SEP 1984 STOCKS & COMMODITIES Magazine

Article Archive For SEP1984

Book Review: by John Sweeney

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Book Review: by John Sweeney An Easy Course in Using the HP-12C and Other Financial Calculators by Chris Coffin and Ted Wadman Grapevine Publications, Inc. Corvallis, Oregon 97339 Price: $18.00 There seems to be something about financial calculations that boggles minds. I've taught finance courses for years and I'd guess that less than 20% of introductory students finish with a solid working knowledge of the fundemental equation. Now Messrs. Coffin and Wadman have written a book whose great value is not its explanation of a particular calculator, but its graphic presentation and detailed...

AUTHOR: John SweeneyDATE: SEP1984

COBWEB DYNAMICS: Microeconomic Basis for Technical Stock Market Analysis by Kent Kachigan

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...COBWEB DYNAMICS: Microeconomic Basis for Technical Stock Market Analysis by Kent Kachigan Introduction For many years, investors, analysts and economists have been debating whether the theories developed by technical stock market analysts have their foundations in traditional microeconomic theory. While many technical stock market analysts intuitively believe that their theories are associated with supply and demand, they have not yet been able to demonstrate this connection. I present an idea demonstrating the link between microeconomic theories and technical stock market analysis in hope t...

AUTHOR: Kent KachiganDATE: SEP1984

Decision Making by Fred Gehm

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Decision Making by Fred Gehm One group of techniques that traders should know more about are those for multiple-criteria decision making. These techniques allow the trader to simultaneously analyze a number of alternatives in terms of a number of attributes or criteria, allowing the traders to simultaneously maximize rewards and minimize risks. Most of the powerful and interesting multiple-criteria decision making techniques require a computer, but some can be done freehand. One of the easiest and most valuable decision making techniques available is also one of the oldest. Tradeoff analysis...

AUTHOR: Fred S. GehmDATE: SEP1984

Exponentially Smoothed Moving Averages by Donald R. Lambert

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Exponentially Smoothed Moving Averages by Donald R. Lambert If you were to do a survey of all the many trading systems that are in common usage, it is very likely that two calculation methods would be found to be leading the pack by a great margin. They are simple moving averages (SMA) and exponentially smoothed moving averages (ESMA). Most texts involving ESMA's are sprinkled with phrases describing the choice of a particular smoothing factor as being equivalent to a certain number of days' SMA, or weighted moving average (WMA). Aside from differences due to there being two schools of thou...

AUTHOR: Donald R. LambertDATE: SEP1984

Is The Stock Market Random? by Bill Dunbar

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Is The Stock Market Random? by Bill Dunbar Professor Aikinheit of the Economics Department strokes the bottom of his mustache up out of the way, tips his martini glass and drains the last precious drops. ""Have another?"" Joe Grubber licks his upper lip and belches, ""Yeah!"" The professor leans forward with fervent intensity. ""As I was saying, you take this drunk and turn him loose in the middle of a football field, right on the fifty yard line, see, then watch him stagger around. As he lurches this way and that it's a good imitation of stock prices. If he staggers toward the east goal it...

AUTHOR: Bill DunbarDATE: SEP1984

Moving Window Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D.

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Moving Window--Spectral Method: Price Forecasting With Cycles by A.D. Ridley, Ph.D. I would-like to introduce a new method of stock market forecasting with a practical application. The Moving Window-Spectral (MWS) method [1] takes advantage of the cyclical nature of stock, bond, commodity and other prices to forecast prices. I've included an example to illustrate systematic estimation and forecasting, and a trading rule as well. Theory While the theory on which the following discussion is based is applicable to multivariate time series analysis, trading an index, stock or commodity, is a uni...

AUTHOR: A.D. Ridley, Ph.D.DATE: SEP1984

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: SEP1984

SIDEBAR: SIDEBAR 1

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...SIDEBAR 1 RUN DECISION MAKER DECISION MAKER I CAN HELP YOU MAKE DECISIONS BY CHOOSING THE BEST POSSIBILITY FOR YOU OUT OF SEVERAL ALTERNATIVES. ALL I NEED TO DO IS ORGANIZE INFORMATION YOU ALREADY HAVE. WHICH OF THESE BEST DESCRIBES THE DECISION YOU HAVE TO MAKE? 1- CHOOSE AN ITEM FROM SEVERAL ALTERNATIVES? 2- CHOOSE A COURSE OF ACTION FROM SEVERAL ALTERNATIVES? WHICH TYPE (1 OR 2) DO YOU HAVE TO MAKE? 2 I WILL NOW NEED A LIST OF EACH COURSE OF ACTION THAT YOU ARE CONSIDERING. PLEASE INPUT THEM ONE AT A TIME. THE ORDER IS OF NO IMPORTANCE. (9 ITEMS MAXIMUM) HOW MANY ARE THERE ALTOGET...

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: SEP1984

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: SEP1984

Trading Stock Index Options

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Book Review: by John Sweeney An Easy Course in Using the HP-12C and Other Financial Calculators by Chris Coffin and Ted Wadman Grapevine Publications, Inc. Corvallis, Oregon 97339 Price: $18.00 There seems to be something about financial calculations that boggles minds. I've taught finance courses for years and I'd guess that less than 20% of introductory students finish with a solid working knowledge of the fundemental equation. Now Messrs. Coffin and Wadman have written a book whose great value is not its explanation of a particular calculator, but its graphic presentation and detailed...

AUTHOR: Paul A. KazmierczakDATE: SEP1984