Research In Motion and the Falling Wedge

12/18/02 10:40:31 AM

by Andrew Hetherington

Research In Motion (RIMM) is ready to leap forward out of falling wedge patterns that appear on both its daily and monthly charts.

Security: RIMM
Position: N/A

As hard as it may seem, Research In Motion (RIMM) is poised to jump much higher. Naturally, if the general market conditions don't cooperate then this will be a futile academic exercise. Nonetheless, I expect the Dow to go higher in the very short term before turning south once again. I'm anticipating 9500 on the Dow and I expect most equities to go along for the ride as they have since the Dow hit 7177 in early October.

Figure 1: Research In Motion's daily chart.

Graphic provided by: SuperCharts.

The daily chart shows a small 1-month symmetrical triangle with slowly diminished volume as required. This triangle is on the verge of breaking out in the $15.00 area. In addition, there is a 4-month falling wedge that has already broken out from the $10.00 area. The third fan line will be broken when the $15.00 line is crossed. This must happen with an increase in activity relative to the recent volumes. If an increase in volume does not happen then it will be an untrustworthy event and should be watched with caution. If it breaks this line, as I suspect, with heavier activity, the direction will be changed from down to up. An upward move will likely go to a minimum of $22.00.

Figure 2: RIMM's weekly chart.

The weekly chart also has a huge 2-year falling wedge pattern. This pattern has not broken topside yet. This resistance area will not be overcome without heavy volume. The prudent trade is to take a long position and use a trailing stop along the bottom symmetrical triangle line in the $14.00 area. This will protect your capital and enable most people to go to work with much less anxiety. Trading within the pattern is always a little tricky but there is the small wedge pattern to help thrust it upwards.

Andrew Hetherington

Classic Dow Theorist who trades as a pure technician, using pattern recognition.

Toronto, Canada

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Comments

Date:�12/18/02Rank:�5Comment:�Mr.Hetherington: Would you explain your comments about the Dow going higher, 9500, in the short term before going south. Is the Dow starting the right shoulder of a H S top which when it crosses the neck line on the way down will be the beginning of the right shoulder bottom of a larger pattern with the left shoulder about July 20th and the head about Oct 7? Would it be possible for you to tell me what chart program you use.

Date:�12/19/02Rank:�Comment:�Mr. Hetherington: I submitted a question last night on your comments about the Dow. In my rush to get the message off I sent it and then I realized I had not thanked you or even signed off, so ,,thankyou, Tom E-Mail...tpaulett@idmail.com

Date:�12/29/02Rank:�5Comment:�

Date:�12/31/02Rank:�Comment:�In the wekly chart Rimm is still up over ma 20, Go go!! But some simetry in the figure doesn t indicate possible breakout dgue@terra.com

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Research In Motion and the Falling Wedge

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