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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


FuelCell Energy Looking Strong

09/21/04 08:43:17 AM
by Kevin Hopson

The rally in FuelCell Energy will likely continue.

Security:   FCEL
Position:   Hold

I last time I touched on FuelCell Energy (FCEL) was back in August. At that time the stock was stuck in a falling channel formation, as illustrated by the black pitchfork configuration. In addition, FuelCell was showing bullish divergences on the daily chart, which were indicative of a forthcoming bottom reversal. As you can see, the stock broke out of the black pitchfork configuration in mid-August, at which point the short-term trend turned positive, confirming the bottom reversal theory.

Since bottoming out, FuelCell has continued to move higher along its rising 10-day moving average. The question now is, where does the stock go from here? Looking at the six-month chart, the $12.00 level is an attainable price target in the short-term. This is the site of the purple median line. Since median lines tend to act as significant reversal points, there appears to be more room to run.

Graphic provided by: Stockcharts.com.
 
FuelCell has also been trading in the upper half of the blue pitchfork since late August. Because the stock has yet to test the top parallel line, this could be a near-term upside objective. Not coincidentally, this pitchfork line comes into play around the $12.00 level. Also coming into play is the 38.2 percent retracement ($12.18) from the April-August decline. Given the additional upside potential in the near-term, I would continue to hold shares of FuelCell Energy. If you are looking to go long, the $10.00 level - the site of the blue median line and the stock's 20-day moving average - appears to be solid short-term support.



Kevin Hopson

Kevin has been a technical analyst for roughly 10 years now. Previously, Kevin owned his own business and acted as a registered investment advisor, specializing in energy. He was also a freelance oil analyst for Orient Trading Co., a commodity futures trading firm in Japan. Kevin is currently a freelance writer.

Glen Allen, VA
E-mail address: hopson_1@yahoo.com

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Date: 09/21/04Rank: 5Comment: Could you please detail the Alt.Energy stocks performancewith respect to rising oil gas prices ? Mukund Vasa: email: mukundvasa2000@yahoo.com
Date: 09/22/04Rank: 3Comment: 
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