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Article Archive For Keyword: E

  • A New Advance-Decline Line by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A New Advance-Decline Line by Daniel E. Downing Here's a trading tool that uses a unique version of the daily advance-decline line of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). This version helps in our short- and long-term trading of index options and stock i

  • A New Slant On Head And Shoulders by Charles E. Miller

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A New Slant On Head And Shoulders by Charles E. Miller Here's a detrending technique that will help you visualize slanted head and shoulder top patterns more clearly. When the good old reliable head and shoulders (H&S) pattern emerges simultaneously in

  • A Regression-Based Oscillator by Patrick E. Lafferty

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A Regression-Based Oscillator by Patrick E. Lafferty Editor's note: Mr. Lafferty originally submitted this article as an entry to the June Traders' Challenge contest. We decided to run it as a separate article because the idea that Mr. Lafferty presente

  • A new indicator for the S&P stock index futures by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...A new indicator for the S&P stock index futures by Daniel E. Downing Little is new in the field of technical analysis. Even with a staff of seven analysts, my firm can take credit for developing only three entirely new technical tools for the markets. W

  • Advance-Decline Line Basics by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Advance-Decline Line Basics by Daniel E. Downing It never hurts to refresh your memory on the basics. Here's a primer on following the advance-decline line for the stock market. A stock investor who has just begun to analyze the stock market using tech

  • An Exhaustion Gap For E Trade

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...E Trade gapped down in mid-April but filled that gap with a high-volume advance. The stock's downtrend over the last few months is reversing.

  • Are There Persistent Cycles? by E. Michael Poulos

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Are There Persistent Cycles? by E. Michael Poulos Most technical indicators use a fixed lookback length based on the idea that cycles are present in the price data. Should the same fixed lookback length be used for all markets? Are there persistent cycl

  • Black-Scholes vs. Cox-Ross-Rubinstein By John W. Labuszewski and John E. Nyhoff

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Black-Scholes vs. Cox-Ross-Rubinstein By John W. Labuszewski and John E. Nyhoff Professors Fischer Black and Myron Scholes of the University of Chicago introduced, in 1973, what was to become the most commonly cited option pricing model. This was a fort

  • Building Automatic Trendlines by Giorgos E. Siligardos, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:11 (36-44): Building Automatic Trendlines by Giorgos E. Siligardos, Ph.D. Here's a simple mechanical method for automatic trendline construction using monoparametric trendlines. Despite the continuing evolution in technical a

  • Commitments of Traders as a sentiment indicator By Stephen E. Briese

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Commitments of Traders as a sentiment indicator By Stephen E. Briese In the past, conventional market sentiment indicators have been criticized for deficiencies such as the delay involved in reading market letters, weighing their content, estimating the

  • Debit or Credit? by Giorgos E. Siligardos

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Debit or Credit? by Giorgos E. Siligardos That is the question. If you are confused about which vertical spread to use, find out here. Are vertical credit spreads better than their counterpart debit spreads? In this article I will discuss their main a

  • Fine-tuning the demand index by Thomas E. Aspray

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Fine-tuning the demand index by Thomas E. Aspray The Demand Index, which utilizes price and volume, calculates the buying pressure and selling pressure exerted on prices. These can be used to create an oscillator to identify accumulation or distribution

  • Futures According To Trend Tendency by E. Michael Poulos

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Futures According To Trend Tendency by E. Michael Poulos Not all markets have the same tendency to trend. E. Michael Poulos uses his February 1991 STOCK & COMMODITIES article, ""Of trends and random walks,"" on the random walk index, which separates tre

Getting Started With Options Using Protected Positions by J. Demkovich and E. Theriot

  • Handling Market Reactions by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Handling Market Reactions by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK All markets exhibiting prolonged price trends invariably have reactions against the trend. These reactions can be of short or long duration and can retrace small or large portions of the preceding swing. T

  • How Smooth Is Your Data Smoother? by Patrick E. Lafferty

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...How Smooth Is Your Data Smoother? Traders use moving averages to remove random fluctuations from price data. Some moving averages work better than others. Take a look. In 1995, I wrote an article for STOCKS & COMMODITIES presenting some of the properties

  • Integrated Systems Approach To Technical Commodity Analysis by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Integrated Systems Approach To Technical Commodity Analysis by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK when I first became interested in commodity markets, it was my great fortune to read the works of and speak with several of the most lucid teachers of market science and s

  • Intraday trading techniques by John W. Labuszewski and John E. Nyhoff

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Intraday trading techniques by John W. Labuszewski and John E. Nyhoff Many analysts find that the charting techniques that they rely on for inter-day trading are somewhat less useful on an intraday basis. As a result, these analysts often rely on other

Jokes Of (Trading) Wisdom by Giorgos E. Siligardos, PhD

  • Market Forecasting Model: ARIMA by Albert E. Parish Jr., Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Forecasting Model: ARIMA by Albert E. Parish Jr., Ph.D. Numerous statistical and time series techniques have been adapted for use in modeling futures prices series by using the microcomputer. One such model is the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving

