ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Computing curved trendlines by Arthur Merrill Data sometimes shows a tendency to level off with a downward curve. A curved trendline, in these cases, would be more useful than a straight line. Quite often, the data rises more and more rapidly, like a s
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Cycles by Arthur Merrill The market certainly moves in waves. Is there regularity in these cyclical waves that can give us useful clues to the future? Any curve can be approximated by adding together a number of sine waves, each with a different period
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...First Citizen Of Technical Analysis: Arthur Merrill by Thom Hartle Arthur A. Merrill, currently of Merrill Analysis and Analysis Press and previously of Technical Trends, drew his first bar chart in 1930. His first, earliest calculations were made on sl
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Fund managers' performance by Arthur Merrill, C.M.T. Should we monitor the actions of mutual fund managers? They are paid a salary to do a better job of investing than the common man. While some managers may not live up to expectations, on the average,
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Large block transactions by Arthur Merrill Here is an indicator that reveals the direction of enthusiasm of the big operators. Are they reaching for stock, even at higher prices? Or, on the other hand are they eager to unload, even at lower prices? The
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Market letter sentiment by Arthur Merrill Analyst Abraham Cohen, many years ago, began to tabulate the opinions of stock market analysts. He watched scores of market letters (including my own!) and each week put them in three piles: bullish, bearish and
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Most active STOCKS by Arthur Merrill The 15 most active issues on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) are listed daily in The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, and weekly in Barron's. Are these statistics helpful? The average price statistic c
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Option premiums by Arthur Merrill Can we derive useful information about the future direction of the stock market from option statistics? I've found one item of data that has a good prediction record--the ratio of the premium on puts to the premium on ca
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Price/dividends ratio by Arthur Merrill An indicator that was shouting warnings before the stock market crash last year was the price/dividends ratio. This indicator is a measure of expensiveness. It reports the current price of enough stock to yield $1
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Public/member short selling by Arthur Merrill The statistics on shorting by professionals and by the public can be combined into revealing and successful indicators. The basic figures are published, two weeks late, in Barron's and The Wall Street Journa
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Heavy speculation is a sign of a dangerous market-- one that is riding for a fall. I believe I was the first to suggest, in a 1963 radio interview, that the volume of the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) could be used as a measure of the degree of speculati
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Trend detection by Arthur Merrill The trend of prices is itself an indicator of the future, since trends tend to continue. In a bull market, the major trend is upward. Since most stocks ride with the trend, it's a good idea to buy and hold stocks in a b
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS...Volume indices by Arthur Merrill The ARMS Index, in the years since Richard Arms Jr. originated and described it in the August 7, 1967 issue of Barron's, has been called MKDS by Bunker Ramo, STKS by ADP, TRIN by Quotron and the Short Term Trading Index.