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Article Archive For Keyword: Forecasting

  • ARIMA Forecasting by ERIC WEISS, PH.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...ARIMA Forecasting by ERIC WEISS, PH.D. In the October 1982 of Technical Analysis, I discussed Autoregressive-Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and why it is such an accurate forecasting technique. In this article, I'll discuss how to build an ARIMA mode

  • Does Forecasting Have A Place In Your System?

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...There are three ways to forecast: taking a gamble, making an engineered calculation, and using historical insight. You need to combine all three elements to come up with a well-balanced trading system. Here's how.

  • Forecasting A Market Recovery After A 10% (Or More) Correction

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market declines can cause the powerful emotions of fear and greed to take over our decision-making abilities. When you notice that happening, try to think rationally

  • Forecasting Boeing Turbulence

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Boeing's stock price has held up very well in the midst of recent market pain and high oil prices but this trader sees likely turbulence ahead.

  • Forecasting Commodity Prices Using ARIMA by ERIC WEISS, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Commodity Prices Using ARIMA by ERIC WEISS, Ph.D. Back in December 1981, J. Louis Anon wrote an article in Commodities called ""Catch Short Term Profits using ARIMA'' and touched off a minor revolution in forecasting commodity and stock opti

  • Forecasting Facebook?

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...With technical analysis, could you have forecast the Facebook share crash?

  • Forecasting Futures Movement by In Gyu Koh and Sung Soon Lee

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Futures Movement by In Gyu Koh and Sung Soon Lee A Daytrading Method Second To None Forecasting Futures Movement Is it possible to chase two rabbits at once? This intraday technique combines direction of price movement and timing of your en

  • Forecasting Market Turns Using Static And Dynamic Cycles by Brad Swancoat and Ed Kasanjian

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Market Turns Using Static And Dynamic Cycles by Brad Swancoat and Ed Kasanjian Who hasn't heard of Fibonacci ratios by now, but to actually use them in predicting market turns? Here, two software developers give novice and veteran technician

  • Forecasting Markets With Elliott And Kondratieff

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wave cycles may send you to the future or back to the drawing board.

Forecasting Singular Spectrum Analysis by S. Drogobetskii and V. Smolynsky

  • Forecasting T-Bill Rates With A Neural Net by Milam Aiken

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting T-Bill Rates With A Neural Net by Milam Aiken Have you ever wondered how accurate the consensus estimates of interest rates were from the top US economists? How about how accurate those economists are in comparison with neural net technology

  • Forecasting The Financial Market

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wouldn't it be nice to be able to accurately forecast stock price activity? Realistically, if that were possible, financial markets wouldn't exist.

  • Forecasting The US Dollar

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...It has now been three years since the Canadian dollar started strengthening vis-a-vis the US dollar. Can the Canadian dollar be used to determine what is going to happen to the US dollar?

  • Forecasting Tomorrow's Trading Day by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Tomorrow's Trading Day by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. Using linear regression as a crystal ball for forecasting the market? After all, if you were to be able to determine tomorrow's high, low and close for trend changes and placement of stop poi

  • Forecasting With Elliott Wave Theory

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Here's a simple mathematical technique you can use as a forecasting tool.

  • Forecasting With Maximum Entropy by Jack K. Hutson and Anthony W. Warren, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting With Maximum Entropy by Jack K. Hutson and Anthony W. Warren, Ph.D. The most obvious ability that stock or commodity buyers and sellers wish for is foresight. If there was a method or technique that we could use to predict what tomorrow will

  • Forecasting the HIGH of a Cycle

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting the date for a cycle low is relatively easy as I have shown in my two previous articles, "Cycles and the S&P 500 Index" (12/13/02), and "Nasdaq and Cycles" (12/16/02), but forecasting a cycle high can be difficult. Her

  • Forecasting the market with the overbought/oversold indicator by Steven B. Achelis

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting the market with the overbought/oversold indicator by Steven B. Achelis The terms ""overbought"" and ""oversold"" are often used to discuss market conditions. However, as anyone who has placed a short trade simply on the basis that the market

