ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...A Mutual Fund Switch System by Nelson Freeburg Testing indicators to confirm viability is always important, and here, two indicators that stand up to historical testing are presented and then used to develop a simple mutual fund switch system. Many successful stock market analysts and money managers rely on quantitative market models - systematic timing methods that incorporate a variety of technical, monetary, valuation and sentiment data. Analysts such as Norman Fosback and John Hussman employ multiple regression to blend their indicators while other analysts such as Gerald Appel, Ned Dav...
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Evolution of a Timing Model by Nelson Freeburg How does a trading model evolve? Formula Research newsletter publisher Nelson Freeburg discusses the evolution of a trading model and explains such concepts as out-of-sample testing, parameter sensitivity testing and the inclusion of nonprice indicators for timing trades. Many come to trading and investment with high expectations. In my case, the markets soon made clear the limitations of my intuitive trading skills. There are talented traders who can sense an impending market move, adjust for risk and enter with a properly scaled commitment, al...