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If things get crazy in the stock markets, investors rely on dividend-income. A high-yield payout is often a good reason to hold on to a stock for the long-term, which may be the reason the stock of Coca-Cola Co (KO) is a favorite. The stock has paid a dividend steadily for 52 years and annual dividend growth for 10 years has been 9.8%. |
Figure 1. Upward Trend. A good entry for Coca-Cola (KO) can be seen at the seasonal low. The breakout is a buy signal that has the potential to move up to the seasonal high expected on December 24, 2014. |
Graphic provided by: www.lp-software.de. |
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Figure 1 shows KO in an upward mode. It rose above a long-term resistance at $43.50, breaking the upper trend-channel resistance. What is interesting is that the move starts at an area for a seasonal low as showed by the two seasonal lines. Although the stock has time until October 13, 2014 to make a bottom, it has started climbing. The move, therefore, is a long-term buy signal with a seasonal high on December, 24, 2014, and the breakout could be good for an additional 10% or more. |
Figure 2. Envelope Chart. A minimum target used with the trading range of the W-formation comes in at $46.05, while the upper 200-day envelope suggests that $48.50 could be possible. |
Graphic provided by: www.lp-software.de. |
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Figure 2 shows an envelope chart, with the first target at $46.05. I mirrored the former trading range from the W-formation to the upside to get the minimum target. The second goal is the upper 200-day envelope with a deviation of 20%, which right now is calculated at $48.50. If you have a long position in the stock, you should place a stop-loss at $42. |
Figure 3. Kagi-Chart. |
Graphic provided by: www.lp-software.de. |
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I would like to show you another chart of KO. It is a kagi chart, which is similar to a point & figure chart. There must be a minimum move to get a buy or sell signal. In this case it has to be more than 4%. Breakouts are signals. The reason I presented this chart is to determine how KO moved in the past when a similar upside signal occurred. As a technical analyst, I analyze every chart extensively and I have found that each time a preceding high was exceeded, the upcoming move would be a strong one. The blue line shows the current buy signal while the red line shows where the former high was crossed. Every time when that occurred, a movement of more than 10% occurred in the following months. If the stock moves similarly to these previous upside signals, a 10% upside potential is likely to be achieved soon. |
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