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• Do Crash/Recession Indicators Work Anymore?

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...We have the Tobin's Q, the CAPE10, the Wilshire5000/GDP, the yield curve, zombies É are any of these indicators actually reliable in forecasting economic cycles? Here's a look...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: OCT 2024SUBJECT: Economic Indicators

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• Will AI Ever Be Useful For Technical Analysis? Part 1: It's Not A Given

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Are AI tools giving traders improvements in alpha and beta, and if not, why not...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: DEC 2024SUBJECT: Artificial Intelligence

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• The Schannep And Sahm Recession Indicators

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Getting ahead of the next recession can set you up for profitable trading opportunities. But how do you detect when a recession arrives? One indicator in the news recently is the Schannep recession indicator, and it's easy to calculate. A related indicator is the Sahm rule. Here's how to put them to use...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: AUG 2024SUBJECT: Economic Indicators

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• Trading Contracts For Differences

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...In some financial markets outside the US, price gaps can be traded by using a derivative instrument called contracts for differences. But there are risks. Traders can minimize the risks by having a good understanding of them and the costs involved. So for those outside the US and who trade outside of US markets, here's an introduction to using this vehicle, along with some suggestions for what to watch for...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: MAR 2023SUBJECT: Derivatives Trading

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• What I Learned When I Looked At Minute-By-Minute Stock Option Data, Part 1

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Coming up with new option strategies to trade isn't easy. Sometimes, looking at things in a new way gives you a fresh perspective...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: JUN 2023SUBJECT: Options Trading

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• Looking At Minute-By-Minute Stock Option Data Part 2: Short Margins

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Can retail traders make more money using straddles or strangles than by just buying a call or put? Can retail traders make money using option strategies that include margined short option positions? We explore these questions here using the minute-by-minute option data introduced in part 1...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: JUL 2023SUBJECT: Option Trading

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• The Predictability Of Patterns

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Here are two patterns historically observed in the S&P 500 that have met their conditions for this year and that you might want to take note of. But don't bet the farm on these patterns just yet...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: AUG 2023SUBJECT: At The Close

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• The Beneish M-Score

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Beneish M-score is a statistic that can suggest when irregular accounting activity may be occurring in a publicly traded company. And for a group of stocks, the M-score could suggest a coming recession. Find out how it is calculated and how you can use it...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: AUG 2023SUBJECT: Statistical Indicators

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• Mining Patent Documents For Trading Ideas

  ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Did you know that patent documents can be a good source of trading ideas for stocks, options, and bonds? It may be an opportunity to gain a trading edge from publicly available information. Find out how you may be able to find and use some of the information...

AUTHOR: Gregory AharonianDATE: APR 2023SUBJECT: Trading Techniques