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Download1989 cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...1989 cycles by John F. Ehlers Cycle activity in 1989 was substantially higher than in 1988, and some role reversals in cycle personalities appear to have occurred relative to the previous year. To measure and examine 1989 cycle activity, I used 12 perpe
1991 Cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...1991 Cycles by John F. Ehlers If you've always suspected that contracts have definite personalities, you would have your suspicions confirmed this way. Here's an overview of various cycles that appeared in some futures markets during 1991, the way only
A Wyckoff Approach To Future by Craig F. Schroeder
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Wyckoff Approach To Future by Craig F. Schroeder The Wyckoff approach, which has been a standard for decades, is as valid for futures as it is for stocks, but even students of the technique appear to be unaware of its extended uses. Most technicians k
A Wyckoff Guide for Investors and Speculators by Craig F. Schroeder
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Wyckoff Guide For Investors And Speculators by Craig F. Schroeder The Wyckoff method as it is taught today represents the results of more than 100 years of continuous market study. Those years have brought the development of numerous refinements and a
A complete computer trading program (part 1) by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A complete computer trading program (part 1) by John F. Ehlers This is the first of four articles that give a description and computer listing, enabling you to perform technical analysis with your computer. In the second article I will cover the basics
A complete computer trading program Part 4 by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A complete computer trading program Part 4 by John F. Ehlers This is the conclusion of four articles that give a description and listing of an AppletÒ ][ BASIC computer program, enabling you to perform technical analysis on your computer with 48K of mem
A complete computer trading program part 2 by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A complete computer trading program part 2 by John F. Ehlers This program works with the standard CompuTrac or CSI (Commodity Systems, Inc.) disk data reading format (Table 1). The fundamental idea of this program is to take a 40-character string record
A complete computer trading program part 3 by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A complete computer trading program part 3 by John F. Ehlers This is the third of four articles that give a description and BASIC computer program listing enabling you to perform technical analysis on your Apple ][ computer. In the first two installmen
A mechanical trading system by William F. Eng
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A mechanical trading system by William F. Eng As a professional floor trader at the Chicago Board of Figure 1 Trade, I have studied many trading techniques. Some work and some don't. Most trading techniques work with the one missing element that we all
Absolute Tick Volume by Charles F. Wright
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Absolute Tick Volume by Charles F. Wright Volume is one of the major tools used in technical analysis. The volume of a particular day or intraday bar is used as a gauge for activity during the time period. Trading judgments are based on traders' interpr
An ultimate oscillator program for the HP-41C(V) by Charles F. Johnson
Computing Cyclic Entries by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Computing Cyclic Entries by John F. Ehlers Knowing how to compute entry points for your trades exactly at price crests and valleys when the market is in the cyclic mode can be advantageous. In fact, the procedure can be adjusted to anticipate price extr
Consolidation Patterns by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Consolidation Patterns by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle Every price trend, be it stock or commodity, takes a breather from time to time. It is a period of indecision when the pressures of buyers and sellers balance each other out. This stalemate mos
Corona Charts by John F. Ehlers
Creating Indicators With Physics by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Creating Indicators With Physics by John F. Ehlers Do we limit words or do words limit us? As Stocks & Commodities contributor John Ehlers opines, we can't really describe market activity with terms now used in the technical trading field. He suggests a
Cycle Analysis And Intraday Trading by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle Analysis And Intraday Trading by John F. Ehlers Veteran S TOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor John Ehlers explains how to make use of cycles analysis in intraday trading, heretofore a rarity. Take a look. Intraday traders have long had most of the tec
Cycle Analysis: A comparison of the Fourier and Maximum Entropy methods by John F. Ehler
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycle Analysis: A comparison of the Fourier and Maximum Entropy methods by John F. Ehler The motivation for reducing price history to a mathematical expression is clear. If we can describe the prices mathematically, we have the means to extend the equat
Cycles and chart patterns by Anthony F. Herbst
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles and chart patterns by Anthony F. Herbst Many who analyze price charts of stocks or commodities recognize that cycles influence the patterns they observe. But few carry this insight through the logical steps that could mean better trade timing. Th
