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The 30-minute chart shown in Figure 1 covers the last 18 trading days, and analysis applies to the short-term trend. Because technical analysis is fractal, we can apply the same analysis techniques to different time frames. Analysis techniques are universal. This chart could easily be a daily, weekly, or even monthly chart. The only reason I know it's a 30-minute chart is because I created it and set the time frame. |
The stock advanced sharply from March 14 to 21 and then declined over the last seven days. The decline formed a falling price channel and retraced around 62% of the prior advance. Both the retracement and the pattern are typical for corrections. The correction ended with a surge above the upper channel trendline and prior high. Prior to this breakout, the stock formed a string of lower lows and lower highs — hence the falling price channel. The breakout broke this string, and today's higher high is the first step toward a new uptrend. It would take a move below 25 to negate this breakout. |
FIGURE 1: PFIZER, 30-MINUTE. Analysis techniques are universal. This chart could easily be daily, weekly, or monthly. |
Graphic provided by: TC2000.com. |
Graphic provided by: Telechart 2007. |
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Volume and momentum confirm the breakout. Volume is important on upside breakouts and Pfizer's volume surged to its highest level in over a week. These are 30-minute volume bars, and I overlaid a 50-period moving average. The surge in volume shows strong buying pressure, and this further validates the breakout. The relative strength index (RSI) also shows strong momentum with a positive divergence and break above 50. The indicator became short-term oversold on March 28 and formed a higher low. This show less downside momentum, and the surge above 50 puts the RSI back in bull mode. |
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