ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...During a rally, short-term interest rates (yields) on three-month bonds tend to remain well below 20-30 year bond yields. But when that relationship gets upended, it usually spells trouble.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:6 (32-36): Playing The Yield Curve by Jay Kaeppel So what is the yield curve, and how can you use it in your trading? Find out here. Most investors are at least vaguely aware of something known in financial circles as the "yi
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Since first inverting in March 2019, the 10-Year minus 3-Month has inverted yet again. What does it mean?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:4 (20-24): The Inverted Yield Curve by Kathy Lien An inverted yield curve has implications in regards to the US dollar and the economy. Will they both suffer? The potential of a yield curve inversion has been a major topic in
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Since the 1960s, recessions have followed every time 10-year Treasury yields have dropped below 3-month yields and stayed there. This ratio turned negative in May. In this article we explore how to track this indicator using free, publicly available data
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Can the bear market in US interest rates continue?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In every major correction, rumors surface that a recession is in the wings. These same rumors have been circulating of late. If we are indeed in a true bear market and headed for recession, the yield curve will provide valuable warning.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...When the yield curve, defined by short-term rates dropping below long term, inverts, it generally indicates economic weakness. It has now been inverted for the most part since May.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In this two-part series, you'll get a comprehensive review of yield curve analysis and how it can be applied to making decisions in the stock market. In this first part, we'll look at basic theory as well as some guidelines for how discretionary investor
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Last month in part 1, we presented the basics of yield curve analysis. Here, we review its historical performance in various countries through the use of yield spread indicators.