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Looking For A Share To Buy

01/04/17 03:08:18 PM
by Koos van der Merwe

With the start of the year 2017, and a new President taking over in the United States of America, looking for a share to buy and hold is not that easy.

Security:   V
Position:   Accumulate

President elect Donald Trump is scheduled to take office as the 45th President of the United States of America on January 20th, 2017. With the transition from the current President, Barack Obama, to Donald Trump turning tense, as they tread on each other and complicate the transition to the White House, the share market is beginning to look risky. President Obama slammed Russia with a series of sanctions and diplomatic censures in response to a US intelligence assessment that Moscow interfered in the Presidential election. Obama also broke with decades of US policy and allowed a UN resolution to pass condemning Israel for building settlements in Judea and Samaria. Surprisingly, Russian President Vladimir Putin held off taking retaliatory action preferring to wait and see how relations with the Trump administration would pan out. Market uncertainty exists. Looking for a share to buy and hold is not that easy. One share, however, that has captured my attention is VISA.

Figure 1. Monthly Chart of VISA.
Graphic provided by: AdvancedGET.
The chart in Figure 1 is a monthly chart showing how the share price rose from a low of $8.70 in March 2006 to a high of $84,32 by September 2016. The Elliott wave count suggests that the share price is in a WAVE 4 correction and could fall to either $68.31 or $57.70. Do note the RSI indicator is falling from an overbought position.

Figure 2. Daily Chart of VISA.
Graphic provided by: AdvancedGET.
The chart in Figure 2 is a daily chart with a JM Internal Band. A JM Internal Band is a 15-period simple moving average offset by 2% plus and 2% negative. A move above the upper band suggests a buy, and below the lower band a sell. The share price gave a sell on November 14th, and although it rose and tested the upper band, it has not yet given a buy signal. The RSI indicator gave a buy on February 12th. Do note the volume which is falling as the share price trended sideways, a sign of strength.

Shares of VISA can be slowly accumulated based on the RSI indicator and falling volume. Cautious investors could however wait for the share price to move above the upper band of the JM Internal Band indicator.

Koos van der Merwe

Has been a technical analyst since 1969, and has worked as a futures and options trader with First Financial Futures in Johannesburg, South Africa.

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