Article Archive For JAN2005
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A One Rank Screening Technique For Mutual Funds by Norman J. Brown
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (39-45): A One Rank Screening Technique For Mutual Funds by Norman J. Brown Here's a momentum-following method using three technical analysis tools to help switch your mutual funds. In my earlier articles describing a "One Rank" (OR) switching methodology (see "Related reading"), I emphasized that the switching rate (S/Y or S) was the driving parameter enhancing mutual fund returns and lowering risk. I also showed that S is a direct measure of a fund's persistence and could be used to screen equity type mutual funds for improved OR performance. Unfortunately, mos...
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At The Close by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (130, 116): At The Close by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan With the Presidential elections behind us, the "uncertainty factor" that was so often talked about for several months is no longer an excuse for the market's unpredictable behavior. Not that this means there is no uncertainty in the markets; there always is and will be. Since the election results came out, the Standard & Poor's 500 index (the index I watch most closely) has crossed above its 50-day moving average as well as broken above the downward-sloping price channel that acted as a strong resistance level (F...
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Books For Traders by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (128): Books For Traders by Technical Analysis, Inc. The Trading Method That Can Make You Rich (199 pages, $195 hardcover, 2004, ISBN 0-97607150-0- 9) by Roy Kelly, published by ARC Systems. Roy Kelly explains a mechanical trading approach that has proven to be an effective strategy for trading all markets. He has compiled 30 years of research into this book, with 129 illustrative charts and graphs that explain a method that can enable the reader to become a successful trader....
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Charting The Market: Triangles by David Penn
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (124-125): Charting The Market: Triangles by David Penn TRIANGLES Writing about triangles as significant patterns in technical analysis, trader, author, and educator John Murphy observes that: ""? The triangle is usually a continuation pattern. Its formation signals that a trend has gotten ahead of itself and needs to consolidate for a while. Once that consolidation has been completed, the prior trend usually resumes in the same direction. In an uptrend, therefore, a triangle is usually a bullish pattern. In a downtrend, a triangle is usually bearish."" There i...
Commodities: We've Only Just Begun
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Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (73): Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile Got a question about options? Tom Gentile is the chief options strategist at Optionetics (www.optionetics.com), an education and publishing firm dedicated to teaching investors how to minimize their risk while maximizing profits using options. To submit a question, post it to our website at http://Message-Boards.Traders.com. Answers will be posted there, and selected questions will appear in a future issue of S&C. WHAT WENT WRONG? I am wondering if someone can please explain what happened during this paper trade: Sell tw...
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How Your Stories Shape You by Adrienne Laris Toghraie
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (68-72): How Your Stories Shape You by Adrienne Laris Toghraie The stories you tell reflect your worldview -- and they can help you succeed. We all have stories that chronicle our lives. At first glance, these stories seem harmless enough, but the cost of holding onto them can be very high. Instead of illustrating why things have turned out the way they have, these "harmless" stories hold the potential to determine how successful we will become in the future. Some of these stories are more influential than others. The more we reflect on a particular story, the mo...
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Index Rotation With Exchange-Traded Funds by David Vomund
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (36-38, 45): Index Rotation With Exchange-Traded Funds by David Vomund Which will perform best, large-cap stocks or small-cap stocks? Will value stocks outperform growth stocks or will growth outperform value? If you watch CNBC, you'll notice that growth managers always say growth will outperform, value managers always say value will outperform, and small-cap managers always say small-cap stocks will outperform. Every analyst has his unique approach, and he believes his style is best. Unfortunately, market environments change. That means there are times when grow...
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Interview: Don Miller & The Ultimate Entrepreneurial Experience by J. Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (58-63): Interview: Don Miller & The Ultimate Entrepreneurial Experience by J. Gopalakrishnan Don Miller toiled in the corporate world, wondering if there were more to life -- and then he discovered there was. He gave up the comfort and safety of his career in the telecommunications industry and plunged into the world of trading, the "ultimate entrepreneurial experience." He is an independent futures trader who focuses primarily on the US and foreign indexes, including the US S&P e-minis and German DAX. In addition to trading a private capital fund, Miller writes a...
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Las Vegas Or Los Nasdaq? by Markos Katsanos
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (18-29): Las Vegas Or Los Nasdaq? by Markos Katsanos Have you ever seen a low-priced stock in your watchlist go up by more than 50% in a day and wished that it had been in your portfolio list instead? Here's a method for picking stocks before they break out. Most traders and market technicians avoid penny stocks. In fact, their stock screening usually includes a filter to eliminate stocks priced at $5 or less. The most common reason cited is that technical analysis does not apply to penny stocks. But is technical analysis really irrelevant where penny stocks are ...
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Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (10-13): Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc. The editors of S&C invite readers to submit their opinions and information on subjects relating to technical analysis and this magazine. This column is our means of communication with our readers. Is there something you would like to know more (or less) about? Tell us about it. Without a source of new ideas and subjects coming from our readers, this magazine would not exist. Address your correspondence to: Editor, STOCKS & COMMODITIES, 4757 California Ave. SW, Seattle, WA 98116-4499, or email to Editor@Traders.c...