Day Trading The Averages by JOHN F. KEPKA
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Day Trading The Averages by JOHN F. KEPKA When Stock Index Futures trading with the Value Line contract was initiated at the Kansas City Board of Trade, futures traders suddenly gained the opportunity to trade the entire stock market. Large profitable m
Day Trading With Stochastics by John F. Kepka
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Day Trading With Stochastics by John F. Kepka I have been using the Stochastics oscillator ""K"" and ""%D"" for well over a year (RE: May and Sep 1984 issues of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine). I use Stochastics, (in conjunction wit
Determining Equity Growth Performance by John F. Ehlers and Mike Barna
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Determining Equity Growth Performance by John F. Ehlers and Mike Barna What are the merits of using technical analysis trading systems? Evaluate them here. Technical analysts have the option of trading with either discretionary or systematic techniques
Do Cycles Exist in the Market? by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...This longtime S&C contributor explains the basis of the existence of cycles in market data. The markets are not always efficient; this is why trading decisions based on technical analysis work. Chart patterns that are discernible, technical events such
Dow Theory by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Dow Theory by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle For a man who had the perfect opportunity to widely publicize his theory of stock market trends but never used it, Charles H. Dow nevertheless left a definitive legacy--the Dow theory is at the root of tech
Early Trend Identification by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Early Trend Identification by John F. Ehlers Impressive profits can be accumulated just by staying with a position during a trend. We would all be millionaires if only we could identify the trend early in its onset. While the trends are obvious in retro
Elliott wave: Fact or fiction? by F. David Minbashian
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Elliott wave: Fact or fiction? by F. David Minbashian Using concepts from the elegant new science of chaotic dynamics, I was writing an essay to show as simply as I could arguing how commodity and stock prices follow a path of motion without any pattern
Empirical Mode Decomposition by John F. Ehlers and Ric Way
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Empirical Mode Decomposition by John F. Ehlers and Ric Way Is the market trending or is it in a cycle mode? Identify the mode of the market and trade accordingly. Even the most casual chart reader will be able to spot the times when the market is cycli
Find your optimal f by Ralph Vince
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Find your optimal f by Ralph Vince As a computer programmer for Larry Williams, winner of the 1987 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading, I have had the opportunity to analyze many good trading systems. Even the best systems, however, suffer from an
Fourier Transform For Traders by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:1 (24-34): Fourier Transform For Traders by John F. Ehlers When market conditions are variable, adapting to them becomes a challenge. Here's how you can use a dominant cycle to tune the relevant indicators so you don't have to
Fractal Adaptive Moving Averages by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:10 (81-82): Fractal Adaptive Moving Averages by John F. Ehlers We all want to eliminate bad whipsaw trades. Here's a weapon you can add to your arsenal of technical indicators for just that purpose. The objective of using fil
Gaps by Thom Hartle and Melanie F. Bowman
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Gaps by Thom Hartle and Melanie F. Bowman Occasionally, trading leaps over a range of prices to reach a new level, leaving a blank space in the price chart. If these spaces are wider than the usual 1/8- to 1/2-point difference in bids, they imply that s
How to use Maximum Entropy by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How to use Maximum Entropy by John F. Ehlers MESA is an acronym for Maximum Entropy Spectrum Analysis, a forecasting method that filters the ""noise"" from time series data and can uncover useful cycles. The advantages of the maximum entropy method over
John F. Ehlers Of MESA
MESA Adaptive Moving Averages by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...MESA Adaptive Moving Averages by John F. Ehlers What if you combined the power of maximum entropy spectral analysis with the Hilbert transform's ability to discern phase change? The MESA adaptive moving average (MAMA) adapts to price movement in a new
Market Facilitation Index Charles F. Wright
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Facilitation Index Charles F. Wright The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is an objective means of measuring facilitation of trade which, in its simplest terms, means how well the market is working efficiently. An efficient market is very liquid a
Measuring Cycle Periods by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Measuring Cycle Periods by John F. Ehlers Measuring cycle periods allows you to adjust your indicators so they adapt to current market conditions. Here's how. IF you want to make your indicators and strategies adaptive to current market conditions, you
