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DownloadA Hybrid System For Market Timing by Mark B. Fishman and Dean S. Barr
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Hybrid System For Market Timing by Mark B. Fishman and Dean S. Barr Hybrid technologies are perhaps the most-investigated topic in artificial intelligence today and here's how to apply the subject to trading. In two recent articles in STOCKS & COMMO
A Market Bottom Pattern for S&P Futures by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Market Bottom Pattern for S&P Futures by Tushar S. Chande The S&P futures market is dominated by anti-trend traders. It's a fact: It's a tough market to trade using trend-following approaches. But if you can't beat 'em, why not join 'em? The trading
A Volatility Trade In Gold by David S. Landry
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Volatility Trade In Gold by David S. Landry, CTA Large moves often follow low-volatility environments. Here's one method of combining volatility indicators and pattern recognition along with trend-following methods to capture a breakout in the 1997 go
A sojourn through random territory by Henry S. Patricoff
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A sojourn through random territory by Henry S. Patricoff The New York Stock Exchange Advance/Decline (A/D) figures, dice, and roulette have a bit in common on a probability basis. The figures are for these particular 6,500 trials. At some future sampli
Adapting Moving Averages To Market Volatility by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Adapting Moving Averages To Market Volatility by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. If a market is active, it has volatility: that cannot be avoided. And because the market is continuously changing, an indicator that attempts to predict market activity must itself
Analyzing Risk/Reward Tradeoffs by Fred S. Gehm
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Analyzing Risk/Reward Tradeoffs by Fred S. Gehm These days, more and more potential traders are avoiding the day-to-day problems of commodity trading by committing their funds to professional money managers. For many, perhaps most, this is a reasonable
Archiving The Experts by Jason S. Glazier
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Archiving The Experts by Jason S. Glazier If the experiential technical and fundamental knowledge of the stock experts were merged with the technical and fundamental buy/sell indicators found in books and software, a more accurate market prediction syst
Arms Equivolume Charting System by James S. Gould
Artificial Intelligence And Market Analysis by Mark B. Fishman, Dean S. Barr and Walter J. Loick
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Artificial Intelligence And Market Analysis by Mark B. Fishman, Dean S. Barr and Walter J. Loick Markets are chaotic and their randomness is real but intermittent; we can approach the development of trading systems with that assumption. We can also assu
Breadth Stix And Other Tricks By Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Breadth Stix And Other Tricks By Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. Interested in advance-decline indicators? Well, you're in luck. Here, Chande reviews popular versions of these indicators and explains that since they are all derived from the same raw data, they
Candlesticks And Intraday Market Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Candlesticks And Intraday Market Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Can the much-ballyhooed candlestick method be helpful in intraday trading? To find out, Gary Wagner and Brad Matheny went through one day's trading via candlesticks for o
Candlesticks And Preserving Capital by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Candlesticks And Preserving Capital by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Candlestick analysis, the Japanese charting method introduced by Steve Nison to Western technicians only a few years ago, has been slowly gaining acceptance to help the technic
Candlesticks And The Method Of 3 by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Candlesticks And The Method Of 3 by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Various uses of the number three, a number of importance in Japanese culture as well as Western culture, can be seen prominently throughout candlestick technique and particularly
Candlesticks As A Leading Indicator by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Candlesticks As A Leading Indicator by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Most technical indicators are coincident with the market - that is, the indicators do not forecast market turns but only turn if the market turns. Certain candlestick formation
Candlesticks and the Malaysian Stock Market by Gary S. Wagner, Bradley L. Matheny and F.Tam
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Candlesticks and the Malaysian Stock Market by Gary S. Wagner, Bradley L. Matheny and F.Tam Here's a look at how candlestick technique is applied to the Malaysian stock market, from the developers of Candlestick Forecaster and the director of PI Capital
Chaikin 's Money Flow by Christopher Narcouzi
Computer-Assisted Trading by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Computer-Assisted Trading by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. You can't be a good trader without being a good analyst. But the two are not synonymous: Just because you're a good analyst doesn't guarantee you'll be a good trader. To the accomplished analyst, trad
