ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Prediction by Index by Clifford J. Sherry, Ph.D. The Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators is a summary measure designed to indicate changes in the direction of aggregrate economic activity. The Index measures the average behavior of a group of
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...When a price trend changes direction, it is sometimes difficult to predict whether that change is just a small correction or the start of a major trend change. I use a simple indicator, which I call the trend exhaustion index (TEI), to help interpret suc