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International Game Tech (IGT) faced serious selling pressure on reaching a high of $48. IGT was unable to move above that level, hinting at a weakness in the rally. Figure 1, the daily chart, shows that IGT gapped down faster, losing almost $10 from its resistance line. The stock failed to hold its 200-day moving average support, correcting even more. The 50-day moving average is now moving toward a bearish crossover, and this may weaken the stock further. |
FIGURE 1: IGT, DAILY. The price faces moving average resistance. |
Graphic provided by: StockCharts.com. |
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Along with the 200-day moving average resistance, Figure 1 also points to a stochastic (10,7,3) resistance at 80. The price faced moving average resistance and the stochastic also failed to move above 80. As a result, the price dipped to $39. |
The stochastic moved to 33, indicating the possibility of a bounce back. The moving average resistance can obstruct this movement, and hence, traders should avoid any trade on this pullback. The average directional movement index (ADX)(14) shows that the downtrend has already developed, and so, the short side is stronger. |
FIGURE 2: IGT, WEEKLY. A bearish flag & pennant formation weakens the stock further. |
Graphic provided by: StockCharts.com. |
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In Figure 2, a chart of the weekly IGT has formed a bearish flag & pennant formation, and again the price is facing a 50-day moving average resistance, and more downside is expected. After falling $10, the price consolidated in the range of $37.50–$40, forming a flag. It could lose more if the stock breaks down from the flag & pennant formation. The stochastic (10,7,3) has marginally moved to 22, indicating some more consolidation, and so I am reluctant to give any target for a short trade below $37.50. But once the consolidation is completed, traders can calculate the target by measuring the length of the flagpole and subtracting it from the breakdown level. |
Though more downside is expected in IGT, traders may choose to wait and watch till $37.50 is violated. |
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