Hydrogenics Corp. And Clean Energy

04/26/06 02:07:04 PM

by Koos van der Merwe

Taking a cue from US President George Bush's recent speech on energy conservation, here is another company to watch.

Security: HYGS
Position: Accumulate

Hydrogenics Corp. (HYGS) was founded in 1995 and is based in Mississauga, Canada. Its principal business is the development of clean energy solutions by commercializing hydrogen and fuel cell products, just what President Bush is looking for.

The daily chart (Figure 1) suggests that a possible head & shoulders pattern is developing. A move above the neckline at $4.42 should see a rise to the target of $6.15 (4.33 - 2.51 = 1.82 + 4.33 = 6.15). The negativity in the chart stems from the stochastic indicator, which is overbought and suggests that a sell could be in the offing.

FIGURE 1: HYDROGENICS, DAILY. A head & shoulders pattern appears to be developing for this stock.

Graphic provided by: AdvancedGET.

My second chart is the same stock but this time using the Omnitrader optimizing program (Figure 2). The chart suggested a buy signal based on the strategy I used, on Wednesday, April 19, at $3.96. I have also shown an earlier buy signal on a falling market based on the FishKaufman indicator. The Kaufman indicator is a standard trend indicator, and the FishKaufman indicator is one I developed to smooth the Kaufman indicator, and it appears to work well.

FIGURE 2: HYDROGENICS, DAILY. Here's a daily buy signal shown here using the Omnitrader optimizing program

Graphic provided by: Omnitrader.

To conclude, the Figure 1 AdvancedGET daily chart is suggesting a head & shoulders pattern possibility. The Omnitrader chart is confirming a buy signal, and although the price is touching the upper band of the Donchian trading channel, a sell signal has not been given. The 8,14 period stochRSI is suggesting that there may be weakness in the near future, something that could be taken advantage of.

This is a stock to watch, and to consider buying on any pullback. Conservative investors could wait for a move above the neckline.

Koos van der Merwe

Has been a technical analyst since 1969, and has worked as a futures and options trader with First Financial Futures in Johannesburg, South Africa.