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The last time I touched on Spinnaker Exploration (SKE), the stock was putting in a potential fifth wave in its long-term downtrend. More specifically, Spinnaker appeared to be in the final leg of its one-year downtrend and the large declining wedge formation (which normally breaks to the upside) supported my theory that there would be a significant bottom reversal in the stock. As I anticipated, this occurred in late March. |
However, as you can see in the chart, the stock is now approaching a significant confluence of resistance. For example, Spinnaker is forming a rising wedge, which is usually resolved by a break to the downside. Furthermore, the stock's 200-day moving average ($22.97), the 38.2 percent retracement level from the Aug. 2002-March 2003 decline ($22.87) and the median line of the gray pitchfork are all converging around the $23.00 level. Combined with the currently overbought conditions, I would consider this a major resistance area and a potential turning point in the stock. |
Graphic provided by: StockCharts.com. |
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However, since I believe we have already seen a major bottom in the stock price, I would look to accumulate on weakness. More specifically, the $19.00 to $20.00 range, site of Spinnaker's 50-day moving average ($19.35) and the stock's recent quadruple top breakout ($20.00), should act as significant support in the near-term. I feel that both short-term traders and long-term investors will be well-rewarded by doing this. |
Glen Allen, VA | |
E-mail address: | hopson_1@yahoo.com |
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