  • Market Prediction Through Fractal Geometry by Victor E. Krynicki, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market Prediction Through Fractal Geometry by Victor E. Krynicki, Ph.D. Few have heard of fractal geometry and fewer still know how to use it. But it is a powerful tool with which to analyze nonlinear systems and is the main alternative for analyzing sy

  • Median Line Market Analysis by Thomas E. French

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Median Line Market Analysis by Thomas E. French The Median Line (ML) method of market analysis was first developed by Professor Alan Hall Andrews, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) engineering graduate. The Median Line technique of geometric

  • Nonlinearity, Chaos Theory and the DJIA by Victor E. Krynicki, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Nonlinearity, Chaos Theory and the DJIA by Victor E. Krynicki, Ph.D. Here's a fresh look on using nonlinear systems and chaos theory to understand the markets. Concepts deriving from nonlinear systems and chaos theory have begun to be applied to unders

  • Of Trends And Random Walks by E. Michael Poulos

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Of Trends And Random Walks by E. Michael Poulos M y distrust of the current crop of technical indicators that use fixed-length lookback intervals, with no attempt to use a price-time model, motivated me to do some research into the subject. For example,

  • On-Balance Volume And The Dow Jones Utility Index by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...On-Balance Volume And The Dow Jones Utility Index by Daniel E. Downing Between Thursday, October 19, 1990, and Monday, October 22, 1990, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained more than 127 points. More important than the points gained in the DJ

  • Payoff index by Thomas E. Aspray

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Payoff index by Thomas E. Aspray In my market analysis, I find the action of the open interest can be very important. Granted in the financial futures it occasionally gives misleading signals, but these are the exception rather than the rule. I use two

  • Price Changes During Non-Trading Hours by George R. Arrington and Howard E. Arrington

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Price Changes During Non-Trading Hours by George R. Arrington and Howard E. Arrington One frustrating aspect of trading commodities is the price changes that occur during non-trading hours. It is difficult enough to make a profit when markets are open a

  • Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysis by Charles E. Miller

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysts As you develop your analytical skills, you probably pick a favorite market to study. So depending on the market, you could come to different conclusions about the value of different techniques of analysis. With th

  • Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysts, Part 2 by Charles E. Miller

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysts - Part 2 Last time, we examined the idea of using pseudo securities, based on artificial data with known properties, to map the characteristics of various indicators. We then applied this concept to the time doma

  • Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysts, Part 3 by Charles E. Miller

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Pseudo Securities For Technical Analysts Part 3 The first two parts of this three-part series examined the theory, generation technique, and time series application of rectilinear pseudo securities. In this, the conclusion, the same theory is applied to

  • Risk Management by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Risk Management by JOHN E. ROSENSTOCK The portfolio approach to commodity trading is a big selling point for commodity funds. (""Portfolio approach"" is diversifying and spreading risk through a completely mechanical trend analysis.) However, history ha

  • Strength-Rated Candlestick Patterns by Mitch E. Mulhall

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Strength-Rated Candlestick Patterns by Mitch E. Mulhall Perfectly formed candlestick patterns are not common. By ordering the criteria for a candlestick pattern from most important to least important, you can rate pattern strength by the number of crite

  • Surfing Your Position With Wave Stops by E. Labunsky and T. Hamilton

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Surfing Your Position With Wave Stops by E. Labunsky and T. Hamilton When is a good time and place to exit a position? Whether inspired by Ralph Nelson Elliott's works or by just a casual observation of a price chart, you can't help but notice how pr

  • Take A Look At The Dow by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Take A Look At The Dow by Daniel E. Downing In the past, one of the first requirements of being a technical analyst was a promise of sorts to ignore the price action of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. A technician had to focus on the action of more br

  • The Call Me "Mini E" by Afshin Taghechian

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...V. 22:9 (92-95): The Call Me "Mini E" by Afshin Taghechian Well, actually, it's e-mini, and this article has nothing to do with Dr. Evil. You might find it informative anyway, especially if you're looking for a new instrument to trade. Since March 2000

  • The End Point Moving Average by Patrick E. Lafferty

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...INDICATORS The End Point Moving Average by Patrick E. Lafferty Moving averages have been used for decades to smooth out the noise in the prices of tradables. Here's an entry in the category, one that may provide a more accurate representation of market

  • The Haurlan Index by Paul E. Carroll

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...The Haurlan index, which was originated by the Trade Levels, Inc., advisory service, has received comparatively little attention unfortunate, as it has proved to be effective in signaling tops and bottoms. By Paul E. Carroll The number of advancing and

  • Two Filtered Indicators by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Two Filtered Indicators by Daniel E. Downing By filtering two indicators, my firm and I discovered the Friday tick indicator and the last hour/ first hour indicator. These new indicators have shown an interesting relationship to the equity markets over

  • Using The Tick In A Short-Term Indicator by Daniel E. Downing

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Using The Tick In A Short-Term Indicator by Daniel E. Downing The tick index, the net difference of the number of stocks last traded on an uptick from those last traded on a downtick, is a well-known indicator, but it's got a problem. The raw number res






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