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Article Archive For Keyword: R

  • A Duration Proxy For Stock Portfolios by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Duration, used in fixed-income portfolios to measure risk associated with changes in interest rates, is applied here to measure the risk of a stock portfolio. The duration statistic has proved to be a valuable risk indicator for fixed-income portfolios

  • A Rationale For Managed Futures by Charles R. Lightner

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Rationale For Managed Futures by Charles R. Lightner Although the futures markets are widely misunderstood even among knowledgeable investors, they serve a critical purpose in our economy; through the managed futures industry, they provide an importa

  • Analyzing indicators with the cells method by David R. Aronson

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Analyzing indicators with the cells method by David R. Aronson Does a given technical indicator have predictive value or not? This fundamental question must be answered before using it to forecast market trends or as input to trading decisions. An intui

  • Bezier Curves: No Tool For Trading by Donald R. Lambert

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Bezier Curves: No Tool For Trading by Donald R. Lambert Once upon a time, long, long ago, when the dates all ended in ""B.C."" (which, as we all know, stands for ""before computers""), draftsmen were often faced with a problem. The head draftsman would

  • Building A Variable-Length Moving Average by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Building A Variable-Length Moving Average by George R. Arrington, Ph.D. Of the tools in the technician's arsenal, the moving average is one of the most popular. It is used to eliminate minor fluctuations in prices, filter data noise and identify any und

  • Commodity Channel Index: Tool for Trading Cyclic Trends by DONALD R. LAMBERT

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Commodity Channel Index: Tool for Trading Cyclic Trends by DONALD R. LAMBERT Reprinted from Commodities Magazine 1980 219 Parkade, Cedar Falls, IA 50613. Many commodities exhibit some type of cyclical or seasonal price pattern. But, the commodity trade

  • Computerizing Elliott by ROBERT R. PRECHTER, JR.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Computerizing Elliott by ROBERT R. PRECHTER, JR. A ny discipline that can be explained and quantifed is ultimately programmable, and the Elloitt Wave Principle is no exception. In fact, many aspects probably could be computerized relatively easily. Howe

  • Conquer The Crash by Robert R. Prechter Jr.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Conquer The Crash by Robert R. Prechter Jr. You Can Survive And Prosper In A Deflationary Depression Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, www.wiley.com Author: Robert R. Prechter Jr. It is hard to ignore the idiosyncrasies when studying Elliott wave theory.

  • Contrary opinion by R. Earl Hadady

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Contrary opinion by R. Earl Hadady Facts are unimportant! It's what they are perceived to be that determines the course of events. That, in a nutshell, is what drives the principles of contrary opinion that are at work in various human activities, parti

  • Daily stock tendencies by L. R. James

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Daily stock tendencies by L. R. James Most of us who have done a substantial amount of stock trading would agree that the broad market does a lot of funny things. In theory, the stock market is a vast, highly efficient mechanism that takes in informatio

Detecting New Trends Early by David R. Steckler

  • Elliott Wave dilemma: Bull or bear market? by C. R. MacDowell

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Elliott Wave dilemma: Bull or bear market? by C. R. MacDowell The Elliott Wave Theory, while complex and subject to individual interpretation, offers a powerful means of putting the overall market developments into reasonable perspective and provides so

  • Evaluting the COMMODEX(R) System by Ronald R. Goodis

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Evaluting the COMMODEX(R) System by Ronald R. Goodis The COMMODEXÒ System-- practically every futures trader has heard of it. Most serious traders subscribe to it. It remains the only daily futures system published in the world and is internationally cir

  • Exploring the Science of Technical Analysis: Thomas R. DeMark by Thom Hartle

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Interview: Thomas R. DeMark by Thom Hartle Thomas R. DeMark has been called ""the ultimate indicator and systems guy"" with the publication of his well-received book, The New Science of Technical Analysis. Who is he and what has he done that deserves su

  • Exponentially Smoothed Moving Averages by Donald R. Lambert

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Exponentially Smoothed Moving Averages by Donald R. Lambert If you were to do a survey of all the many trading systems that are in common usage, it is very likely that two calculation methods would be found to be leading the pack by a great margin. They

