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Article Archive For Christopher Cadbury

  • The Short-Range Oscillator and the DJIA by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...TRADING TECHNIQUES The Short-Range Oscillator And The DJIA by Christopher Cadbury Oscillators come in many shapes and forms. Here, one unique oscillator is analyzed to determine patterns and the results in the stock market after a particular pattern occurs. A simple oscillator mathematically modifies the price data so the results oscillate in a range. Some oscillators use a range of zero to 100, while others move above and below zero. For example, one popular oscillator is the difference between today's closing price and a 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of the closing price. If the ...

  • Identifying Trades With The Option Premium Ratio by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Identifying Trades With The Option Premium Ratio by Christopher Cadbury What is the option premium ratio? Simply, the option premium ratio is the ratio of price premiums on puts relative to price premiums on calls. It covers all listed equity options. As explained in previous articles, this ratio has some remarkable characteristics relating to momentum. I have found that significant market rallies follow the positive momentum supplied by several consecutive days of gains or unchanged values in the ratio and by several consecutive daily gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) at low ...

  • Bullish/Bearish Percentages and the DJIA by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...Bullish/Bearish Percentages and the DJIA by Christopher C. Cadbury Curious about how state of mind plays a role in trading? This author has studied investment surveys that detail bullish and bearish states of mind of advisors and investors and he has identified patterns that indicate trading opportunities for stocks and stock indices. Bullish and bearish percentages of investment sentiment surveys are widely used to predict the direction of the stock market. The readings for a given week are considered to be contrary indicators. A high weekly percentage of bulls or low weekly percentage of ...

  • The DJIA And The Stock Index Futures Cycle by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The DJIA And The Stock Index Futures Cycle by Christopher Cadbury Do phases of the three-month futures cycle usually coincide with periods of greatest weakness or periods of substantial strength in the stock market? This American Stock Exchange trader details DJIA performance in relation to the beginning trading periods for the lead stock index futures contracts. Stock index futures expire on the third Friday of March, June, September and December. The three-month period between expiration dates is known as the three-month futures cycle. Declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) o...

  • The Option Premium Ratio by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Option Premium Ratio by Christopher Cadbury Christopher Cadbury, member of the American Stock Exchange and book author, explains a sentiment indicator generated from the equity options market that identifies trading opportunities in the stock market. Monitoring market sentiment data is a popular technique today because investors can use the data for market forecasting. One popular sentiment measure is derived from investment sentiment surveys, while another sentiment indicator is the ratio of put trading volume to call trading volume. A lesser-known measure of sentiment is the option pr...

  • The Option Premium Ratio And The DJIA by Christopher Cadbury

    ARTICLE SYNOPSIS ...The Option Premium Ratio And The DJIA by Christopher Cadbury The discussion on the option premium ratio continues, with more examples on forecasting short-term movements in the DJIA. Previously, I introduced the option premium ratio, which is the ratio of price premiums on puts versus calls. If it seems familiar, there's a good reason: It's the fifth psychological variable on the General Markets Indicators page in Investor's Business Daily. The premium ratio, in my opinion, is the best of all the sentiment indicators. Let me explain one of the ratio's truly outstanding characteristics, the ...






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