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Watch Out Below! Nasdaq support

03/12/01 10:44:25 AM
by Sean Moore

As the tech-laden Nasdaq Index nears the 2,000 mark on the 1-year anniversary of its 5,132 high, we're left wondering where the bottom lies.

Security:   NASDAQ
Position:   Sell

The Nasdaq index has been plummeting through support levels of late. To find the next level of support you will need to look beyond a two-year chart. The Nasdaq has just broken below the low of 1999, which means you need to go back to 1998 for support. There is nice line of support through the low points of the double bottom that developed in September and October of 1998. This was the double bottom that started the year and a half Nasdaq bull ride. This support line is near 1,500. The line at 2,000 is a psychological line that could possess some support, but technically speaking, there is little support around 2,000. If, or when, the Nasdaq passes below the 2,000 mark, it will likely test the 1,500 support line that formed in the autumn of 1998, as shown in Figure 1.

Unfortunately, from a technical standpoint, it doesn't look like the Nasdaq has settled into a bottom. There are likely still some nice short-selling opportunities within the technology sector. If you're looking to go long, you may want to wait for a more prevalent bottom to develop.

Figure 1: Weekly chart for the Nasdaq 100 Index with the 1,500 support line and 1998ís double bottom.
Graphic provided by: MetaStock.

Sean Moore Staff Writer.

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