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• Checking for Stationarity by Gregory N. Hight

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Checking for Stationarity by Gregory N. Hight A price chart is really a time series, and if you're using technical analysis on one segment, then it's important that the statistical characteristics are the same throughout the data. This is called stationarity. Here's a method for verifying that the data is statistically consistent. It doesn't matter whether you analyze markets using technical or fundamental methods. If you're interested in trends and patterns, you're using time series data. You've probably illustrated trends and patterns using a chart with time on the horizontal axis and the...

AUTHOR: Gregory N. HightDATE: JUN 1997SUBJECT: Statistics

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• Predicting Major Market Moves by Gregory N. Hight

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Predicting Major Market Moves by Gregory N. Hight Here's a statistical method that compares the movement of the Standard & Poor's 500 index with the changes of interest rates. In addition, the author explains statistical tests that help validate the reliability of the relationships as well as a technique to identify anomalies, which may be used to anticipate changes in the S&P 500. Major trend changes may be signaled when market activity takes a distinct turn from a previous pattern. The relationship between changes in interest rates and changes in the Standard & Poor's 500 index can be moni...

AUTHOR: Gregory N. HightDATE: APR 1996SUBJECT: Stastics