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CHART ANALYSIS


Yahoo! Maintains Uptrend On Their Weekly Chart

04/13/04 11:44:31 AM
by Ashwani Gujral

Even in choppy markets certain stocks show strong uptrends. These are the stocks that create wealth for investors and traders. But care should be taken to buy them on declines.

Security:   N/A
Position:   N/A

Choppy markets are known for sharp, two-way movements. Most often such markets occur because there are an equal number of bulls and bears. These are difficult markets to trade. These are not secular bull or bear markets, where going long or short will make money. Even in these widely swinging markets, certain stocks will be in strong weekly uptrends. Overall these stocks move up more than others, but they also go through sharp corrections. Traders should identify such stocks and buy them on these corrections. One such stock is Yahoo!, which I wrote about last December ("Yahoo! Consolidates Before Moving On," Traders.com Advantage, 12/29/2003).

Figure 1: Weekly chart of Yahoo!
Graphic provided by: eSignal.
 
Looking at the weekly chart, Yahoo! has clearly held an upward sloping trendline since October 2003. Also visible is that Yahoo! has bounced off this trendline three times. This further strengthens the trendline and I can conclude that, until this trendline breaks, the uptrend will remain intact. Meanwhile, the weekly RSI continues to find support at the 50 level and trades in the bullish zone. The weekly ADX has started rising after a long decline, and thus indicates a trending move as well. An excellent time to enter Yahoo for the long-term is to buy when it hits the trendline again.


Figure 2: Daily chart of Yahoo!

On the daily chart, there is a milder uptrend. But Yahoo! has made a 2-year high, and 2-year highs should be respected. Now the key is to buy when Yahoo! is oversold. One method to do this is to adjust the oversold level of RSI to 40 and buy whenever RSI goes below 40. I chose the 40 level by looking at Yahoo's! past history. Whenever Yahoo! fell below 40, it went into a sustained rally. Also the ADX, after a long decline, has started rising. This is a sign of stronger trends ahead.

If there is one thing traders want to learn, it is how to get into trends, and this is the best swing trading strategy available.



Ashwani Gujral

He is founder of AGIP Securities Pvt. Ltd. which offers money management services, live chat rooms (during market hours) and independent technical analysis consultancy. The company has a big media presence from the likes of CNBC, NDTV Profit, and ZEE Business.

Title: Chief mkt strategist
Company: AGIP Securities
India
Phone # for sales: 9871066337
Website: www.ashwanigujral.com
E-mail address: contact@ashwanigujral.com

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Date: 04/14/04Rank: 4Comment: 
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