Article Archive For
Gary Zin, Ph.D.
Phase shifts in the 40.68-month cycle by Gary Zin, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Phase shifts in the 40.68-month cycle
by Gary Zin, Ph.D.
Phase shifts plague every cycle technician. Phase shifts, or apparent phase shifts, are often present
when a high or low of a cycle is expected but doesn't occur. Sometimes, if neither a cycle high nor low
occurs on its projected date, a cycle will shift 180 degrees to its subsequent anniversary date. Many times,
these phase shifts occur near major trend changes in the market.
By assuming that a change in market direction is probable near the date of a predicted high or low, other
trend-following indicators can be used to decide whethe...
AUTHOR: Gary Zin, Ph.D.DATE: JUL 1989
Beat the market with no-load mutual funds by Gary Zin, Ph.D.
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Beat the market with no-load mutual funds
by Gary Zin, Ph.D.
In the past, I have invested in mutual funds based on their long-term performance, typically requiring
that a fund's five-year history exceed the compounded return of Standard & Poor's 500-stock index (S&P
500). In general, a diversified portfolio based on this criteria will do well, perhaps slightly exceeding and
rarely falling far behind the stock market. But, the portfolio generally does not substantially exceed the
returns of an index fund representing the broad market.
There is substantial evidence to support the premise that ...
AUTHOR: Gary Zin, Ph.D.DATE: DEC 1989