JUN 1997 STOCKS & COMMODITIES Magazine

Article Archive For JUN1997

Bond Market Timing Revisited by Jay Kaeppel

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Bond Market Timing Revisited by Jay Kaeppel Here's an update of this author's article from August 1994 on trading bond funds using Barron's Gold Mining Index as an indicator. In addition, take a look at a new version of that model, as well as information on other ways to take advantage of the timing signals it generates. An article I wrote that appeared in the August 1994 STOCKS & COMMODITIES focused on bond fund investing and detailed a simple bond market timing model that signaled when to switch between long-term bond funds and short-term bond funds. This article will update the results o...

AUTHOR: Jay KaeppelDATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: New Techniques

Checking for Stationarity by Gregory N. Hight

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Checking for Stationarity by Gregory N. Hight A price chart is really a time series, and if you're using technical analysis on one segment, then it's important that the statistical characteristics are the same throughout the data. This is called stationarity. Here's a method for verifying that the data is statistically consistent. It doesn't matter whether you analyze markets using technical or fundamental methods. If you're interested in trends and patterns, you're using time series data. You've probably illustrated trends and patterns using a chart with time on the horizontal axis and the...

AUTHOR: Gregory N. HightDATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: Statistics

Lunar Cycles and Trading by J. O Katz, Ph.D.

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Lunar Cycles and Trading by J. O Katz, Ph.D. This month, this Contributing Writer looks at using lunar cycles as the basis of a trading system. In my previous two articles, I focused on cycles -- rhythmic oscillations that occur with a certain periodicity or frequency. Initially, I explored seasonal cycles, which I defined as recurrent phenomena consistently connected to the calendar, and found that fairly good predictions could be made on the basis of historical market behaviors linked to specific dates as well as times of the year. Then I attempted to find cycles that, unlike seasonal infl...

AUTHOR: J. O Katz, Ph.D.DATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: Trading Techniques

On the Aerodynamic Trader: Constance Brown by Thom Hartle

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...On the Aerodynamic Trader: Constance Brown by Thom Hartle Aerodynamic may seem like a peculiar description for a trader, considering what the word brings to mind at first glance: smooth and sleek, streamlined to minimize resistance. And yet, think about it. Successful traders are mentally streamlined. Winning traders display minimal emotional resistance to a high-risk environment, only trusting their skills to trade. This focused mental state is comparable to those of top athletes who go into head-to-head competition concentrating on their goal, free of any excess mental baggage that could we...

AUTHOR: Thom HartleDATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: Interview

Playing TRIX: The Triple Exponential Smoothing Oscillator by Joe Luisi

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Playing TRIX: The Triple Exponential Smoothing Oscillator by Joe Luisi Here's a look at a tried-and-true favorite, an oscillator that traders can use to determine the trend of the market. With each technical analysis software package comes a host of technical indicators, yet more often than not, the manual accompanying the package only provides a series of one-page guidelines describing how to use each indicator. So here's a more in-depth look at a particular indicator that's often found in those packages, one that for the most part is overlooked but has a real use for the technician: The ...

AUTHOR: Joe LuisiDATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: Novice Traders' Notebook

The Bump-And-Run Reversal by Thomas Bulkowski

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Bump-And-Run Reversal by Thomas Bulkowski Here's a new chart pattern that suggests when to take profits before a trend change begins. Included is a review of past performance. Isn't it strange how an idea occurs? Being hit by a falling apple led Sir Isaac Newton to extrapolate that the apple was acted upon by the same force as that which allows the moon to orbit the Earth. Similarly, while I was doing research on price prediction, a thought came to me when I came across an illustration showing the measure of a head-and-shoulders formation. I wondered if there were a simple measuring tech...

AUTHOR: Thomas BulkowskiDATE: JUN1997SUBJECT: New Techniques

Traders' Tips

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Traders' Tips Here is this month's selection of Traders' Tips, contributed by various developers of technical analysis software to help readers more easily implement some of the strategies presented. Jay Kaeppel's simple trading system described in the May issue is based on the crossover of two simple moving averages (SMAs), filtered by the crossover of the closing price and a longer SMA. The code for this system is supplied for SMARTrader, TradeStation, TechniFilter Plus, WAVEWI$E, and MetaStock....

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: JUN1997

V15:6: Letters to S&C

ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Letters To S&C The editor provides further information on technical analysis accreditation programs and additional reading on the Point and Figure technique....

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: JUN1997