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FIBONACCI


S&P Seeking Support

05/30/07 09:38:27 AM
by Austin Passamonte

Measuring support and resistance zones via Fibonacci and retracement tools.

Security:   S&P 500
Position:   N/A

Following a sharp selloff on February 27 this year, the Standard & Poor's 500 led all indexes upward in a seemingly straight ascent. That rise brought price action in the cash market to a handful of points from a new record high on the close. Three successive attempts this week failed to make that mark as price action narrowed and the ascent tapered off.

FIGURE 1: S&P 500 FUTURES (ES), DAILY
Graphic provided by: TradeStation.
 
With one fell swoop of the seller's program buttons, 14 previous sessions' worth of rally was erased between the opening and closing bells. Count backward that many daily candles/bars in Figure 1 and we see where price action on May 14 closed right near today's ending value. What goes up in fits and starts, leaving low-volume air pockets below, usually corrects itself in far more rapid fashion. We've seen it before many times, and another example can be seen here for us today.

Countless thousands of S&P traders are watching and reacting to this spot on the chart. Volume of buy-stops and sell-stops clustered nearby are already forming. A quick bounce back up above 1517 and the new-closing high watch can resume. A break below 1506 brings 1500, 1490, and 1475 zones back into play.

Summertime trading is often said to be dull. It's quite possible we can expect anything but that to grace our charts in 2007. One brief glance at the charts of summer 2002 will show that the summer market and low volatility are not always synonymous.



Austin Passamonte

Austin is a private trader who trades emini stock index futures intraday. He currently trades various futures markets from home in addition to managing a trader's educational forum

Title: Individual Trader
Company: CoiledMarkets.com
Address: PO Box 633
Naples, NY 14512
Website: coiledmarkets.com/blog
E-mail address: austinp44@yahoo.com

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