STOCKS & COMMODITIES magazine. The Traders' Magazine

Article Archive For MAR1994

  • Advance-Decline Line Basics by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Advance-Decline Line Basics by Daniel E. Downing It never hurts to refresh your memory on the basics. Here's a primer on following the advance-decline line for the stock market. A stock investor who has just begun to analyze the stock market using technical analysis will invariably look at the advance-decline line. There are solid reasons for doing so, for the advance-decline line is a useful indicator not only for the stock market, but also for numerous other markets. The advance-decline line analysis package is multidimensional in that aspect. The daily advance-decline line is the most com...

  • Gerald Appel, With Systems and Forecasts by Thom Hartle

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Gerald Appel, With Systems and Forecasts by Thom Hartle Gerald Appel, a well-known name in the annals of technical analysis, not only publishes the Systems and Forecasts newsletter, he is also a money manager with $200 million under management. But he may be best known for something he considers relatively secondary in his accomplishments, for he is also the originator of the popular and enduring moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator. Ironically, however, he doesn't understand what all the fuss is about with the MACD. So what does he feel is worth the fuss? Stocks & Commoditi...

  • Optimal Window Length For Forecasting by A. Denis Ridley, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Optimal Window Length For Forecasting by A. Denis Ridley, Ph.D. As a rule, the financial markets are complex and difficult to analyze, due to multiple cyclical elements present in the related data. The moving window spectral (Mws) method of analysis and forecasting decomposes the data into a spectrum of cyclical components; this is important because each cyclical component can be evolving over time, in its own unique way. Both the magnitude and phase of each cycle may change independently. To determine how each component is changing, a window with a fixed length of time is moved along the dat...

  • SIDEBAR: THE CANDLESTICK METHOD by Technical Analysis, Inc.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...THE CANDLESTICK METHOD by Technical Analysis, Inc....

  • SIDEBAR: THE ELLIOTT WAVE by Technical Analysis, Inc.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...THE ELLIOTT WAVE by Technical Analysis, Inc. The Elliott wave principle is a method for classifying and forecasting market movement. The basic tenet is that markets move in a five-wave pattern in the direction of the trend. Once the five waves have been completed, the market will move counter to the trend in a three-wave pattern. For example, in Figure 1 the trend is up and there are five waves labeled waves 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. Waves 1, 3 and 5 are called impulse waves. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves, moving counter to the preceding waves. Once a five-wave movement is complete, the market w...

  • Simulating Trading Portfolios by Ajay Jani

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Simulating Trading Portfolios by Ajay Jani Trading commodities? Here are the steps to testing a trading system used for a portfolio of commodities. This article also discusses portfolio-level simulations, variable shift testing and money management. A great deal of attention has been focused in recent years on the importance of having a thoroughly back-tested trading system, and for good reason. Only with thorough and conscientious testing can a trader be assured of trading with a system that is profitable over time. Many software companies have recently introduced programs that allow the us...

  • Strategies For Overcoming Fear by Adrienne Laris Toghraie,

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Strategies For Overcoming Fear by Adrienne Laris Toghraie How many times has fear blocked your way, whether in trading or otherwise? Worse still, did you know it? Neuro-linguistic programmer Adrienne Toghraie explains how you may be sabotaging your own trading and how you can disarm and conquer that internal saboteur. Like most beginning traders, Joe had gone through the typical learning curve. At first, beginners' luck led him to believe that he was a market genius who had discovered a gold mine. Then, when his luck inevitably turned, Joe was humbled as the markets took back everything he ...

  • Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc. METASTOCK The January 1994 STOCKS & COMMODITIES featured an article by Hans Hannula on polarized fractal efficiency. Here is the custom formula for creating the five-period smoothed 10-day PFE (Figure 1) using Metastock: Polarized Fractal Efficiency......

  • Trading The Yen by Linda Satterfield

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Do you feel frustrated sometimes in your trading and wish you could get a blow-by-blow of what someone else is doing? Well, here's Linda Satterfield to take Stocks & Commodities readers through a series of trades she executed in the September 1994 yen futures market and how it turned out. By Linda Satterfield...

  • Using Candlesticks And Oscillators by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Using Candlesticks And Oscillators by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Blending East with West, candlesticks with Western trading techniques and using the computer to boot: Combine candlesticks with oscillators. Candlestick charting has come a long way since Steve Nison introduced the Japanese technique to the Western hemisphere in the early 1990s. While its early popularity in the US had all the earmarks of a fad, it is no longer considered simply to be a fashionable way in which to view data; it has instead become a viable and important tool for the trader who previously only used tr...

  • Using Stops To Your Advantage by William I. Greenspan

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Using Stops To Your Advantage by William I. Greenspan Ever feel as though the locals on the floor of the exchange that you trade seem to know where you place your stop-loss orders? Professional traders know where stop-loss orders are, not because someone told them, but because the stops are always in the same place. Learn how a floor trader views the market, the price levels where stop orders will accumulate and how you can avoid being caught. Is this scenario familiar? You're long Standard & Poor's 500 contracts with a realistic profit objective and your stop-loss order is in place near th...








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