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Article Archive For Mike Burk

  • New high and new low indicators by Mike Burk

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...New high and new low indicators by Mike Burk I use new high and new low indicators to help define cycles. My new high and new low indicators, which I developed with a computer and represent graphically, are exponential moving averages of the daily new highs and lows of the New York Stock Exchange. These indicators have specific uses. For example, the new high indicator is useful for confirming upside moves but is useless on downside moves. However, the new low indicator is the single best indicator I have found for defining cycles. Below are the definitions of the terms I use to discuss the...

  • The Advance/Decline Line by Mike Burk

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Advance/Decline Line by Mike Burk The advance/decline line, used with the volume percentage ratio and the new high/new low indicator, two indicators I've developed, helps me distinguish cycles in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and other indices. The advance/decline line (ADL) is simply a plot of the running total of the number of issues that advanced in price minus the number of issues that declined in price. I tried improving on this traditional formula -- by calculating percentages, by factoring in the number of unchanged issues, by considering each datum separately and by calcu...

  • On The Battlefield by Mike Burk

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...On The Battlefield by Mike Burk In Elliott wave theory, the A, B and C waves refer to the reaction following the initial decline from a cycle top: The A wave is the initial decline, the B wave is a slight advance after the initial decline and the C wave is the decline following the secondary high. The period of the most rapidly moving prices in the stock market is often the beginning of this second decline, the beginning of the C portion of the Elliott wave, a downward wave that occurs after an unconfirmed market top drops for a while and then begins moving up again. As such, it is the best ...

  • Volume percentage ratio by Mike Burk

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Volume percentage ratio by Mike Burk Volume is best used as a confirming indicator for general market trends and, in developing stock market indicators, I've found a trio of volume calculations that work well in anticipating cycle tops and bottoms. My basic volume indicator (Figures 1 and 2) is an exponential moving average of total volume with a 0.04 smoothing constant. It is plotted on a normal Y scale, that is, high values are the top of the scale. Although I have chosen the Dow Jones Industrial Average to represent prices in these charts, broader indices such as the New York Stock Exchan...







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