing RSI with cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimizing RSI with cycles by John F. Ehlers A look at Wilder's Relative Strength Index oscillator and an optimization using cycles. Also included is a BASIC computer program which follows the author's optimization processes. As an engineer I have ofte
Optimizing directional movement with cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimizing directional movement with cycles by John F. Ehlers Directional Movement, an approach which weighs the daily difference between highs and the difference between lows, can be optimized by applying cycle concepts. Ehlers explains the process and
Paget Cycles Revisited
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In 1982, at a conference in Johannesburg, South Africa, I met a man named Roger Paget. He taught me two cycle strategies I still use today.
Positive Long-Term Cycles For ExxonMobil
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Now that shares of ExxonMobil have moved above recent highs, what's next for the stock price of this global energy giant?
Profiting From Monthly Trading Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Price movement in stocks comes in waves, and within waves are more cyclical waves. What's the best way to analyze them? Here's a look at using a scientific approach to measure cycles
Projecting Market Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Here in part 6 of Sylvain Vervoort's "Exploring Charting Techniques" series, he discusses a unique way to identify the beginning and end of a market cycle
Russell 2000 Cycles And Supports
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Since peaking late last month, the Russell 2000 index has been moving progressively lower toward an anticipated daily cycle low.
SIDEBAR: CYCLES, POWER AND PHASE by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...CYCLES, POWER AND PHASE by Technical Analysis, Inc. Cycle length is the term most traders use when they refer to cycles. For example, two cycles are plotted, each with two different cycle lengths in sidebar Figure 1. The first cycle has a length of 64 p
SIDEBAR: Four-year cycles on a mathematical basis
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...SIDEBAR: Four-year cycles on a mathematical basis The mathematical basis for the four-year cycle is found in many types of analysis. A good demonstration is the standard deviation of a market average as a risk parameter.
SIDEBAR: Prices and Cycles by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...SIDEBAR: Prices and Cycles by Technical Analysis, Inc. There appears to be a correlation between the magnitude of a stock price move and the strength of the planetary cycle. Article Figure 3 is a scatter plot on which the vertical scale denotes the num
Secular And Cyclical Cycles by Moses Sanchez
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Secular And Cyclical Cycles by Moses Sanchez Secular and cyclical cycles are common, but what do they really mean? The terms secular and cyclical are tossed around by business news pundits on a daily basis. A search on either topic does give some expl
Stock Market Momentum Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How strong is the current US stock market rally?
The Euro's Weekly Cycles by Walter Bressert and Doug Schaff
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Euro's Weekly Cycles As a followup to last month's introduction to the newborn European currency, here's what may happen to the Euro. n January 4, 1999, the 40odd years of planning and 10 years of political and economic work paid off as the Euro bega
The Put/Call Ratio And Price Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The put/call ratio and open interest can be used as a leading indicator to predict the next index move. In this, the first part of a three-part series, the put/call ratio is defined and the cyclical phases this indicator goes through.
The Puzzling Paget And His Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles can be something of a mystery.
Understanding cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Understanding cycles by John F. Ehlers Introduction The first thing we must recognize is that cycle analysis doesn't always work for profitable investment strategy. This is no great surprise, because cycles must be present in the data history for any a
Using Cycles Data
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...If "what goes up must come down" is true, then there must be a way to use that information. Here's how.
VIX Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...See how the VIX performs in bull and bear markets.
Weekly And Monthly Seasonal Cycles
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...These two short-term seasonal cycles can give traders an edge.
Weekly price cycles: evidence of auto-correlation by Frank Tarkany
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Weekly price cycles: evidence of auto-correlation by Frank Tarkany This article is a continuation of my article last month which examined Dow Jones Industrial Average weekly closing price data for price auto-correlation and cross-correlation with total
What Can Market Cycles Tell Us? by Tim W. Wood, CPA
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Secrets Of Cycles And What They Can Reveal What Can Market Cycles Tell Us? by Tim W. Wood, CPA Everything in nature moves in cycles -- the solar system, the migration of geese, sleep patterns. Of more immediate interest to traders are cycles in the a
When To Trade With Cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (32-34): When To Trade With Cycles by John F. Ehlers When should you trade the cycle mode in a market and when should you trade the trend mode? Find out with this indicator. In theory, trading with cycles is easy -- just buy
Working Money: Copper: Recessions, Cycles, And Spin by David Penn
Wyckoff, Market Cycles, Working Models
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The early 20th century gave us master traders who contributed greatly to the study of technical analysis, which is more relevant today than it has ever been.
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