  • FXEducator's Ed Ponsi by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...FXEducator's Ed Ponsi by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber As an experienced professional trader, Ed Ponsi, the president of FXEducator.com, has advised hedge funds, institutional traders, and individuals of all levels of skill and experience. He has ma

  • Fibonacci-Based Fractal Form And Elliott Waves by Robert R. Prechter Jr.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Fibonacci-Based Fractal Form And Elliott Waves by Robert R. Prechter Jr. The stock market is a tapestry of mathematical relations governed by Fibonacci number ratios. Here's a look at how you can apply Elliott waves to find these ratios, from a master E

  • Fractal Analysis by James R. Williamson Jr.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (36-39): Fractal Analysis by James R. Williamson Jr. Can the complex behavior of the stock market really be reduced to something simple? This article will demonstrate that, over the last 30 to 40 years, the seemingly comple

  • Guidelines For Risk Management by George R. Arrington

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Guidelines For Risk Management by George R. Arrington Risk control is an essential part of trading successfully. Effective risk management requires not only the careful monitoring of risk exposure, but a strategy to minimize losses as well . Understandi

  • Inherent Return In Futures Markets by Charles R. Lightner

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Inherent Return In Futures Markets There has been a long-running controversy about the source of returns to futures market investors. With that in mind, consider new data in support of the theory that there is an inherent return to the noncommercial inv

  • Interview: Classic Swing Trading With Linda Bradford Raschke by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Interview: Classic Swing Trading With Linda Bradford Raschke by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber Hers is a name that you've probably heard or read any number of times if you've been interested in or involved in technical analysis for very long. Linda B

  • Markov Chains by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Markov Chains by George R. Arrington, Ph.D. A Markov chain, the concept of which was developed in 1906 by Russian mathematician A.A. Markov, is a mathematical tool that traders might use to predict future price changes on the basis of past price changes

  • Martin Pring and The Relevance Of Price Trends by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Martin Pring and The Relevance Of Price Trends by J. Gopalakrishnan and B. R. Faber Martin J. Pring entered the financial markets in 1969 and has grown to become a leader in the global investment community. In 1981 he founded Pring Research and began pr

  • Measuring An Indicator's Forecasting Ability by George R. Arrington

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Measuring An Indicator's Forecasting Ability by George R. Arrington Indicators are used to forecast a market. Traders have their favorite indicators. How can a trader determine whether an indicator leads the market? How can we tell whether one indicator

  • Money Management Indicators by Michael R. Bryant, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Money Management Indicators by Michael R. Bryant, Ph.D. Keeping track of your system's performance will alert you to changes in market behavior. T raditional market indicators are typically based on price. Moving averages, for example, are calculated u

  • On-Balance Volume Indicator by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Group Relative Strength Analysis by Jaime V. Behar Of all the factors in trading that technicians learn to analyze, surely price and volume are the first two. Here, the basics behind this classic technical tool are explained. To even the most casual o

  • Overhauling Market Breadth by Jacobus R. van den Brink

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:12 (62-65): Overhauling Market Breadth by Jacobus R. van den Brink A transformation of the Arms index and its components saves screen space and provides additional insight into market breadth. Most index traders are familiar

  • Position Sizing With Monte Carlo Simulation by Michael R. Bryant, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Need to know how much to put on your next trade? You can figure it out with 95% reliability using this simulation technique. Consider this: Jane and Joe started trading the same Standard & Poor's 500 futures trading system at the same time. They each be

  • Predicting Market Data Using The Kalman Filter by R. Martinelli & N. Rhoads

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Predicting Market Data Using The Kalman Filter by R. Martinelli & N. Rhoads The Kalman filter is a two-stage algorithm that assumes there is a smooth trendline within the data that represents the true value of the market before being perturbed by market

  • Predicting Market Data Using The Kalman Filter, Pt 2 by R. Martinelli & N. Rhoads

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Predicting Market Data Using The Kalman Filter, Pt 2 by R. Martinelli & N. Rhoads Can the Kalman filter be used to predict future price movement? In this second part of this series we answer this question. Previously, we discussed the Kalman filter and

  • Predicting The Shape Of A Cycle Bottom by Michael R. Burk

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Predicting The Shape Of A Cycle Bottom by Michael R. Burk I define a cycle as what happens between peaks in my New Low Indicator. Since the beginning of 1978 there have been 24 complete cycles averaging a little over 120 trading days, or 24 weeks. Cycl

