A new cycle analysis trading technique by Russell L. Miller
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...A new cycle analysis trading technique
by Russell L. Miller
This article describes a novel cycle-based day trading system that, under testing, turned in nearly a
300% annualized profit on equity. In most cases, trading with cycles involves entering a position at a
cycle peak or valley and holding the position through a half cycle until it's time for the direction to
change. My system, on the other hand, uses cycle analysis to predict the direction of the next day's move
in a commodity so that a long or a short position can be entered at the next day's open and exited at the
close of the marke...
An advance/decline line for commodities by Thom Hartle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...An advance/decline line for commodities
by Thom Hartle
One of the first technical lessons in stock market investing is understanding the relationship between the
movements of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the advance/decline (A/D) line for the New
York Stock Exchange. The A/D line is the cumulative difference between the number of issues trading up
on the day and the number of issues trading down on the day. If 235 issues are up and 356 issues are
down then the A/D value for the day will be -121.
You may begin a cumulative total with any number. If you start with 1,000 and add ...
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Averaging systems
by Charles Idol
Everyone knows the secret of successful investing: buy low and sell high. Unfortunately, that rule
requires accurate market predictions. If clouds obscure your crystal ball, it would be to your advantage to
consider the merits of the averaging systems.
Dollar averaging has been advocated for a long time as a conservative, reasonably successful system
which takes some advantage of market cycles, surpasses the ""buy it and forget it"" syndrome and requires
almost no thought on the part of the investor. Value averaging requires a little more work, participates
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Opening Range Breakout
by Toby Crabel
Two price chart patterns -- the inside day (ID) and the four-day narrowing range (NR 4) -- have
proven to be reliable predecessors of trending action that can be profitably traded with an opening range
breakout (ORB) system. (See Stocks & Commodities, February and April 1989.)
What happens to the predictive power of these patterns when they're combined? My research assumption
was that, because they were both individually successful, they would produce clearer ORB buy/sell
indications when combined.
I examined this assumption in several ways. First,...
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Public/member short selling
by Arthur Merrill
The statistics on shorting by professionals and by the public can be combined into revealing and
successful indicators. The basic figures are published, two weeks late, in Barron's and The Wall Street
Journal. The New York and American stock exchanges report total short sales and the portions of the
total made up by specialists, floor traders and other members for their own account.
These three subcategories can be added together to yield ""total members,"" or shorting by the smart
money. Total members can be subtracted from total short sales to ...
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Time, price and pattern
by Robert Miner
This article is taken from the notes of my trading log for a closed and open trade in the platinum
market. My trading plan is three-dimensional. I look for coincidences of time, price and pattern in market
activity to indicate trades that promise maximum profit potential with minimum exposure and risk. Only
when the market completes a reliable pattern, near a time period indicating a change in trend and at an
important price level, do I enter or exit a trade. All three dimensions must coincide.
The time ratio analysis of the recent major cycles in the ...
Traditional chart analysis: A neglected tool? by Thomas Aspray
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Traditional chart analysis: A neglected tool?
by Thomas Aspray
With the virtual explosion of computerized technical analysis over the past few years, some basic
methods of analysis are often forgotten or at least neglected. I confess that I have even contributed to the
outbreak of ""oscillatoritis"" by focusing my research and writing on developing new, computerized
technical indicators. Despite this, traditional chart analysis does play an important role in my own
Traditional chart analysis is a proven method of analysis and I feel it can be very useful, even for the