Modeling The Market = Building Trading Strategies by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:8 (20-26): Modeling The Market = Building Trading Strategies by John F. Ehlers The correct model can form the foundation for comprehensive trading strategies. Modeling the market is important because you can build comprehensi
Moving Average Computations, Made Easier by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Moving Average Computations, Made Easier by John F. Ehlers Presenting programming tricks to simplify coding indicators and strategies. A simple moving average of length N is computed by adding N values and dividing the sum by N. The process is repeated
Neural networks: A trading perspective by Carol H. Halquist & George F. Schmoll, II
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Neural networks: A trading perspective by Carol H. Halquist & George F. Schmoll, III Neural networks and neural network simulators are used in signal processing, expert systems, modeling and forecasting. They may be used to solve complex, well-defined p
Nonlinear Ehlers Filters by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...What If Linear Filters Won't Work For Your Tradable? Nonlinear Ehlers Filters Linear filters like moving averages are great for slow, "stationary" data. Unfortunately, prices aren't slow or stationary. By John Ehlers The most common filters that trade
Optimizing RSI with cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimizing RSI with cycles by John F. Ehlers A look at Wilder's Relative Strength Index oscillator and an optimization using cycles. Also included is a BASIC computer program which follows the author's optimization processes. As an engineer I have ofte
Optimizing directional movement with cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimizing directional movement with cycles by John F. Ehlers Directional Movement, an approach which weighs the daily difference between highs and the difference between lows, can be optimized by applying cycle concepts. Ehlers explains the process and
Optimum Detrending by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Optimum Detrending by John F. Ehlers Look at any price chart, and you'll find that markets move up and down even while in a trend . Removing the trend can help identify short-term turning points. Frequent STOCKS & COMMODITIES contributor John Ehlers pre
Optimum Predictive Filters by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...V13:06: (247-251):Optimum Predictive Filters by John F. Ehlers The optimum predictive filter is the difference between a technical indicator, such as the relative strength indicator or stochastics, and its exponential moving average. Here, we describe i
Phasor Displays by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Phasor Displays by John F. Ehlers A high-tech display pinpoints anomalies and trading opportunities in price behavior. Remember that famous glass of water? The one that optimists see as half full and pessimists see as half empty? An engineer, however,
Relative Vigor Index by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Relative Vigor Index by John F. Ehlers Here's an old concept brought to light using modern filters to make it a practical, useful indicator. Since the inception of STOCKS & COMMODITIES (happy 20th anniversary year!), there have been several development
Reversal Patterns by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Reversal Patterns by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle Market prices, as one well-worn adage points out, are trapped in a two-dimensional world with little directional leeway. They are either climbing up, dropping down or moving sideways. And, the fact
Sidebar: FRAMA EasyLanguage code by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:10 (81-82): Sidebar: FRAMA EasyLanguage code by John F. Ehlers FRAMA EASYLANGUAGE CODE Inputs: Price((H+L)/2); N(16); {N must be an even number} Vars: count(0); N1(0), N2(0), N3(0), HH(0), LL(0), Dimen(0), alpha(0), Filt(0);
Sidebar: Swiss Army Knife EasyLangague Code by John F. Ehlers
Software Review by John F. Kepka
Stay In Phase by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stay In Phase by John F. Ehlers This cycles software specialist discusses an indicator based on cyclical analysis. A cycle is one market characteristic that can be scientifically measured. Although they can be measured, they are still maddening because
Swiss Army Knife Indicator by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:1 (28-31, 50-53): Swiss Army Knife Indicator by John F. Ehlers You've probably never heard of this indicator, but it has all the common functions such as smoothing and momentum generation. Find out why it's going to be your ne
Technically Trading The Yen With Money Management by Timothy L. Krehbiel, Thomas P. Drinka, and Gise
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Technically Trading The Yen With Money Management By Timothy L. Krebiel, Thomas P. Drinka, Gisele F. Hamm Any good trading methodology includes selecting the best indicators for a tradeable and applying money management techniques to hold on to profits.
Technically Trading The Yen With Money Management by Timothy L. Krehbiel, Thomas P. Drinka, and Gise
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Technically Trading The Yen With Money Management By Timothy L. Krebiel, Thomas P. Drinka, Gisele F. Hamm Any good trading methodology includes selecting the best indicators for a tradeable and applying money management techniques to hold on to profits.