  • Price Changes During Non-Trading Hours by George R. Arrington and Howard E. Arrington

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Price Changes During Non-Trading Hours by George R. Arrington and Howard E. Arrington One frustrating aspect of trading commodities is the price changes that occur during non-trading hours. It is difficult enough to make a profit when markets are open a

Product Review: Advanced Analyzer by Bruce R. Faber

Product Review: FreeStockCharts.com by Bruce R. Faber

  • Profitability of selected technical indicators by Thomas R Drinka, Steven L. Kille, Eugene Mueller.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Profitability of selected technical indicators by Thomas R Drinka, Steven L. Kille, Eugene R. Mueller The objectives of this paper are to review five popular technical indicators, summarize the capability of microcomputer programs developed jointly in t

  • Put-call sentiment indicator by Robert R. Prechter and David A. Allman

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Put-call sentiment indicator by Robert R. Prechter and David A. Allman Put/call ratios based on volume and dollar value have been widely used by technicians (see ""Option premiums,"" Stocks & Commodities, December 1989). A third approach has been substa

Quick Scans: Super StreamMachine by Bruce R. Faber

Quick-Scans: Commitments Of Traders by Bruce R. Faber

Quick-Scans: The Forewarned Investor by Bruce R. Faber

  • Regressions in hard commodities by L. R. James

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Regressions in hard commodities by L. R. James The possibilities for precious metals price rises are present, but so are the possibilities for their decline. The bond market and the Federal Reserve give every indication of being intolerant of anything m

Relevance III by Herbert R. Sorock

  • Reversals In Weekly Stock Returns by A. Tezel, PhD, and R. Sharma, PhD

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Reversals In Weekly Stock Returns by A. Tezel, PhD, and R. Sharma, PhD Nasdaq stocks provide the highest net returns from a long strategy after a week of declining returns and declining highs and lows. Stock prices with strong momentum during the prio

  • Robert R. Prechter Jr. on the Elliott Wave Principle by Thom Hartle

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...V14:1 (37-42): Interview: Robert R. Prechter Jr. on the Elliott Wave Principle by Thom Hartle It's inevitable: Anyone who enters into the realm of technical analysis runs into a reference to the Elliott Wave Principle sooner or later. Whether you're an

  • SIDEBAR: EXPLAINING r

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...EXPLAINING r Correlation analysis to measure the degree of relationship between two variables. Gives a spreadsheet example and formulas.

  • Seasonal Adjustment Of Time Series Data by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Seasonal Adjustment Of Time Series Data by George R. Arrington, Ph.D. While time series data is the heart of most technical trading systems, some have a tendency to reflect seasonal patterns; for example, agricultural commodities tend to follow harves

  • Software Review by Herbert R. Sorock

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Software Review by Herbert R. Sorock CHART TRADER PLUS ? Investor's Toolkit, Ltd. 7441 W Archer Avenue Summit, IL 60501 (312) 496-0305 Price: IBM version . . . . . . $299.95 Apple version . . . . . $249.95 Demo(either) . . . . . .$ 19.95 Summar

  • The Accumulative Swing Index by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Accumulative Swing Index by Bruce R. Faber Here's an indicator developed by J. Welles Wilder that determines the true direction of the market by comparing today's trading range with yesterday's activity. Each day a market has an opening, high, low

  • The Arms Index by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Arms Index by Bruce R. Faber Here's the scoop on the Arms index, a stock market indicator that incorporates the number of advancing and declining stocks with the advancing and declining volume. The index is widely used as an indication of overbought

  • The Basics Of Moving Averages by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Basics Of Moving Averages by George R. Arrington, Ph.D. Moving averages are one of the most common technical tools that technicians, both veteran and novice, may take advantage of. But for those novices, the concept may be somewhat confusing. What i

  • The JSA Moving Average by George R. Arrington, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The JSA Moving Average by George R. Arrington, Ph.D. Presenting the JSA, a unique moving average that could provide an early warning that other technical indicators may have an impending signal. In addition, comparing the JSA with other moving averages

