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Most traders fail to examine what the indicator known as the rate of change really is, which is simply the percentage change in price over a defined period. For example, to calculate the 26-week rate of change, you would subtract the price 26 weeks ago from today's price and then divide that difference by the price 26 weeks ago. |
One problem with it is that it just seems to be too simplistic to provide trading signals, and this is true. But it can be combined with a moving average and applied to trading strategies as a trend filter. This idea is shown in Figure 1. |
FIGURE 1: COPPER. Here's copper with the 26-week rate of change and a 34-week moving average. |
Graphic provided by: Trade Navigator. |
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In this figure, the rate of change in price is trading above its long-term moving average. A 34-week moving average is used, but there is nothing magical about that number. Waiting for the crossover to initiate a long position allows the trader to capture almost half of the move off the bottom. |
Applying a moving average to an indicator is an overlooked technique, yet it is actually the basis of the well-known and widely followed stochastic indicator. In this case, the technique can serve as a trading signal or a trend filter as part of a more complex strategy. |
Website: | www.moneynews.com/blogs/MichaelCarr/id-73 |
E-mail address: | marketstrategist@gmail.com |
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