Article Archive For Keyword: Probability

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• Gain Probability Index

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...You have to know (or estimate) your probability of gain and your payoff odds before entering a trade, but how do you estimate gain probability and payoff odds? Let's find out

AUTHOR: Mike B. SirokyDATE: JUN 2017

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• Probability of Investment Ruin by Sherwin Kalt

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Probability of Investment Ruin by Sherwin Kalt When a client opens a managed account with as commodity trading advisor, the general practice is to specify a percentage loss at which the account will be closed. The natural question then arises as to what

AUTHOR: Sherwin KaltDATE: FEB 1985

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• Risk Management, Position Sizing, And Probability by Brian Auit

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Risk Management, Position Sizing, And Probability by Brian Auit Implement a well-planned strategy before initiating your next trade so you can sustain losses. This methodical approach allows you to consider all the factors before initiating your next tr

AUTHOR: Brian AuitDATE: SEP 2009

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• SIDEBAR: Calculating probability

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Sidebar: Calculating probability Using the data from the example, we have r = 0.00093553 and sr = 0.011258649. Suppose we wish to see the probability of being at a loss for L = 4 after 36 trades?

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: APR 1995

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• SIDEBAR: PROBABILITY CONSIDERATIONS

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...PROBABILITY CONSIDERATIONS Statistics using a binomial formula to calculate failure and success probabilities of stocks, page 215.

AUTHOR: Technical Analysis, Inc.DATE: MAY 1991

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• Setting Strike Price Probability At Expiration by David White

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 22:12 (56-59): Setting Strike Price Probability At Expiration by David White Here's one way you can increase your odds for a short-term play. Nassim Taleb's exceptional book, Fooled By Randomness, helped me finally gain the prop

AUTHOR: David WhiteDATE: DEC 2004

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• Trend Direction And Probability: The Bull Bear Index

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Have you ever thought of defining trend in terms of probability rather than in terms of momentum? Here's a different way to think of trend

AUTHOR: Mike B. SirokyDATE: NOV 2020

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• Using Probability Stops In Trading by Nauzer Balsara, Ph.D.

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using Probability Stops In Trading by Nauzer Balsara, Ph.D. Does controlling losses by using predetermined stop-loss points help? To find out, Nauzer Balsara selected randomly moving average crossover systems and ascertained the best stop-loss points to

AUTHOR: Nauzer J. Balsara, Ph.D.DATE: MAY 1992

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• WTI Weekly: Dual Probability Prevents Cognitive Bias Regarding Trend Direction

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In this article, we examine the order flow and limit order book data in the WTI futures market that provides insight into the sell-side defense near key resistance and subsequent price discovery lower for Tuesday, September 3, 2019's auction. Market

AUTHOR: Taylor IrelandDATE: OCT 2019

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• WTI Weekly: Dual Probability Path Provides Insight Into Failure Of Key Market Level

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In this article, we examine the order flow and limit order book data in the WTI futures market that provides insight into the breakdown below key support and subsequent sell-side price discovery for Wednesday, September 18, 2019's auction. Market st

AUTHOR: Taylor IrelandDATE: OCT 2019

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• WTI Weekly: In Times Of Uncertainty A Dual Probability Path Is Important In Risk Management

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...In this article, we examine the order flow and limit order book data in the WTI futures market that provides insight into the rotation between resistance and support in Monday, March 30, 2020's auction. Market structure and order flow provide insigh

AUTHOR: Taylor IrelandDATE: JUN 2020