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The relationship between the DJIA and an Advance Decline line is averaged over the preceding year by a regression line as described in the July 1988 issue of Stocks & Commodities: Expected DJIA value = A + B(cumulative A-D) This line will produce the average expected value of the DJIA for any current Advance Decline. Then, the actual level of the DJIA is compared to the expected value. ADDO is the percent difference: ADDO = (100 %B4 D/(A + BE)) - 100 Where D = DJIA, E = cumulative advance/decline volume, and A and B = regression constants calculated by a four-column spreadsheet (S&C, July 1988). If ADDO is positive, the DJIA is pulling ahead of A-D (A-D is falling behind the DJIA.) A positive value is bearish and a negative value is bullish. |
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