ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Four-Year Cycles by James G. Arnold I developed the ""form"" of a long-term up/down cycle of the stock market, as shown in Figure 1a. This form shows that all market trends continue to excess. The up market phase drives prices far above value and the do
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...SIDEBAR: Four-year cycles on a mathematical basis The mathematical basis for the four-year cycle is found in many types of analysis. A good demonstration is the standard deviation of a market average as a risk parameter.