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I am using two volume-based indicators to measure buying and selling pressure. On-balance volume adds volume on up days and subtracts it on down days (closing basis). The accumulation/distribution line adds volume when the close is above the mid-point of the high-low range and subtracts volume when the close is below the mid-point. On-balance volume works from one close to the next and the accumulation/distribution line works with a single day's price action. This makes them complimentary and valuable when used together. |
Graphic provided by: MetaStock. |
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While the stock declined from May to July, the accumulation/distribution line and on-balance volume continued higher. This may seem strange, but it shows that upside volume has been stronger than downside volume from close-to-close AND intraday. Taken together, these indicators show accumulation on the way down and this is quite positive. |
While these volume indicators shows signs of accumulation, the price chart shows a clear downtrend. The stock formed lower lows and lower highs the last two months. There was a big surge on Tuesday and this broke the upper trendline. Volume was above average and this is the start of a trend reversal. |
In addition to Tuesday's surge, MACD has a positive divergence working and moved above its signal line. Momentum is turning up again and this stock appears to be putting in a bottom. Tuesday's surge in just one day and a little follow through would be nice for confirmation. Failure to hold the trendline break and a move below 33 would negate these early signs of strength. |
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