  • Forex Forecasting With Vikram Murarka

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Vikram Murarka has been forecasting, trading, and hedging currencies since 1991. Beginning his career as a currency trader at Essar Group, he managed a forex exposure of $1.2 billion. In 1996 he founded Kshitij Consultancy Services, a leading forex risk

  • Interview: Forecasting Simplified, With Cynthia Kase by J. Gopalakrishnan

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Interview: Forecasting Simplified, With Cynthia Kase by J. Gopalakrishnan Cynthia Kase, president of Kase and Co., Cta, is considered by many to be the energy market's premier technical analyst and hedging advisor. Educated as an engineer, she worked as

  • Intraday Market Forecasting by Lee Leibfarth

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:8 (34-37): Intraday Market Forecasting by Lee Leibfarth How do you find high-probability daytrading setups fast? Successful daytraders must have the ability to react as soon as favorable conditions in the market develop. Bein

  • Market Forecasting Model: ARIMA by Albert E. Parish Jr., Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Forecasting Model: ARIMA by Albert E. Parish Jr., Ph.D. Numerous statistical and time series techniques have been adapted for use in modeling futures prices series by using the microcomputer. One such model is the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving

  • Measuring An Indicator's Forecasting Ability by George R. Arrington

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Measuring An Indicator's Forecasting Ability by George R. Arrington Indicators are used to forecast a market. Traders have their favorite indicators. How can a trader determine whether an indicator leads the market? How can we tell whether one indicator

  • Moving Window Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Moving Window--Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D. I would-like to introduce a new method of stock market forecasting with a practical application. The Moving Window-Spectral (MWS) method [1] takes advantage of the cyclic

  • Neural Network Development For Financial Forecasting by Lou Mendelsohn

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Neural Network Development For Financial Forecasting by Lou Mendelsohn Extensive research has been conducted about the application of neural networks to financial forecasting in today's globalized trading environment. What makes this particular use of a

  • Optimal Window Length For Forecasting by A. Denis Ridley, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimal Window Length For Forecasting by A. Denis Ridley, Ph.D. As a rule, the financial markets are complex and difficult to analyze, due to multiple cyclical elements present in the related data. The moving window spectral (Mws) method of analysis and

  • Spectral Forecasting And The Financial Markets by Denis Ridley, Ph.D..

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Spectral Forecasting And The Financial Markets by Denis Ridley, PhD. Ever considered spectral wave analysis to determine cycles in the stock market? Denis Ridley tells you how. As a rule, the financial markets are not easy to forecast. While forecast

  • The Volatility Index As A Forecasting Tool

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Can the volatility index be used to predict market direction?

  • Time Series Forecasting: ARMAX by Thomas H. Lincoln

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Time Series Forecasting: ARMAX by Thomas H. Lincoln As an avid reader of stock market books and newspapers, I have observed the overwhelming number of graphic illustrations of economic and market indicators. Oftentimes some indicators are contradicted b

  • Trading Vs. Forecasting: What's The Difference?

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Trading is about recognizing present opportunities where the risk-to-reward is favorable. Forecasting, on the other hand, is outcome dependent. Find out how you can use both and take advantage of those opportunities

  • Two Market Forecasting Tools For 2013

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Traders are constantly on the lookout for indicators that give them a leg-up on everyone else. Here are two indicators that should help.

  • Using Neural Networks For Financial Forecasting by Lou Mendelsohn

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using Neural Networks For Financial Forecasting by Lou Mendelsohn With this offering, STOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor Lou Mendelsohn concludes his examination of neural networks for financial forecasting in today's globalized trading environment. Here,

Working Money: Forecasting With Elliott Wave Theory by Eric Morgan

  • Wyckoff Part 7: Coordinating vertical and figure charts for more effective forecasting by Jack K. Hu

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wyckoff Part 7: Coordinating vertical and figure charts for more effective forecasting by Jack K. Hutson Vertical charts, alone, are a detailed source of information for the Richard D. Wyckoff analysis of individual stocks groups and the market. But whe







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