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• Confirming Price Trend by Barbara Star, PhD

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Confirming Price Trend by Barbara Star, PhD Regression And R-Squared, Together Again Confirming Price Trend Here's a technique using linear regression slope and r-squared to confirm the price trend. Linear regression is a statistical method some traders use to filter the static, or "noise," created by day-to-day or bar-to-bar price movements. Using the least-squares method, it minimizes the amount of deviation among price values to determine a best-fit line. In an earlier STOCKS & COMMODITIES article, I showed that applying a linear regression indicator to price creates less lag and more tr...

AUTHOR: Barbara Star, Ph.D.DATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Trading Systems

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• Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Explore Your Options by Tom Gentile CALENDAR SPREAD QUESTIONS I have developed some indicators that give a fairly accurate picture of when a trend is over. In other words, when signal comes, I'm about 70% sure that the trend will either reverse or go flat. A calendar spread seems like a good tool for trading this kind of opportunity. I know what to do if the market goes against me and the trend resumes and know what to do if the market goes more or less flat. My question is about what to do if the market reverses enthusiastically and overruns the spread. Let's say stock QRS has been declin...

AUTHOR: Tom GentileDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Explore Your Options

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• Forecasting Futures Movement by In Gyu Koh and Sung Soon Lee

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Forecasting Futures Movement by In Gyu Koh and Sung Soon Lee A Daytrading Method Second To None Forecasting Futures Movement Is it possible to chase two rabbits at once? This intraday technique combines direction of price movement and timing of your entries and exits. IN trading, two variables to consider are direction of price movement and the timing of your entries and exits. Most of the time you can't catch them both at the same time -- it's usually one or the other. In this article we show you how you can. We will discuss when and in which direction futures prices will move during an int...

AUTHOR: In Gyu Koh and Sung Soon LeeDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Daytrading

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• Forex Focus: Let The Technicals Do The Talking by Jared Martinez

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Forex Focus: Let The Technicals Do The Talking by Jared Martinez Interpreting charts is an art as well as a science, which is why you need to map out all the different scenarios that can take place once you place a trade. Here's one chart interpretation method that combines technical tools. Understanding Fibonacci's discoveries changed not only my trading career but my life. What the Italian mathematician discovered back in the 13th century explains how nature works. His discoveries proved that we are created in a numerical sequence, just like pine cones and pineapples. His discoveries prove...

AUTHOR: Jared MartinezDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Forex Focus

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• Futures For You by Dan O'Neil

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Futures For You by Dan O'Neil BE A MANAGER I'm just getting started in the commodity futures markets. In your opinion, what is the most important thing focus on as I begin trading? Like holiday shoppers looking for that perfect gift, most beginning investors long for the one-size-fits-all answer to this question. After all, from searching for a good trading opportunity to navigating the intricacies of technical analysis to trying to find the right broker, new futures traders have a lot on their minds. It would certainly be helpful to have one overriding aspect of the process on which to focu...

AUTHOR: Dan O'NeilDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Futures For You

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• Interview: Jim Dalton of DLC Profiles by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Interview: Jim Dalton of DLC Profiles by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan Author and former hedge fund manager James Dalton is a Market Profile believer, and he'd be the first to tell you that. A member of both the CBOT and the CBOE, he served as executive vice president of the CBOE during its formative years. Between writing Mind Over Markets and his latest book, Markets In Profile, he also served as director of research for managed accounts at UBS Financial Services, where he worked with an array of professional money managers. As a result of this experience, Dalton has come to place added emphasis ...

AUTHOR: Jayanthi GopalakrishnanDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Interview

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• Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc.

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Letters To S&C by Technical Analysis, Inc. TRIX: TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING OSCILLATOR Editor, I am very interested in the indicator called TRIX, which was first described and presented by your publisher, Jack Hutson, in his July/August 1983 article in STOCKS & COMMODITIES, "Triple Exponential Smoothing Oscillator: Good TRIX." I have a question about its calculation. At the website StockCharts.com, there is a graph of a TRIX calculation plotted around what I call a zero baseline with values above zero of 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%, and values below zero of 10%, 20%, and 30%: http://stockch...

