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Article Archive For Peter Eliason

  • Volatility analysis in tactical stock trading by Peter Eliason

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Volatility analysis in tactical stock trading by Peter Eliason Every stock, average and index has its own characteristic volatility range that holds the signals of impending price change. The challenge in technical analysis is to recognize and decipher these signals to determine which stocks, at what times, promise the most profitable trades. Generally, stocks with less than 10% weekly volatility hold little risk. When weekly volatilities exceed 10%, a price change may be imminent. Trading volatility requires a familiarity with the volatility characteristics of individual stocks, averages an...

  • Tactical stock trading by Peter Eliason

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Tactical stock trading by Peter Eliason We have all heard that there is no solution to predicting the market because price movement is a random walk. The statement is partially right and partially wrong. Price movement may be random, but there is an exact solution to a random walk that can be used to mathematically beat the markets. The solution revolves around the use of a tempered martingale numerical series. This algorithm is not probabilistic, but it is mathematically exact. (See Stocks & Commodities, July 1988, page 40.) It has two components: a point spread that determines exactly when...

  • Volatility analysis and simulation used in tactical trading Part 2 by Peter Eliason

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Volatility analysis and simulation used in tactical trading Part 2 by Peter Eliason The tactical trading algorithm, as explained in the March 1989 issue of Stocks & Commodities, is made up of two components: the manipulation of a numerical series to determine the number of shares to buy or sell (normally a small portion of the shares owned), and a point spread that determines the price at which the buy or sell should take place. Two limit orders, one above and one below the last transaction's price, await the price movement of the stock or commodity and the eventual filling of an order. With...






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