Constructing an efficient short-term timing model by Marcus S. Robinson
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Constructing an efficient short-term timing model by Marcus S. Robinson You can use two sets of ratios to forecast short-and intermediate-term turning points in stocks and commodities . In my trading, I look for these ""change in trend"" (CIT) days usin
Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Commodity Conferences by FRED S. GEHM
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Commodity Conferences by FRED S. GEHM/ Technical Analysis staff writer I wanted to title this column ""How I Spent My Summer Vacation."" But the conferences were in Chicago and no reasonable individual would ever beli
Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Commodity Periodicals by FRED S. GEHM
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Commodity Periodicals by FRED S. GEHM (The first of a regular feature column) This is going to be a column of reviews of criticisms. It will be a consumer's guide to technical analysis. This includes books, magazines
Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Trading Psychology by Fred S. Gehm
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Crooks, Cranks and Honest Citizens: Trading Psychology by Fred S. Gehm In a competitive game like commodity trading, a player should hardly expect to receive good advice from the other players. It's like asking the poker player across the table from you
Crude Oil And Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Crude Oil And Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner The rise and fall of oil prices have a global effect on all aspects of the markets. Here we look at this historical price movement through the eyes of candle patterns. he underlying psychology of market sen
Cyclical analysis of stock prices with astrology by Robert S. Kimball
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cyclical analysis of stock prices with astrology by Robert S. Kimball Over the past four years I have participated in a research project that has sought to test the validity of a rather controversial and unorthodox approach to cyclical analysis. The pri
Don't Regulate Futures Like Stocks by Howard S. Portnow
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Don't Regulate Futures Like Stocks by Howard S. Portnow Even as I write this, the U.S. Congress is considering ways in which the financial markets, and especially the futures market, may be ""reformed."" The main proposals being put forth are to unify t
ELLI-VOL II by James S. Gould, Ph.D.
Estimating Future Drawdowns by Tushar S. Chande
Forecasting Singular Spectrum Analysis by S. Drogobetskii and V. Smolynsky
Forecasting Tomorrow's Trading Day by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Forecasting Tomorrow's Trading Day by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. Using linear regression as a crystal ball for forecasting the market? After all, if you were to be able to determine tomorrow's high, low and close for trend changes and placement of stop poi
Forex Focus: Do You Analyze Your Trades? by P. S. Nouvion
Forex Focus: Recycle Your Data by Patrick S. Nouvion
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (14-17): Forex Focus: Recycle Your Data by Patrick S. Nouvion Access to foreign exchange trading has opened up exciting trading options for the retail trader. You can now trade alongside corporations and institutions in a hi
Gold And The Corrective Phase by Gary S. Wagner
Gold And The New Technical Triad by Gary S. Wagner
How to spot takeover candidates by Norman S. Wei
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How to spot takeover candidates by Norman S. Wei The shares of Celanese Corp. were trading at 218-1/2 at the close of Oct. 31. They shot up to a high of 247-1/2 on Nov. 3 and closed at 242-1/2--an increase of $24 per share! Integrated Software's stock j
Identifying Powerful Breakouts Early by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...TRADING TECHNIQUES Identifying Powerful Breakouts Early by Tushar S. Chande High-powered breakouts occur with a strong surge of momentum in the direction of the price change. Such breakouts may be short-lived, however, occurring toward the latter stages
Interview: David S. Nasser by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:2 (60-67, 80): Interview: David S. Nasser by Jayanthi Gopalakrishnan David S. Nassar is many things: He is the founder and CEO of MarketWise Securities and MarketWise.com, a 20-year veteran trader, a New York Times best-sellin
It 's What You Keep That Counts by Ted Tesser, CPA
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...It's What You Keep That Counts by Ted Tesser,CPA Trader status, which has always been one of the hottest but least understood topics whenever taxes are discussed, has always left market participants confused. Here's a certified public accountant who al
Lattice Trees by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Lattice Trees by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D. The lattice approach to option pricing is used to build a tree, so to speak, of futures prices. The price tree can be recomputed intraday to update the expected price range. These dynamic trees can be used for ri
Letters To S & C
Market Sentiment Extremes by John Jagerson & S. Wade Hansen