The Bandpass Indicator by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Bandpass Indicator by John F. Ehlers Here's an indicator that can be adjusted to be a leading indicator of market reversals based on the cycles in the price data, presented by a longtime S&C contributor. The bandpass indicator is an oscillator-typ
The Center Of Gravity Oscillator by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Center Of Gravity Oscillator by John F. Ehlers Here's an indicator that identifies every major turning point without much lag. This new oscillator is unique in that it is smoothed and has essentially zero lag. The smoothing enables clear identifica
The Instantaneous Trendline by John F. Ehlers, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Instantaneous Trendline by John F. Ehlers, Ph.D. Is it possible to have an instantaneous trendline? To say that a trendline is "instantaneous" may be presumptuous, but because you can compute a continuous trendline with modern technology and thus a
The Inverse Fisher Transform by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Inverse Fisher Transform by John F. Ehlers How often have you been indecisive about entering or exiting a trade? Here's one way to get a clear indication. The purpose of technical indicators is to help time your decisions to buy or sell. Ideally, t
The MACD Indicator Revisited by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The MACD Indicator Revisited by John F. Ehlers The moving average convergence-divergence (or MACD, as it is familiarly known), one of the more popular technical indicators, was invented by technician Gerald Appel to trade the 26-week and 13-week cycles
The Market Facilitation Index Update: 1/89 to 3/90 by Charles F. Wright
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Market Facilitation Index Update: 1/89 to 3/90 by Charles F. Wright I have noticed through the years that when a technique is disclosed in the popular press you can count on it to stop working for some time after the disclosure. You can speculate as
The New Ticker-Tape by CHARLES F. KRINKE
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The New Ticker-Tape by CHARLES F. KRINKE THERE IS ONLY ONE SIDE OF THE MARKET AND IT IS NOT THE BULL SIDE OR THE BEAR SIDE, BUT THE RIGHT SIDE. --JESSE LIVERMORE These words from one of the world's great traders are even more appropriate today as we ha
The RSI Smoothed by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The RSI Smoothed by John F. Ehlers Here's how you can enhance the performance of the RSI. Smoothing an indicator usually means a tradeoff between the amount of smoothing you desire and the amount of lag you can stand. In this article I will show you ho
The advanced chartist by John F. Kepka
Trendlines by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Trendlines by Melanie F. Bowman and Thom Hartle Trendlines are those lines drawn on charts to assist the technician in analyzing a market. A trendline drawn below rising prices is known as a demand, or oversold, line, while a trendline drawn above decli
Understanding cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Understanding cycles by John F. Ehlers Introduction The first thing we must recognize is that cycle analysis doesn't always work for profitable investment strategy. This is no great surprise, because cycles must be present in the data history for any a
Using Fuzzy Logic in Expert Systems by James F. Derry
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using Fuzzy Logic in Expert Systems by James F. Derry Stock market followers assess the market environment with numerous technical indicators. For the most part, these indicators are rarely definitively bullish or bearish. It is rare that an indicator c
Using The Fisher Transform by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using The Fisher Transform by John F. Ehlers Looking for better trading results? This indicator shows you how to identify price reversals in a timely manner. he common assumption is that prices have a Gaussian, or normal, probability density function (
V.15:11 (505-509) Cycle Measurements by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The author of Mesa and Trading Cycles and developer of the MESA software series presents why you should dynamically adjust your indicators due to the change in market cycles. There's no doubt about it: Market cycles can be difficult to identify. But if
What's The Difference by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 23:3 (28-29): What's The Difference by John F. Ehlers What's the difference between the median and the average? It's what drives this new adaptive smoothing filter. Remember back in school when your teacher asked you what the di
When To Trade With Cycles by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 25:4 (32-34): When To Trade With Cycles by John F. Ehlers When should you trade the cycle mode in a market and when should you trade the trend mode? Find out with this indicator. In theory, trading with cycles is easy -- just buy
Wyckoff: Buying And Selling Tests by Craig F. Schroeder
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wyckoff: Buying And Selling Tests by Craig F. Schroeder In the Richard D. Wyckoff method on stock market science and techniques, the fourth step of his approach is explained thus: Determine each stock's readiness to move, then analyze the vertical line
Wyckoff: Identifying Opportunities by Craig F. Schroeder
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wyckoff: Identifying Opportunities by Craig F. Schroeder Completing the first two steps of the Wyckoff method provides the investor or speculator with information that is essential for success. At this point, he or she knows whether to consider establis
Wyckoff: Timing Your Commitments by Craig F. Schroeder
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Wyckoff: Timing Your Commitments by Craig F. Schroeder The Wyckoff method ends where it begins -- with the general market. Step 5 of the Wyckoff method, the final step and the topic of this month's discussion of the Wyckoff method, instructs the Wyckoff
Zero-Lag Data Smoothers by John F. Ehlers
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Zero-Lag Data Smoothers by John Ehlers Here's a technique that can reduce lag to nearly zero. A causal filter can never predict the future. As a matter of fact, the laws of nature demand that all filters must have lag. However, if we assume steady-stat
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