ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Four-Year Cycles by James G. Arnold I developed the ""form"" of a long-term up/down cycle of the stock market, as shown in Figure 1a. This form shows that all market trends continue to excess. The up market phase drives prices far above value and the do
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Insider selling soared in November to the highest level since August 2000, which coincided with the last major peak in the S&P 500 index before the recession. Are corporate insiders trying to tell us something?
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...SIDEBAR: Four-year cycles on a mathematical basis The mathematical basis for the four-year cycle is found in many types of analysis. A good demonstration is the standard deviation of a market average as a risk parameter.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How accurate and consistent is the four-year cycle? Judge for yourself.