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ELLIOTT WAVE


Anheuser Busch InBev

01/22/13 07:56:20 AM
by Koos van der Merwe

When a program algorithm gives you a buy signal, you must look at it closely.

Security:   BUD
Position:   Buy

Using a program that automatically gives you buy or sell signals when you run it can save a great deal of time. However, when a buy signal is received, it should always be investigated more closely.

FIGURE 1: BUD, DAILY. Here's a chart showing buy signals given.
Graphic provided by: Omnitrader..
 
Figure 1 of Anheuser Busch (BUD) shows the various strategies I am using to trigger a buy signal. As you can see, all the strategies, with the exception of the relative strength index (RSI) 12-period strategy, are in buy mode. The Verve trailing stop is used to take us out of the position when the price breaks below it. As you can see, the buy signals given have been accurate. Had you followed the RSI (14-period) shown on the chart, we would have sold out much too early in most instances. Is the share worth a buy, and what would its target be?

FIGURE 2: BUD, DAILY. Here's a chart showing an Elliott wave count.
Graphic provided by: AdvancedGET.
 
Figure 2 is an Elliott wave count of the share price movement. The count is suggesting that the share is in a wave 3 of wave V, with a target of $106.67. The target is calculated using a Fibonacci extension of wave I, as shown on the chart. The length of wave III is equal to that of wave I. The target is a Fibonacci reading of 1.618 of wave III.

I would be a buyer of BUD on a pullback, with a long-term hold until the strategy used in Figure 1 gives me a sell signal. Playing the share using the chart until the price reaches the target of $106.67 can be very profitable for short-term traders paying a low commission. Long-term investors could hold the share until the target is reached, or the RSI moves into overbought levels.




Koos van der Merwe

Has been a technical analyst since 1969, and has worked as a futures and options trader with First Financial Futures in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Address: 3256 West 24th Ave
Vancouver, BC
Phone # for sales: 6042634214
E-mail address: petroosp@gmail.com

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