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Letters To S&C

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• Liquidity Of The Biofuels Market by Rick Kment

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Liquidity Of The Biofuels Market by Rick Kment The ethanol futures contract is relatively young, but the market has tremendous growth potential. Here's why. Since the early 1970s, the ethanol and biofuels industry has witnessed rapid and unprecedented growth. In the last couple of years in particular, the attention surrounding ethanol and biofuels has exploded on a national and global level. From celebrities and politicians, to activists and environmentalists, to the local farmers and table-talk pundits, everyone is weighing in on the topic. The biofuels industry has evolved from a sleepy, f...

AUTHOR: Rick KmentDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Futures

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Opening Position by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan

AUTHOR: Jayanthi GopalakrishnanDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Opening Position

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• Q&A by Don Bright

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Q&A by Don Bright BLOGGING ABOUT DIVIDENDS Basic question about dividends. How do they work? I have $2,000 to invest and I was wondering how the dividend yield relates to how much I am going to get. Do I get the dividend each month or quarter? Thanks--Anonymous If a stock has a declared dividend, it will have an "ex-dividend" date, which means that if you own the stock the night before this declared date, you will be paid the dividend amount multiplied by the number of shares you own. The payment will come in a couple weeks after the ex-date....

AUTHOR: Don BrightDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Q&A

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• Short-Term Trading With SVAPO by Sylvain Vervoort

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Short-Term Trading With SVAPO by Sylavain Vervoort The trading rules I will discuss here are based on an eight-bar shortterm volume and price oscillator (SVAPO) period with a 1/1,000 minimum price change and with an upper standard deviation channel at 1.5 and 1.3 at the lower side over a 100-day period, as discussed in my previous article. The rules are: Rule 1: The start of a short-term up move is signaled when SVAPO turns up from below the lower standard deviation boundary as in the weekly chart of Hewlett-Packard (HP) in Figure 1. The same is valid for a short-term down move when SVAPO tu...

AUTHOR: Sylvain VervoortDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Indicators

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• The Trading Plan by John Jay Norris

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Trading Plan by John "Jay" Norris We all know that creating a trading plan is the first step in trading. Find out how one futures trader creates a plan and follows it. Combining analytics and execution is not new for individuals or professional entities, and most companies separate the two. Many individuals lean toward one or the other, but traders must do both. Traders must be patient and disciplined and accept that they will not have a choice regarding when a trade scenario will unfold. Traders just need to be in the habit of being at their stations every trading day rested and relaxed...

AUTHOR: John Jay NorrisDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Real World

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Traders' Resource: Data Services by Technical Analysis, Inc.

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Traders' Resource

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• Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc.

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Traders' Tips by Technical Analysis, Inc. Editor's note: This month's Traders' Tips are based on Barbara Star's article in this issue, "Confirming Price Trend." Code written in eSignal language is already provided in the article's sidebars. Code for other programs as well as additional eSignal code are presented here. Readers will find our Traders' Tips section in its entirety at the STOCKS & COMMODITIES website at www.Traders.com in the Traders' Tips area, from where the code can be copied and pasted into the appropriate program. In addition, the code for each program is usually available a...

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Traders' Tips

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• Websites For Traders DailyFX.com by David Penn

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Websites For Traders DailyFX.com by David Penn DAILYFX.COM In writing about the rise of foreign exchange trading among everyday retail traders, a frequent lament has been the lack of quality news, analysis, and information resources. Although the currency pages of publications like The Financial Times and, to a lesser degree, The Wall Street Journal have provided a great deal of what currency traders need in order to be up to date on the vagaries of forex trading, the fact is that there remain precious few online resources for forex traders compared to those trading other financial instrument...

AUTHOR: David PennDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Websites For Traders

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Working Money: Property Sector Yin And Yang by Matt Blackman

AUTHOR: Matt BlackmanDATE: DEC2007SUBJECT: Focus On