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:3 (50-54): Market Sentiment Extremes by John Jagerson & S. Wade Hansen The ability to pick up on and properly interpret minute signals in the market dictates the distinction between success and failure. Here's how implied vola
Market Thrust by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Thrust by Tushar S. Chande An abundance of articles and letters concerning the Arms index, or the trading index (TRIN), during the past year was one proof of its popularity. The articles were concerned with both the uses and limitations of the Ar
Market Timing and Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Timing and Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny When to buy and what? Those are the questions that have plagued market participants the world over. Here's a proposal on how to use candlesticks to time the market. To be successf
Modern portfolio theory: A powerful tool for futures investing Part 1 by Gary S. Antonacci
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Modern portfolio theory: A powerful tool for futures investing Part 1 by Gary S. Antonacci In an effort to improve on the traditional risk and return characteristics available from investment opportunities, academic researchers developed Modern Portfol
Modifying the Volatility Index by S. Jack Karczewski
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Modifying the Volatility Index by S. Jack Karczewski Here's the scoop on the volatility index as an analytical tool for identifying extremes in market sentiment. Every trader and investor recognizes that the stock market has some degree of volatility
Moving Average Myths by Jason S. Glazier
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Moving Average Myths by Jason S. Glazier There is a myth that commonly used averaging and smoothing techniques require different times to calculate. The simple, step-weighted and exponentially smoothed moving averages are the most commonly used for tech
Part 2 Modern Portfolio Theory in managed futures by Gary S. Antonacci
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...part 2 Modern Portfolio Theory in managed futures by Gary S. Antonacci Optimal portfolio diversification using Modern Portfolio Theory is a particularly valuable tool when applied to futures trading and is the key to earning attractive returns with less
Pattern Recognition And Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Pattern Recognition And Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Here's a look at the new order of artificial intelligence linked with the old order of candlestick charting By now, who hasn't heard of the Japanese form of charting called c
Point/ Counterpoint By Clifford S. Sherry, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Point/ Counterpoint By Clifford S. Sherry, Ph.D. I believe there are some major flaws in the statistical reasoning in Curtis McKallip's article ""Investigating Chart Patterns Using Markov Analysis"" (STOCKS & COMMODITIES December 1986). Using the raw nu
Product Review: Advance GET Real-Time 1.2 by Rex S. Takasugi
Product Review:Trader 's Powerkit
Quick Scan:Trader 's Boot Camp
Quick Scan:myTrack 's Brokerage Services Module,myTrade
RISK MANAGEMENT: The Square Root of Sharpe's, Stone's and Okham's Ratios by FRED S. GEHM
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...RISK MANAGEMENT: The Square Root of Sharpe's, Stone's and Okham's Ratios by FRED S. GEHM One of the most important tasks of commodity market money managers is the measurement and control of risk. Currently, the most popular technique for measuring risk
Rating Trend Strength by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Rating Trend Strength by Tushar S. Chande Here's a simple indicator of trend strength. It goes like this: A value of +10 signals an uptrend; a value of -10 signals a downtrend. Stocks & Commodities Contributing Editor Tushar Chande uses this simple rati
Reducing profit variability from technical trading systems by Milton S. Boyd and B. Wade Brorsen
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Reducing profit variability from technical trading systems by Milton S. Boyd and B. Wade Brorsen Some technical traders spend a sizable portion of their time searching for the perfect trading system or the ""optimal"" parameters, hoping the newly discov
Revery: Computerized Stock Market Trading by Henry S. Patricoff
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Revery: Computerized Stock Market Trading by Henry S. Patricoff A recent article in Barron's expressed the view that the options Index market has become so large that possibly it is the tail that is wagging the dog. Aside from a spectacular one or two
Smart Stops by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Smart Stops by Tushar S. Chande Setting stops is a fine art, whether you trade one contract or a thousand. The challenge in setting stops is to participate in long moves without getting shaken out of the trade by market volatility. A variable-index dyna
Solving The Portfolio Puzzle by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Solving The Portfolio Puzzle by Tushar S. Chande Stocks & Commodities Contributing Editor Tushar Chande presents guidelines for designing a stock portfolio. Here's my question to all those superb stock traders out there: How many stocks should you hav
Stock Beta Coefficient by Scott S. Silver & Gary M. Wingens
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stock Beta Coefficient by Scott S. Silver & Gary M. Wingens Over the course of the past two decades the investment community has become increasingly concerned with the notion of risk and its relationship to a portfolio of assets. Economists and statisti
