ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Guided By Seasonal Indexes by Darin Newsom Seasonal indexes can offer insight into possible price targets. Here's how. We've all done it. Whether you are a banker, lawyer, trader, or analyst, we have all caught ourselves staring wistfully out the office window to see spring turn to summer, then autumn, and finally winter. That is the seasonal cycle of nature and it is just as true watching commodity markets on the computer screen as it is looking out the window. SEASONALITY IN COMMODITIES Commodities have seasonal cycles that reflect the normal supply and demand situation of the individual...
ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Stocks & Commodities V. 24:12 (42-46): Spread Analysis And A Look At Unknown Fundamentals by Darin Newsom How do you know what the underlying fundamental situation is when the supply and demand factors remain unknown? Basically, commodity market analysis can be broken into two categories: fundamental and technical. Fundamental analysis focuses on the supply and demand situation of the market, or all the various factors that affect the price of a particular commodity leading to the discovery of that market's intrinsic value. Technical analysis studies price action over time or the price trend...