  • The Market Direction Indicator Anticipating Moving Average Crossovers by DONALD R. LAMBERT

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Market Direction Indicator Anticipating Moving Average Crossovers by DONALD R. LAMBERT Over the years, trading methods have evolved from the very simple (such as the CHANGCHENG BANFA or ""Great Wall Method,"" which dates back to the Orient of the 17

The Market Forecaster by Thomas R. Sewell

  • The Price Oscillator by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Price Oscillator by Bruce R. Faber What is this indicator and how can it be used? For neophytes to learn and seasoned traders who want to refresh their memories, check this out. The price oscillator. Don't let the fancy name throw you. Simply, this

  • The Rate Of Change Indicator by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Rate Of Change Indicator by Bruce R. Faber The rate of change is an indicator that measures the pace at which price is changing. Tracking the rate of the change of price can confirm trends and forewarn of market reversals. Here, then, are some guide

  • The Squeeze For Toys R Us

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Following an uptrend that started in January 2003, Toys R Us entered a narrow trading range. The formation of a Bollinger Band pattern known as the "squeeze" suggests that a sharp directional movement is likely to occur, and further analysis le

  • The Volume Indicators by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Volume Indicators by Bruce R. Faber In spite of its importance, much less is written about volume than about price. Here's an introduction on the subject for the novices and a refresher for the veterans. To technical analysis, volume is as importan

  • Trade The Opening's Reaction by Perry R. Stevens, MD, MBA

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Early Bird Does Get The Worm Trade The Opening's Reaction Here's a simple, profitable trade you can make during the opening 30 minutes of the market. by Perry R. Stevens, MD, MBA The first 15 to 30 minutes after the stock market opens are usually t

  • Trendlines by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Trendlines by Bruce R. Faber How do you use trendlines? It's one of the most basic tools of investment analysis, yet it's not explained as clearly as it might. If you're just starting out, here's the scoop. Or if you're an old pro, here's a refresher.

  • V.9:12 (482-485) SIDEBAR: Explaining r by Jim Bianco, C.M.T.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...EXPLAINING r Correlation analysis measures the degree of relationship between two variables. The correlation coefficient r is one popular statistical index for this purpose. The values for r range between +1 to -1; a +1 reading indicates that the two va

  • Volume Called the Market by R. Stuart Thomson

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Volume Called the Market by R. Stuart Thomson By going back to October 1986 we can better understand the market explosion that occurred in January 1987, thanks to our cumulative volume (CV) charts. (See ""Cumulative Volume"" in the June 1986 issue of St

  • Websites For Traders: GoldMoney.com by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...V. 22:3 (90-91): Websites For Traders: GoldMoney.com by Bruce R. Faber GOLDMONEY.COM There are two basic kinds of money: commodity-backed money and faith-based money. Commodity-backed currency can be exchanged on demand for the commodity that backs it.

  • Websites For Traders: Kitco.com by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Websites For Traders: Kitco.com by Bruce R. Faber KITCO.COM All that glitters isn't gold, but Kitco.com definitely is. If you want information on gold or most other precious metals, Kitco.com is a good place to start. It would be nice if there were sit

  • Websites For Traders: TheBullionDesk.com by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Websites For Traders: TheBullionDesk.com by Bruce R. Faber' THEBULLIONDESK.COM Ross Norman, Dominic Hall, and John Fairley, three former members of the London Bullion Market, founded The Bullion Desk (TBD) in October 1999. They wanted TBD to be the "de

Working Money: A Developing Depression by Robert R. Prechter and Peter Kendall

Working Money: America's Huge, Ugly Twins by Bruce R. Faber

Working Money: Check The Fine Print by Bruce R. Faber

Working Money: Hi-Yo, Silver! A Wave! by Bruce R. Faber

Working Money: Recovery, Inflation, Or Deflation? by Bruce R. Faber

Working Money: Setting Financial Goals by Bruce R. Faber

  • Working Money: Why Doesn't The Fat Lady Sing? by Bruce R. Faber

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Working Money: Why Doesn't The Fat Lady Sing? by Bruce R. Faber When the stage is obscured by smoke and mirrors, how can you know when the last act is finally over? Even though the bear market has been eating investors' lunch since early in 2000, there







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