Figure 1: Daily chart of JNJ.
Johnson & Johnson broke triple bottom resistance just below 53 in late January (green arrow). Even though the breakout occurred on only average volume, the price action is still bullish and the upside target is around 57. This is calculated by taking the difference between the upper resistance level and the lower support and adding it to the upper resistance level (53 - 49 = 4, 53 + 4 = 57).
|There are more than three lows around 49 so the pattern is not a "picture perfect" triple bottom with three distinct lows as illustrated in Figure 2. However, technical analysis is a combination of "art" and "science." There is definitely support around 49 with at least six successful tests from August to December. In addition, there are two distinct highs around 53 that marked major resistance. The essence of a triple bottom is clearly visible with a large base (August - December), a well-established resistance level (September and November highs) and a clean break above resistance.|
|Figure 2: An example of a triple bottom.|
|Graphic provided by: MetaStock.|
|A key tenet of technical analysis is that broken resistance becomes support. As such, broken resistance at 52.8 became the first support level for JNJ. After a sharp pullback in late February, the stock bounced off broken resistance (turned support) with a gap up and surge in volume (24-Jan). As long as JNJ holds above broken resistance (turned support), the trend is firmly bullish and a move towards 57 is expected.|
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