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Late in 2004 this stock broke into all-time high territory. The weekly chart below shows this breakout and the current breakout from a rectangle pattern. The rectangle is a continuation pattern that forms as a trading range during a pause in the trend. Rectangles are sometimes referred to as trading ranges, consolidation zones, or congestion areas. |
The breakout volume is expanding but not exceptional. Volume needs to stay robust or the breakout move could falter. A modest target would be a move equal to the height of the rectangle before taking another pause. For CP, that would be a move to about $52 where another consolidation could occur. A close below the breakout point of $47 could signal a false move. |
Figure 1: Weekly chart of CP shows a strong uptrend. |
Graphic provided by: StockCharts.com. |
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The displayed indicators all show good upside potential. The directional movement indicator at the top of the chart shows a reversal of the DIs or directional movement indicators. Shortly after the bears assumed temporary control (-DI over +DI), the bulls once again took charge. With the ADX at a healthy level of 27, trend strength is good which may fuel further moves. |
The lower indicators all show upside room. Note the RSI (relative strength indicator) shows a bounce off its key 50 level - this often points to good upward momentum. |
Website: | www.whatsonsale.ca/financial.html |
E-mail address: | gwg7@sympatico.ca |
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