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Article Archive For Fay H. Dworkin, Ph.D.

  • Defining Advance/Decline Indicators by Fay H. Dworkin, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Defining Advance/Decline Indicators by Fay H. Dworkin, Ph.D. The notion is simple. When fewer and fewer issues participate in the upward trend of a primary bull market, ""bad breadth"" warns of a market turnaround. Although it is easy to track advancing and declining issues, it's not as easy to know what to do with the data afterward. I have encountered an astonishingly large number of ways to construct ""advance/decline"" (A/D) indicators. From one period to the next, the closing price of a traded vehicle can advance, decline or remain unchanged. These three outcomes are the basic components...

  • Mutual fund timing by Fay H. Dworkin, Ph.D.

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Mutual fund timing by Fay H. Dworkin, Ph.D. It's like a musical instrument: you have to learn to play it,"" says Hubert Cafritz about his trading strategy for managing a portfolio of mutual funds. The system has been used for three years by Cafritz, a pension fund manager, and by subscribers to The Cafritz Report. This article describes the results of my own test of the system which simulated the actions of an investor who began building a mutual fund trading portfolio at the beginning of 1984. This hypothetical portfolio is evaluated on a risk-adjusted basis for its 1984-86 performance....

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