Stocks Yield To Bonds by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks Yield To Bonds by Tushar S. Chande A stock's price may be considered a mechanism to adjust its dividend yield. In the short run, the dollar amount of the dividend is fixed, and so stock prices change to accommodate changes in bond yields. Lags oc
System Optimization Techniques by David S. Nicol
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...System Optimization Techniques by David S. Nicol What is system optimization and is it good or bad? It's a little of both, system designers will tell you. David Nicol explains the whys and wherefores. System optimization is a controversial subject amon
The 2/20-Day EMA Breakout System by David S. Landry
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The 2/20-Day EMA Breakout System by David S. Landry Moving average systems seek to capture meaningful trends. Here's a modified exponential moving average system that uses pattern recognition as a filter for entry rules. Technical approaches to tradin
The Common (But Useful) RSI by Herbert S. Hall, C.M.T.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Common (But Useful) RSI by Herbert S. Hall, C.M.T. The relative strength index (RSI) is one of today's most popular indicators and is available in virtually every technical analysis software package sold. While the RSI indicator has become so common
The Cumulative Market Thrust Line by Tushar S. Chande, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Cumulative Market Thrust Line by Tushar S. Chande, PhD. STOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor Tushar Chande originally introduced the concept of market thrust in August 1992 as a method by which to overcome the limitations of the Arms index. Since then,
The Keys To Technical Conditions by James S. Gould, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Keys To Technical Conditions by James S. Gould, Ph.D. In the beginning, before personal computers routinely made trading decisions, there were traders who were able to decipher the language of the markets and earn trading profits. Today, traders hav
The Time Price Oscillator by Tushar S. Chande
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Time Price Oscillator by Tushar S. Chande Technical indicators, and oscillators in particular, measure the behavior of price relative to time. For example, the rate of change oscillator calculates the percentage change in price over a set period. That
The Trader's Reason vs. Emotion by Terry S. Brown
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Trader's Reason vs. Emotion by Terry S. Brown In the late 1970s and early 1980s, Victor Sperandeo had a brilliant track record day trading stocks, commodities and especially the Standard & Poor's 500 and NYFE futures. He had an idea. ""I was trading
Trading Forex Gold And Silver by Gary S. Wagner
U.S. Treasury auctions and technical analysis by Gerald S. Celaya
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...U.S. Treasury auctions and technical analysis by Gerald S. Celaya The auction process in the Treasury bond market creates a problem for technical analysts--the newly auctioned issue has none of the historical price data needed for technical analysis and
Using Candlesticks And Oscillators by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using Candlesticks And Oscillators by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Blending East with West, candlesticks with Western trading techniques and using the computer to boot: Combine candlesticks with oscillators. Candlestick charting has come a lo
Using Neural Nets In Market Analysis by Mark B. Fishman, Dean S. Barr and Walter J. Loick
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Can neural networks aid traders? By Mark B. Fishman, Dean S. Barr and Walter J. Loick Neural networks are the newest form of artificial intelligence technology to make its way into market analysis. Neural networks, also referred to as neural nets, mimic
Variable Cycle Lengths And Intraday Candlestick Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Variable Cycle Lengths And Intraday Candlestick Analysis by Gary S. Wagner and Bradley L. Matheny Trading methods often use different length filters for generating trades, both entries and exits. The most common filters are moving averages with differen
WM: Into The Money Flow: Sorting Out The Volume Indicators by S. Yamanaka
Weather And The AG Markets by Joseph S. D'Aleo and Todd Crawford
Weight + Volume + Move-Adjusted Moving Average: It's WEVOMO! by S. Bisse
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:4 (32-35): Weight + Volume + Move-Adjusted Moving Average: It's WEVOMO! by Stephan Bisse Moving averages: I use 'em, you use 'em, we all use 'em, but can they really tell you anything about the future direction of a time serie
Working Money: CAN SLIM II: The Gold At The End Of The Rainbow by S. Yamanaka
Working Money: Gold and Candlesticks by Gary S. Wagner
Working Money: The Andrews Pitchfork Vs. Speed Resistance Lines by S. Yamanaka
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Working Money: The Andrews Pitchfork Vs. Speed Resistance Lines by S. Yamanaka Can you ever have too much support? One of the pitfalls of using technical analysis to gauge stock movement is that it often depends on whether a stock is trending. In the e
WorkingMoney: Swing Trading With Trendlines by Phillip S. Duke, Ph.D.
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