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GAPS


Those Google Gaps

07/26/11 09:05:01 AM
by Koos van der Merwe

We all know what a gap is. However, are you aware that there are three types of gaps?

Security:   GOOG
Position:   N/A

Gaps happen when a price either jumps up with the new low being higher than the previous day's high, or falls down, where today's high is considerably lower than yesterday's low. There are three types of gap:

a. Breakaway gap: Usually found at the lower end of a market move
b. Exhaust gap: Found at the top of the market and calling for a reverse in trend
c. Measuring gap: Always found midway in the market and suggesting a pause in the trend.

My chart of Google, shown in Figure 1, illustrates the various gaps. Note the exhaustion gap in October 2010 that led to the high of $631.50 by November 2010. Note also that with the exhaustion gap, the relative strength index (RSI) was at overbought levels.


FIGURE 1: GOOG, DAILY. Here, Google is showing gaps.
Graphic provided by: AdvancedGET.
 
On November 29, 2010, GOOG traced an exhaustion gap on rising volume, followed by a breakaway gap of December 2010 that occurred on a rising RSI. This created what is known as an island, which reinforces the uptrend after the breakaway gap.

The measuring gap of April 2011 occurred with the RSI giving a "trivergence" buy signal, where the RSI gave three buy signals, two of which were failures. It was only after the much smaller exhaustion gap on June 23, 2011, that the RSI buy signal became effective. The share price then rose on two tiny breakaway gaps to test the long-term resistance line, eventually breaking it in an exhaustion gap with the RSI at oversold levels. Do note the sharp increase in volume with every major gap that occurred.

Would I be a buyer of Google shares at the moment? No. I would wait for the stock price to fall to fill the recent exhaustion gap somewhere between $550.97 and $587.88 with the RSI below or at the 32 level.






Koos van der Merwe

Has been a technical analyst since 1969, and has worked as a futures and options trader with First Financial Futures in Johannesburg, South Africa.

Address: 3256 West 24th Ave
Vancouver, BC
Phone # for sales: 6042634214
E-mail address: petroosp@gmail.com

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