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Linking Point & Figure And Bar Charts by Robert Busby, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (30-35): Linking Point & Figure And Bar Charts by Robert Busby, Ph.D. Ever thought of combining these two chart pattern techniques? Find out how. Point & figure is one of the oldest western techniques of charting, tracing its lineage back to Charles Henry Dow. Large numbers of financial professionals rely on point & figure (P&F) charts for buy and sell signals. An even larger group of professionals look at financial data in the form of time series, and prefer bar, line or candlestick charts. Devotees of these two "parallel universes" are frequently at odds with o...
Opening Position by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
Q&A by Don Bright
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S&P 500 Float Changes by James Kellndorfer
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (14-16): S&P 500 Float Changes by James Kellndorfer Before applying indicators to securities, it may be worth your while to identify stocks that behave logically. Here's how you can apply the rules of Economics 101 to find the right stocks. Generally, mathematical formulas are created in an effort to devise some new indicator that demonstrates a pattern, but sometimes patterns appear unexpectedly when you examine the underlying mechanism. For this article, I conducted a simple survey of the Standard & Poor's 500 to evaluate the basic law of supply and demand foun...
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Sidebar: About Renko charts and box sizes by Robert Busby, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (30-35): Sidebar: About Renko charts and box sizes by Robert Busby, Ph.D. Here's an amusing technical phenomenon. The P&F data is computed using a box reversal of one and is then manipulated into four columns in the following way: On up days, a row is formed using the data from the previous day, then the current data, then repeat both. On down days, the data is subtracted from box size (assumed fixed) and a row is formed using data from the previous day twice, then the current data twice....
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Sidebar: MetaStock Code and Penny Stock Breakout System by Markos Katsanos
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (18-29): Sidebar: MetaStock Code and Penny Stock Breakout System by Markos Katsanos This sidebar contains the MetaStock Code and Penney Stock code for Markos Katsanos' penny stock breakout system. The majority of the stocks broke out of a base formation. Breakouts from pennats or flags were excluded from ths study, as the breakout setup tended to bary substantially from typical stocks in the sample. No other distinguishable formations was observed except for a couple of uncompleted cup-with-handle formations....
Sidebar: Runs tests, Z score by Norman J. Brown
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The Simple ABC Correction by Thomas N. Bulkowski
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (52-55): The Simple ABC Correction by Thomas N. Bulkowski This chart pattern reliably signals an extended move up. Take a look. An old joke says that if an investor buys land in an earthquake zone, it will be his own fault. When I see a simple ABC correction in a stock, it reminds me of pavement pushed up by an earthquake. The upward price trend shifts downward in a stair-step correction and then the price trend resumes its upward march, many times for an extended rally. Figure 1 shows what I'm talking about. An upward price trend begins at point 1 and soars to ...
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Traders' Resource: Trading Systems by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (102-113): Traders' Resource: Trading Systems by Technical Analysis, Inc. Trading systems can help take the subjective interpretation out of trading decisions by providing automated buy and sell signals based on preprogrammed rules. Trading systems are usually computer programs but can also be a real-time service issuing signals or a set of published rules to follow. They can rely on one or more trading disciplines, such as artificial intelligence, Gann analysis, astrology, indicator sets, or custom rules. This month in Traders' Resource, we present a list of publ...
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Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (88-101): Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc. Here is this month's selection of Traders' Tips, contributed by various developers of technical analysis software, all to help readers more easily implement some of the strategies presented in this issue. Markos Katsanos' article "Detecting Breakouts In Low- Priced Stocks: Las Vegas Or Los Nasdaq?" describes a system of tests for early determination of conditions suitable for a penny stock's price to "break out" of its established trading range. The tests include Katsanos' finite-volumeelement; three linear regr...
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Websites For Traders: PowerSwings.com by David Penn
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (122-123): Websites For Traders: PowerSwings.com by David Penn POWERSWINGS.COM Will a massive post-election bull market in stocks do for financial weblogs what the US Presidential election season did for political blogs? I have no idea whether the consensus view of ever-higher stock prices is any more correct than the consensus contrarian view of a gut-wrenching market collapse, but as long as the markets remain a place of fascination, opportunity, and controversy, there will always be those looking for insights and, fortunately, those talented and articulate eno...
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Websites For Traders: Technical AnalysisSite.com by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:1 (87): Websites For Traders: Technical AnalysisSite.com by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan TECHNICALANALYSISSITE.COM There couldn't be a more appropriate domain name for a site dedicated to technical analysis, and when a dedicated technical analyst comes across such a site, he or she will expect nothing less than an overdose of technical analysis. So will this site satisfy the technical analyst's craving? What I found from navigating TechnicalAnalysisSite.com was that it was nothing more than an educational and informative site that discusses various technical analysis i...
Working Money: A Five-Step Market Portfolio by Andy Hicks
Working Money: Dr. Reversal And Mr. Support by David Penn
Working Money: Match Your Method To The Market by Steve Palmquist
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